Week 1 CFB

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by TLAU, Aug 23, 2016.

  1. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    Figured we could fire this up in case anyone is as thirsty as I am to get a little action on this game Friday night. Don't know which side I'm gonna take yet but goddamnit it will be something.

    For the whole week I'd say leans right now (gonna try to trim down)

    USCe +3.5 Vandy - As back to earth as they've fallen, the talent should still be at worst case even with these two teams and USCe has the superior coaching staff

    Clemson -6.5 (hook) Auburn - homerism be damned I don't see us coming out firing. And worst case I lose the bet and we're better than anyone expected. Line does seem too low though

    Bama/USC Under 54. Spread is right where it should be but would take bama to cover if I had to. Both offenses pretty conservative could see it being a 24-14 / 27-10 type game with Bama's D doing what they always do and playing ball control on offense

    UCLA - A&M game I picked this as my unranked over ranked upset in a little deal my friends and I have been doing a few years. Had no idea that A&M was favored. Now the value of UCLA +135 looks tough to pass up I would have loved A&M +3.5

    Texas +3.5 ND. Just like the home team with points here. Will be tailgating all day and watching the game downtown AND it's the only game on sunday so I mean.... I gotta bet on it right? This one could change if someone convinces me. UT Starting a TrFr could do that.

    OMiss +4 FSU. Gut call here. No real basis besides maybe a returning QB with exp for the rebs

    gonna tag some fellow degenerates

    FadeMe
    JuanB4AU
    thegenerel
    Long Ball Larry
    dome foam
    NDXOS
    undrtow
    KNOTT
    Rammer Jammer
    LeVar Burton
    George Costanza
    Jt272929
     
  2. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    yessssss

    some of these lines have changed. first week is always a little different. i end up playing a ton of games due to perceived value and who you think will be under and overvalued. as the season progresses, preseason conception are gone and you have to focus on product on field as well as situational betting.

    south alabama +33*** v miss st. will be fading miss st early and often. they have learned on dak heavily past 2 years. i think that line is short by a TD.

    aub +7.5** v clemson. line should be 3.5. not a clemson fade, but bullish on aub to turn it around. too much talent there, and it looks like QB has been figured out.

    hawaii +41.5* v michigan. fading michigan early.

    penn st -18.5* v kent st. bullish on penn st.

    so miss +7* v kentucky. kentucky fade.

    lsu -9* v wisconsin. bullish on lsu.
     
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  3. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    the texas betting makes sense. i think we are very talented. i fired a small bet on Texas +5. but there is news that charlie strong may start swoopes at QB again, and if that happens, i will be getting off that bet.

    if buchele is starting, i will double down.
     
  4. Long Ball Larry

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    Alabama Crimson TideMiami Dolphins

    I've got UNC +3.
    Bama under 54

    and I've got a four team teaser with: Clemson -0.5, LSU -2.5, Bama -3.5, and Ole Miss +13.5
     
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  5. letan

    letan Just looking for the gator board
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    The Hawaii Michigan spread is huge but I don't really see Hawaii showing up. They play Cal in fucking Australia for whatever reason and then 8 days later have to travel to Michigan. That's a tough travel schedule and not much time for practice.
     
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  6. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Agreed on the Bama under 54. With Long Ball Larry on UNC +3. Also like Indiana -9, Kentucky -6.5, Vandy/USC under 42.5. Still researching it.

    Only one I have locked is IU -9.
     
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  7. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    Also I am not touching the Auburn/Clemson game but I am with TLAU regarding the side. I do not see Auburn covering this game. I obviously hope I am completely wrong. I do think Auburn will play well just not well enough. It's too early and our QB play is bad. Rooting for you dome foam
     
  8. Tricky Gator

    Donor TMB OG
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    looking at the over on friday
     
  9. bstaple12

    bstaple12 Nole World Order
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    Like most of those honestly. Only play I've locked in so far is South Alabama and some small coin on FSU Ole Miss under
     
  10. TLAU

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    I figured Over in OMiss games would be a thing since their offense should be all out pass this year and the Landsharks on D are all gone right?
     
  11. bstaple12

    bstaple12 Nole World Order
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    FSU's strong suit will be the defense and I think Jimbo will have a conservative game plan early with the new QB. I think an Ole Miss win and the over are correlated where as an FSU win and the under are correlated
     
  12. TLAU

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    good info :chan: it being the only game that night means a wager is mandatory. no clue what I'll end up taking but I'm inclined to take points.

    after talking to some UT guys at the office I forgot how bad swoopes was. prob will take the home points there if the freshman starts as well
     
  13. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    the only future i've bet is FSU natty at +1600.
     
  14. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    sean white suspended for aub?

    you guys have scared me enough off that game. i played one * on clem -7. my aub 7.5 is still alive if clem wins by 7.
     
  15. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    some people on other "super secret" boards with "sources" say yes
    our dogshit rivals writers say absolutely false

    jesus if we start jeremy johnson I'm betting my available balance on clemson and walking to the liquor store to get a bottle of jameson
     
  16. wes tegg

    wes tegg I'm a Guy's guy, guys.
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    Thoughts on tonight's game? I'm liking Hawaii +19.5. I feel like Dykes was interviewing for jobs all offseason and love the new coach/first game momentum the 'bows are going to have.
     
  17. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    leaning Cal and Over. Webb was pretty decent his 2 years he started at Tech. Hawaii always has a shit defense. think Cal gets a big lead and Hawaii gives the Over a back door cover late in garbage time
     
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  18. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    so take hawaii and the under
     
  19. Long Ball Larry

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    Nailed it, except the late TD gave Hawaii the cover. Over was never in doubt.
     
  20. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Knew I liked the Over. Had to get on a side too bc degenerate. Lose by the hook. Lose juice on the night

    Time is a flat circle
     
  21. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
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    I totally missed my tag. Hey any of you guys know Bitcoin well? Im going that route this year and need a little help. TIA
     
  22. bstaple12

    bstaple12 Nole World Order
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    This seems the way to go with offshore. I'll see if I can find a good guide
     
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  23. The Hebrew Husker

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    Might throw something down later just because. Anyone else?
     
  24. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
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    [​IMG]
     
  25. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
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    Im not going to be ready till like middle of week.
     
  26. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    I've done Bitcoin before I got the app you DL on Mac and I know the first time takes 4-5 business days with your bank so you may get $5-10 more or less than you paid for originally
     
  27. Gallant Knight

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    Throwing a bill on charleston southern +22.

    Had Hawaii +21 last night.mmgor drunk and passed out mid third quarter. Mad no clue about cal running down to he half yard line until about an hour ago
     
  28. Trip McNeely

    Trip McNeely Guys like us....we are a dime a dozen
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    I'm all over Clemson -7
     
  29. KNOTT

    KNOTT Well-Known Member
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    Who did you use for your wallet? Bitcoin visa.
     
  30. The Hebrew Husker

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    Anyone listen or know any gambling podcasts?
     
  31. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    I actually like Behind the Bets with Chad Millman. Stanford Steve and Chris Fallica do the CFB segment and Chad and Bob Scucci do the the NFL segment. Both segments are informative.
     
  32. The Hebrew Husker

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    Cool, I drive 45 min to and from work so have gotten into podcasts so figured why not find a gambling one. Thanks.
     
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  33. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    the oregon st/minnesota total went from 51 to 54.5. i think that line went the wrong way. added under 54.5.
     
  34. The Hebrew Husker

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    Just locked it at u55.5
     
  35. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Discussion in the Clemson-AU game thread has me questioning that game now. 15-1 money coming in on Clemson and the line hasn't moved. Should be at least 10-14. Ask the majority of CFB fans in the country and they say clemson can name the score saturday. Vegas setting themselves up to lose a lot of money if the obvious pick wins.

    Probably gonna lay off the game altogether now I don't like betting on Vegas to get hosed bc it just rarely happens
     
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  36. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    it's a pretty safe bet you'll get intoxicated and bet aub
     
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  37. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    :yaoface: I'll be really intoxicated before then and probably have $0 available because of pending wagers that haven't cleared
     
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  38. jltperson

    jltperson Making The Mainboard Great Again
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    I mean there has to be some value with UCLA as a dog vs Trevor Knight, right?

    That seems like a substantial QB mismatch
     
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  39. jltperson

    jltperson Making The Mainboard Great Again
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    I will be fading Michigan quite a bit early as well
     
  40. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    I'd say the A&M WR > UCLA WR discrepancy is bigger than QBs. A&Ms WRs should be video game good again this year. No idea about he guys stepping in for UCLA at RB and WR think they are all unproven / we'll see right? Also remember UCLAs D being pretty good but haven't looked up who they lost/return
     
  41. jltperson

    jltperson Making The Mainboard Great Again
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    I'll take Jamabo over anyone A&M has at RB

    is Keith ford seriously starting at RB for A&M? Apparently Sumlin is trying to replicate the 2014 OU offense
     
  42. Juan

    Juan All you got for me is Lite Beer...
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    I am considering it. However I like the over at 53 better.
     
  43. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Was a couple years ago so not entirely sure if this is called the wallet but it was an orange circle with a white B. Hope that helps
     
  44. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
    Kansas JayhawksAlabama Crimson Tide

    I'm at work so gambling sites are blocked. I am looking for team totals. Is it possible for someone to save the team totals for all of CFB as a PDF and post it?
     
  45. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    i bet it at 52. this move is really odd to me. of course, i am not playing it again but it just went up to 56.
     
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  46. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
    Kansas JayhawksAlabama Crimson Tide

    Good call on that south alabama game. It's at 28 now.
     
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  47. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    UGA/UNC under 56 seems high.
     
  48. Gallant Knight

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    Someone likes to bet unders
     
  49. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    well i did bet san jose st/tulsa o67.
     
  50. Gallant Knight

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    Week 1 Leans:

    Oregon State + 14

    Colorado State + 8

    UH +12.5 & moneyline if my guy posts one

    UCLA + 3.5

    LSU -10.5