I've always had the thought that Tom's Ready was very much like another Dallas Stewart horse in Unbridled Forever (not to be confused with Forever Unbridled from earlier today)- his best game would be as a late running sprinter.
13's best race came at this distance here at Belmont. It's raced in the best races. Came in 4th in this race last year. If she can run into any pace at all she should at least make it into the exotics. I rarely ever do WPS bets but I think I will with this horse
Those are the four I like the most, but in the case of the 5, 6, and 11, they are getting bet down too much for me to bet on them. The 6 is probably the one I like the second most, but I'll be pretty much all on the 13.
Won't have too much money in this race. If Flintshire, the 10, runs his B+ race, he's just better than these. I may pair him up with Divisidero, the 11, in an exacta.
I like the 2, Destin, and the 5, Stradivari. I think they sit the best trips of those in the race. If I had to pick one to win, I'd go Stradivari. Along with win bets on those two, I'm also betting this trifecta: 1st: 1, 2, 5 2nd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 10 3rd: 1, 2, 4, 5, 10 I'm banking on Exaggerator missing the board. Also included Governor Malibu on top, as I think he'll be forwardly enough placed where he has a shot, while Lani and Suddenbreakingnews may have too much to do to be able to win. It's my high risk, high reward play (though with a base bet of $0.50, the bet is only $18 in total).
2/5 is what I've been planning on doing for a while and after breaking down the numbers its still what I'm going to do. I might add a couple of other horses, maybe take the 1 out... but we are pretty much the same in this race
I debated whether or not to put the 1 on top or just underneath. At 21-1, though, given how well Rosario has been doing today, I thought it was worth a small shot to use him. Not many trainers in the country as good with distance races as Clement, as well.
Cherry Win is the only horse that scares m left off of my ticket.... don't know what I want to do with that
Shitty because I had Creator as a winner in the Derby and this race I relegated him to place. Creator was #3 in my computer rankings.
That was a fitting way to end a terrible day of betting. Governor Malibu might have been best. He had a nightmare trip down the stretch. Going forward, I'd take Gift Box over any horse than ran in the Belmont.
Frosted earned a 123 Beyer in the Met Mile. Here's how huge of a figure that is: -Fastest Beyer to date this year by 13 points (Noble Bird earned a 110 on the Preakness undercard, and Flintshire earned a 110 in the Manhattan yesterday on the turf). -Fastest Beyer by any horse since Midnight Lute ran a 124 in the 2007 Forego. -American Pharoah's romp in the Breeders Cup Classic last year was a 120, and that was far and away his highest Beyer figure of his career. I think that was his only race that even exceeded a 110 Beyer. -Only five points shy of the top Beyer Figure of the past 25 years (Ghostzapper ran a 128 in the mud in the 2004 Iselin at Monmouth). -Only ten points shy of the highest official Beyer Figure since they came into existence in 1975 (Groovy ran a 133 in the 1987 True North) Secretariat ran before Beyer's became established, but Andrew Beyer himself estimated that his Belmont Stakes was a 139.
Playing a $192 pick-6 ticket at Golden Gate. First leg my pick tracks down a horse loose on the lead and meets him for a finish at the wire........ DEAD HEAT. STILL ALIVE. LETS GO
3 for 3. no favorites. 3 to go. Next two are our lowest covered fields, ony 2 horses in each field. Next race in particular is the big one
Race 10 and Race 11 moved from the turf to the tapeta.... so I get ALL horses n race 10 and 12. So I am playing for ONE race to win the P6
I'll take this opportunity to remind everyone how much I adore Ghostzapper. He was BAD Written before American Pharaoh obviously but: "When he was right, no one could touch him. The final six starts of his career were as impressive a stretch of performances as any in recent racing history. The streak encompassed victories in the Vosburgh, Tom Fool, Iselin, Woodward, BC Classic, and Met Mile, four of them earning Beyer Speed Figures of 120 or better at seven, eight, nine, and 10 furlongs. It’s a shame he couldn’t have raced more, but he proved his greatness repeatedly and thoroughly deserves to be recognized for it."
Geeeeeesh. P6 pays 140$ or something like that after 2 races get taken off the turf and they both turn into ALL races. Golden Gate Fields is getting absolutely demolished on twitter right now. Absolutely unbelievable.
Just hit 3 prices in a row coming off the pace 6-1 5-1 22-1 Makes up for an absolutely horrible weekend of attempting to play exotics.
Got 3.4-1 on Tepin this morning at Royal Ascot... I imagine this will be the last time I ever get more than 1-1 on her. Easy. Easy. Easy money.
This sort of reminds me, the DRF Players Podcast had Harvey Pack (huge figure back in the 80's with NYRA) on a few weeks back, talking about bad beats in horse racing. The story he tells from 45:30-49:30 is incredible.
I was lol'ing so hard when I listed to that a few weeks ago. I can't imagine anybody beating that bad beat. I took your advise months ago and I listen to both episodes of the players podcast each week and I listen to the Steve Byk show every morning... the day before episode though so I can double the speed and get the 3-hour show done in 1.5 hours... dude talks slower than anybody I've ever encountered before.
Full sister to California Chrome racing in about 2 minutes at Santa Anita.... P sure nobody will see this in time but yeah EDIT: Comes in 3rd, gaining a shit ton late.
I completely agree. That said, if she is in a field with the boys does she go off as the favorite? I say yes, 8-5 favorite.
I think she'd be favored, but no telling on what the odds would be for her beyond that without knowing field size, who's running, etc. Say it was a race like the Travers, and she's facing at least ten other top class 3YO's (ie Nyquist, Gift Box, Creator, Exaggerator, etc...). She may be favored, but it would be closer to 5-2 or 3-1. Then again, I never expected Nyquist to be as low as he was in the Derby, and thought Exaggerator was laughably overbet in the Belmont, so what do I know.