US is about to dodge a big bullet because of this huge usual later October type trough pushing the cane out to sea....though y'all up north are going to get a lot of rain
I am happy to see that shit get pushed further off the coast. It looks like the Bahamas have been getting their ass kicked though.
so there's a cargo ship missing. Left Jax, was expected in PR. http://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/latest-hurricane-joaquin-battering-bahamas-34196377
I heard an interview with Jim Cantore yesterday. He admitted American models for predicting hurricanes are insufficient and not up to par with EU. Never knew that and will put a lot more stock into the EU model in the future. It nailed the path of Joaquin a week ago while the US model had it hitting Virginia Beach.
And the American model (gfs) had a better handle on the Boston/new York snowstorm last year. The euro is usually better but it's not infallible. It costs like 200k per year for access to the ECMWF..gulp
I read on wunderground that a big part of it is the euro model runs on a more advanced supercomputer and the US has a new one coming online that will put it back on par with the euro
That and the manner on which they assimilate observations and other data when the model is first initiated. Some good info here too: http://www.forbes.com/sites/marshal...t-joaquin-debate-likely-but-some-perspective/
The Weather Channel @weatherchannel 4m4 minutes ago #BREAKING: Air Force recon measured 894mb pressure in eye of #Patricia, lower than any Pacific hurricane in history. Dammmmnnnnnn. Thing is a beast (currently).
The scary thing is that Patricia could be even stronger than what the NHC currently has out there. There were a couple measurements of sustained winds at about 180 knots on the current recon mission, which would be about 205 mph. I don't think any western hemisphere hurricane (Atlantic or eastern/central Pacific) has ever been above 190 mph (Hurricane Allen in 1980 hit 190 mph at its peak).
And the hurricane hunters also found a pressure reading of 880 mb on their recon mission, which would break Wilma's record of the lowest pressure recorded for a western hemisphere storm.
Patricia is officially the strongest recorded hurricane ever in the Western Hemisphere, both in terms of pressure (880 mb) and sustained winds (200 mph). And it is forecast to get to 205 mph later today.
Read about that this morning and weather geeked out. TS to strongest Cat 5 in North American history in 24 hours.
Read something saying they expected it to break up with the remnants heading to Texas dumping shitloads of rain. Which they don't need right now.
can confirm it is dumping in Dallas. But we do need th rain. almost no measurable rain since late spring in Dallas.
Only positive out of this is that storm is really "small". Hurricane force winds only extend 30 miles out from the center.
Yea Texas isn't gonna turn the rain away right now. However, most of this rain won't be good rain if it absolutely just dumps.
Yeah, we got an email from our apartments about flood zones. Gf's car got flooded when we got that bad storm earlier this summer. Still smells like armpit.
fuck flooding. at least there is a cold front coming in as well. or is patricia gonna fuck that up too?
foot of rain coming over the next 24 hours. austin can't handle half of that without flooding all over the goddamn city. guess I'm not driving anywhere this weekend. I do like storm watching though and have a good window to do so from my couch so hopefully get to see some ooooooh aaaaaaaah shit