USC -14. They seem to be really hitting their groove, and coming off a bye. Short rest for Cal coming off a double OT win at home against Oregon makes this an auto play for me. Purdue +14. A hold your nose sort of play. This is a classic classic letdown spot for Penn State. They are coming off the biggest win of the James Franklin era and have to go on the road for an early kickoff against a conference doormat. Purdue actually played with a pulse last weekend against Nebraska, and like them getting two TDs at home. UVA +27.5. I continue to back the Hoos and it may drive me to drink. Everyone and their mother will be on Lville after they drilled NC State, but 4 TDs on the road is a lot of points. NC State -14 (hook). I subscribe strongly to the theory that teams usually aren't as bad or as good as the week before. Boston College is bad, their offense has no rhythm, and they had their chance against Syracuse off a bye and still looked terrible. NC State was in a hellacious spot last week coming off a crushing loss to Clemson then going on the road against the 2nd best team in the conference. They will look a lot better this week, and a ton of value taking them off that beatdown. Ole Miss +2.5. I know this will be wildly unpopular here, but give me the Rebels at home. Back to back road games against Arkansas and LSU where they lost both. Auburn coming off a monster thrashing of Arkansas, but what have they done on the road? Beat Mississippi State? They've had the perk of playing 6/7 games at home this year. Ole Miss has looked like a different team at home, and I would back them getting points. Their offense can still score in droves. Tulane -1. I don't know anything about them. This is a pure fade of SMU coming off Chad's biggest win of his coaching career and having to go on the road. Wisconsin -7. They've proven me wrong. I backed Iowa last week and got burned. I would be shocked if the betting public isn't backing the undefeated Huskers here, which at a touchdown makes the Badgers an auto play for me. Missouri -4. Missouri just lost to Middle Tenn State at home and they are catching points? Like feels dirty. Kentucky is coming off a last second 50 yard field goal win at home. Have to think the public will be all over the Cats here. Michigan -21. This is as square as it gets, but this is a huge revenge spot for Harbaugh. MSU knocked the Wolverines out of the playoff race last year with that last second muffed punt return. Spartans are in freefall and don't have any talent that can match up with Harbaugh's team.
Games I like this weekend Baylor -3 @ Texas; Baylor Washington -10 @ Utah; Utah Clemson -4 @ FSU; FSU Navy @ South Florida -8; Navy
Early leans for week 9 Top play Clem -4 at FSU Navy +7.5 at USF Baylor -2.5 at Texas SMU at Tulane -2.5 Army +6.5 at Wake Tulsa +6.5 at Memphis Penn St at Purdue +11.5 (Probably won't play) Az St +7.5 at Oregon Aub -3.5 a Ole Miss
fuck betting on texas. you know how much this game means to baylor. afterall, they accuse texas of being responsible for all the rape stuff coming to light. with all of the shit going on with this texas team, i don't think they understand baylor's will to win this game. on the other hand, texas is a different team at home v on the road. i disagree with the sharp movement on texas. even without briles, baylor still has the horses. they may even be the more talented team.
Some other leans... WVU at Okie St +4.5 SD St -5.5 at Utah St AF at Fresno St +13.5 NW +26.5 at Ohio St Neb +8.5 at Wis
Now imagine if you had to root for that team to play good football and try to win instead of just cover.
USC -16 (LOTW) Purdue +11.5 (think they have a great shot of winning straight up) (LOTW) NC State -14 (hook) (LOTW) Wisconsin -9.5 UVA +29.5 Florida -7 Tennessee -12.5 Indiana -5.5 Ole Miss +3 Missouri -4 Michigan -22.5 TCU -8.5 Ok State +3.5 Tulane -2
No MAC plays on tonight but if you must take Akron and Ohio. CFB card: Thursday USC -16.5 (-154...remember its only expensive if you lose) 1100AM WVU -3.5 230 PM Miami (FL) -2 3PM SMU +2.5
Something's going on with that USC line. Bovada took it off the board, several others are showing anywhere from USC -19 to -21.
What am I missing on this Cal - USC game besides Cal on the short week vs USC on a BYE? Key player out or something? Doesn't seem like line should be that high
It's not just a short week, it's them coming off an emotional double OT win against Oregon who they haven't beaten in 8 years.
max bet on wake forest -6. love riding teams playing the option for the second time in a season. add to that wake coming off a buy, and army not being very good at all. perfect situation to back them. earlier this week bet: tulane -2 purdue 12.5 ecu -6
tailed and won a big start to the weekend thank you sir edit: buy back that OMiss bet and double up on Auburn. We win by 17
Like the ML Parlay but can't get a read on UF. haven't paid a ton of attention to them since the Tennessee game. strong play or no?
Locked in a few bets on Monday morning and today. USF -6 Auburn at -2.5 (people say this line stinks and I have been wrong before but I am seeing Auburn pulling this out by 10-20 points) Michigan -21 Arizona State +10 Clemson -4 UK +6 (This line stinks, can't help myself) Stanford -5 Random Alternate line of the week Missisippi State -20 over Samford. I am going to hit some over/under and TTs tomorrow
Also, since following sports insights last sunday I've been really impressed in a good way about their content and impressed in a bad way about the number of their tweets. Additionally, I bet I've turned 10 friends of mine onto following them as well.
you keep up with the pirates pretty well? You think you'll lose straight up? gets my attention when someone says bet against their team. undrtow (i think an FSU guy right?) was spot on with Louisville/FSU I'm probably gonna hammer clemson bc of his post ITT
I have season tickets, so yeah I keep up with them. It really just depends if we turn the ball over or not. We haven't done so well at that lately, and it's killed us, and UConn will have the best defense we've seen since VT. I wouldn't be completely shocked if we did cover though. We've moved the ball on everyone, just keep pissing it away in the red zone.
Thank goodness for the college rule that they don't kick XPs if a touchdown is scored as the time expires and the game won't be tied or won. USF -6.5
Took Navy in a teaser +13 and USF in another -2. Took Air Force in the same teaser as Navy and looking bad but not dead yet. Will post my total picks tomorrow.
Last night: USF -6 SDSU -4.5 Early games: Houston -9.5 Michigan -24 Virginia +34 Purdue +14 NC State -15
Final card. Some parlays and teasers in there: Houston -10 WVU O65 Minn O46.5 ECU O54.5 Kent St U44.5 Ville -33.5 Mich U52 MSU +31 TCU -9.5 TCU -3.5 Tex O74.5 Army W Tenn -15 Tenn -9 Aub -5 Aub +1 A&M U71.5 OU O65.5 Rice U70.5
Its okay. I wanted to bet the Pirates but they have played horrible most of the season. The perfect team showed up at the right time. ECU needed a team with limited offensive ability.
The fuck is Louisville doing? We're top 10 in ypg. Turnovers inside the 10 have literally beat us. We'd be like 5-2 if we could hold onto the ball.
Teaser 7 leg Va Tech +1 Mich St +30 Okie St +10 Kentucky +10.5 Kansas St -.5 Hou -3 NorthWestern +33 Teaser and parlay Duke +12.5/+6.5 UCF +16/+10 Florida -7.5/-1.5 Texas +4/+10 Texas Tech +9/+15 Wash -10.5/-4.5 Wisky -9/-3 Ohio State -20 Temple -1.5 Utah +16 Ariz St +15 Baylor +1.5 N Dame +5 Nebraska +15 Wyoming +15 Ole Miss +5 South Caro +15 FSU +5 Boise State -9 South Miss -11 Arky St -15 Tenn -9 Clem +1 Wash St -8
My site won't post until like Tuesday unfortunately but I'm hoping it's stil 7-9ish Going to be in Vegas this weekend too, but by time I get there will be higher I'd imagine.
7 leg parlay NIU -16 Cover WMU -18 Cover Tolo -8 Cover Ohio -20 Cover Oklahoma -21 Getting lemonbooty. Okla 28 ISU 17 in 3rd UCLA +11.5 What was I thinking? Temple -10.5 Watch me get pass the other two and UConn beat the shit out of them.
Oklahoma eat a dick. I was never confident in them but I figured they could win easy. They left about 17 points on the field.