that was the general rule from the OP I found in 2012 but IIRC the last 2-3 years everyone did them all the way through and had success after NYD.
Uhhh you not have 22.5 points to play with? If you've been watching ODU ain't interested in moving fast.
Do what you will. System has been making money for TMBers since I posted it in 2012 and it was making money for folks on another gambling forum I used to post on for several years before that. It never goes undefeated so it would just be bad luck if you hopped on and took an L on day one but it's consistently very much in the plus figures at the end of the day
Yeah I did it a couple years back when it first was posted. I'm just afraid of jumping in now with it being 10-0
Someone less lazy than me want to start tracking the correlation between when the 1H U hits and then 2H O hits? This is at least the 3rd bowl in a row where it's going to happen.
TBH I was thinking about sitting this 2H out. Some games are gonna lose.... I'm scared too. We're all scared
assuming the 2H total us under 41 I'm laying off of it and taking a small L here. every year there are a few losses because neither team gives a fuck about playing defense. this is one, just like the one that lost yesterday.
Alright gents, I just crunched some numbers and found some interesting stuff. This is current through the NCST and Vandy game: We've seen 16 total bowls played thus far. "The system" that we're all ITT for is 14-2 (88%) overall. However, just 1H unders alone account for 10 of those 14 wins, standing at an overall record of 10-6 (63%) on the bowl season. So, if you're following along closely, you'd know that means that only 4 "system" wins have been a result of a 1H O + 2H U combination, which is 4-2 (67%) on the bowl season (hence the system being 14-2 overall). Thus, even if -for whatever reason- you're still not following the system, or you think that the system has been successful primarily on 1H O + 2H U combinations, the numbers show that it's profitable to at least blind bet the 1H U every game. But here's where things get more interesting. When breaking down those 10 games where the 1H U hits, if you were to bet the 2H O instead of just taking your 1-unit win and not playing the 2H at all (as the system calls for), you'd be up 6 more units, as the 1H U + 2H O combination has gone 8-2 (80%) so far this bowl season. Therefore, if you've been fortunate enough to have bet according to the system for every single game this bowl season, you'd be up approximately 8 units (minus juice) overall right now, given the 14-2 record and the fact that every loss is 3 units while every win is 1 unit. However, if you had bet the system for every game this bowl season AND bet all of the 2H overs following every system-play where a 1H under hit, you'd be up about 14 units (minus juice) right now. So putting it all together: 1. The system works and is hitting at an 88% overall win rate. Keep following it. 2. First half unders on their own are accounting for 71% of all of the system's wins and are hitting at a 63% win rate overall this bowl season. 3. Because the 1H unders are hitting so frequently this bowl season, here's a new wrinkle to the system that appears to be profitable: If the 1H under hits, instead of just sitting out the rest of the game, you should strongly consider taking the 2H over, as this combination has won at rate of 80% so far this bowl season. I'll try to keep all of these records as current as possible, but no guarantees as it is a bit of work and the number of games per day is increasing significantly this week. Either way, good luck, gents.
Sidenote, if you ever miss betting the 1H of a game, 75% of the games played this bowl season have finished with opposite totals per half (meaning 75% of the games to go under in the 1H have gone over in the 2H, and vice versa). Only 4 of the 16 bowls played thus far have gone either both 1H O/2H O or both 1H U/2H U. If you've already been playing the system AND plan on playing "the wrinkle" outlined above, you'll already be playing opposite 1H/2H totals, as "the system" calls for a 2H U bet every time the 1H goes over and "the wrinkle" calls for a 2H O bet for every time the 1H goes under. But even if you miss getting your bet in for the 1H of a game, you should still consider jumping in at HT and just taking the opposite of whatever hit in the 1st half.
Yea I wouldn't believe it would continue to rake but I figure if 1H hits then throw that 1u on the next half and either double up or lose a real small amount of juice
Wouldn't lay off. Would bet the Under as per usual and hope it hits then get on the 2H over or just know you already have action on the 2H using the whole game total you originally bet
Exactly. Unlike the standard system, the wrinkle isn't costing you 2 units. If it misses, you basically just lost the vig.