At First Glance: Clemson -21.5 over Wake - Wake coming off blowing a potentially big win for their program. Clemson I don't really see having a down game and they have Cuse on deck so not a look ahead. Talent alone should get them 24pt+ win Arkansas -135 over South Carolina - said it probably the last 2.5 years that Arkansas is never as bad as their record. They lose to the people they're supposed to lose to and in blowout fashion normally. Teams they're actually better than they have beaten most of the time under Bielema. Just betting on the better team to win this game. Georgia -16.5 over Vandy - Still riding the UGA Defense train. Vandy should have absolutely zero success on offense (Team Total bet may be the play instead, will wait on lines). Line is just high enough to where Vegas will tempt people into thinking UGA has a let down game. Shouldn't happen though. Kentucky -11.5 over Mizzou - Fading Mizzou because I think they're one of the worst P5 teams in the country. And Kentucky is in win or go home mode for the SEC East race. They should be pumped enough to take them to the woodshed in a night home game Alabama-A&M/Auburn-OMiss - I'm gonna wait around for team totals on this one to see if the line game is still gonna net some good numbers. Honesty don't see either A&M/OMiss getting too far into double-digits. Will take A&M TT Under 10 or better and OMiss TT Under 14 or better
I like Florida anywhere under a TD. LSU is a mess right now. Neither line is very good, and Florida should be able to control LSU's run game and run on LSU. Gonna look at some more games later this afternoon and see what else is out there.
Last Week: 1-4 YTD: 13-12 Some early leans for everyone to fade.... Purdue -4 Utah +6.5 Arkansas -2.5 Oregon -2.5 Nebraska +11.5
Early leans: NC St +4 UVA -2 (big move here, might end up on the other side) South Carolina +2 West Virginia +13 Florida -3.5 SMU +7 Miami -3 Wazzu +2 at Oregon is an interesting line. Figured after their big win and with Oregon's injury problems they'd be more of a favorite.
With you on FL and Miami. Got FL at -3 though. The Oregon line is weird to me as well. Oregon's back up QB did pretty well this week. Also Oregon obviously has a solid home field advantage, but I guess maybe the oddsmaker are factoring in Wazzu to be on let down alert. Leach does have history of that. Either way the line seems weird, especially when the public generally uses the week before's performance as one of the main criteria when picking a side.
10-4 YTD 3-0 Last week Initial leans: Wake Forest +21.5 @ Clemson: 21 is a big number for a "check the box" game against Clemson. I like Clemson a lot this year but Wake isn't as bad as they usually are. I'll wait and see on this one. Maryland +32 @ OSU: Another big number for a team that's improved a lot, although they are on their third string quarterback. 32 is ripe for a back door cover. South Carolina +2.5 vs. Arkansas: Give me the home dog in a competitive SEC game every time. UF -3 vs. LSU: LSU is a total mess right now and Florida may have gotten it's wheels straight. Texas -4 vs. KSU: This one just popped off. Need to do a little more research. FSU +3.5 vs. Miami: Mark. Richt. Trap. Games.
i felt dirty covering with texas last week. i think you are right about texas at home against kstate, but i would wait for 3.
added: south carolina 1.5. someone alluded to this being a close game. i'll take the home team in that scenario, especially against an arky team that has collapsed in nearly every 2h.
Does anyone have ESPN insider? http://www.espn.com/chalk/insider/s...ld-card-game-new-york-yankees-minnesota-twins
Spoiler MLB - How to bet the AL Wild Card game between the New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins by Joe Peta on (original: http://www.espn.com/chalk/insider/s...ld-card-game-new-york-yankees-minnesota-twins) Although Major League Baseball's wild-card games are advance-or-go-home contests, lately they've seen as many starting-pitching gems, as they have all-hands-on-deck efforts. Sure, the Blue Jays beat the Orioles last year in the American League wild-card game thanks to better bullpen use in an 11-inning game that featured the use of 13 pitchers, but in the past three years, wild-card games have also featured starting pitching gems from Dallas Keuchel, Jake Arrieta and Madison Bumgarner (twice). Neither of Tuesday night's participants, the Minnesota Twins nor the New York Yankees, would appear to have aces of that caliber. Minnesota's Ervin Santana has a lifetime ERA above 4.00, and it was just a year ago that the Yankees' starter, Luis Severino, sported a ghastly 5.83 ERA in mixed work as both a reliever and a starter. There's no question that each qualified as his team's ace this season, though, thanks to team-high starts, innings pitched and rotation-best ERAs, with Severino's besting Santana's 2.98 to 3.28. Neither of these teams' calling card is run suppression, though -- it's run scoring. Led by rookie Aaron Judge's 52 home runs, the Yankees trailed only the Astros in runs scored in 2017. That's quite a turnaround for a team that was outscored by the DH-less San Diego Padres last season. The Twins were an offensive force, as well, finishing fourth in the American League in scoring, while topping the 800-run mark for the first time since 2009. In fact, since the All-Star break, it's not the Yankees nor MLB's highest-scoring team, the Astros, nor even the Indians, who won nearly three-quarters of their games in the second half, who led the majors in runs scored. It was the Minnesota Twins -- by a comfortable margin. Both teams are led by a core of young, everyday players with bright futures, but Minnesota faces a New York-based cloud that hangs over the franchise in October. The Twins have lost 12 straight postseason games dating back to 2004, and nine of those losses were to the Yankees. They'll need to break that streak for their 2017 playoff experience to last more than one evening. I'm back for my third straight year to preview October baseball, and I've got a postseason streak that I don't have any desire to see come to an end. I've previewed all 18 MLB playoff series for ESPN Chalk the past two years and have a 17-1 record in calling the winner, including turning in last year's perfect bracket -- a baseball handicapper's equivalent of scaling Mount Everest. Here are my thought's on Tuesday night's game: Minnesota Twins (Santana) +210 at New York Yankees (Severino) -240 Over/Under: 7.5 Based on the Twins' MLB-leading offense since the All-Star break, and given that the Twins emerged from a half-dozen-team scrum for the second AL wild card, you'd probably suspect they enter the playoffs as a hot team. In fact, the Twins' emergence from the pack resembled a horse race in which the winner didn't sprint its way to the finish, but merely slowed down less than the rest of the horses. Only a win in their meaningless season finale gave the Twins a winning record in September. They don't really enter October hot -- their competition simply imploded. There have been roughly as many wild-card games dominated by a starting pitcher as there have been all-hands-on-deck contributions since the change in wild-card game format in 2012. The good news for the Yankees is that in either scenario, they're better equipped than the Twins. Owing to his admittedly impressive 3.32 ERA , Santana might have the potential to toss a gem, but you'd never predict it based on his skill set. In fact, it's Severino who has the better strikeout rate and walk rate, and, by a wide margin, he induces more ground balls. On top of that, the Yankees have the better defense, albeit marginally, and the better bullpen, materially. Stripped of cluster luck, which benefited both teams' runs-scored readings, New York has an ever more superior offense than the headline numbers suggest. It's one game, so of course anything can happen (and the Twins do have the potential to create some runs on the basepaths), but the Yankees can play that game, as well. New York is a big favorite, as all of these factors are incorporated in the inflated price, but it's not going to scare me off tonight. I've got the Yankees winning this game close to 75 percent of the time, largely due to their huge bullpen advantage. There'll be other games this postseason that will register as stronger plays for sure, but by my numbers, there's still enough edge to make the Judge-led Bombers the play Tuesday night. ESPN Chalk pick: New York -240
I purchased a sub the past few years to atn preseason guide which has power ratings From there it's all situational and eyeball
After more research I'm off most of those games. Revised list looks like this: NCSU Moneyline I think they're the better team and that stadium can get pretty wild in a night game. Biggest game in a while for them, too. Huge advantage with NCSU DL over Louisville's OL. Only 0.5U though, more of a gut feel. UF -2.5 vs LSU 1U Purdue -3 vs. Minn 2U A&M +26.5 vs. Bama 1U I'll probably only bet one of the following, as I hate betting west coast games that I can rarely stay up for. BYU +9 vs. Boise State Utah +5.5 vs. Stanford
Utah coming off a bye, Stanford is 1-2 on the road with its only win as a putrid Rice team. Night game in an underrated environment. From ESPN Chalk: Spoiler Stanford Cardinal (-5.5) at No. 20 Utah Utes Steele: Utah has won three in a row in the series, with the most recent meeting coming in 2014. The Utes are fresh off a bye, while Stanford is on its third road game in four weeks and fifth straight tough game. Utah got very banged up in its previous game and might be without quarterback Tyler Huntley and star defensive lineman Kylie Fitts. Stanford might be giving redshirt freshman K.J. Costello his first road start, while Utah has Troy Williams, who started all 13 games last season. Bryce Love just topped 300 yards versus the Arizona State defense but now faces a defense that allows just 86 rushing yards per game and 2.6 yards per carry. This is not your typical Stanford defense, as they're giving up 445 yards per game and 32 yards more than their opponent's average. ATS pick: Utah Score: Utah 28, Stanford 27 Coughlin: This is an absolute brutal spot for the Cardinal. Utah is home off a bye week, and the game is at night. Stanford's quarterback situation is not set in stone, as Keller Chryst could be back under center for the Stanford offense after Costello helped the team win its past two games while Chryst was injured. Utah watched Bryce Love run up and down the field on ASU last week for a Stanford school-record 301 yards. Whether its Chryst or Costello under center for the Cardinal, I don't see the Cardinal being able to consistently move the chains in a hostile environment. Add that Kyle Whittingham is 2-0 versus David Shaw and has beaten two way better offenses than this Cardinal outfit, and I say the Utes remain undefeated. ATS pick: Utah Score: Utah 24, Stanford 23
W NC State +4 Florida -3 Miami -3 WVU +14 Auburn -21 Purdue -4 TTU -17 UAB +12 Will add some over/under and TT on Sat. 25-21-1 YTD
considering Vandy as well. That is a lot of points and I think UGA might be overvalued thus inflating the line.
Going to be looking at play on first half under. I'm staying away from the side. Our o line last week was garbage but we are at home this weekend and have played a much tougher schedule than Miami. I just think FSU is too unpredictable for me to bet on the side
early games plays Pending 6 Team Parlay Win 10/5/17 7:00pm College Football 306 NC State +4 -160* vs Louisville Pending 10/7/17 12:00pm College Football 314 North Carolina +17 -110* vs Notre Dame Pending 10/7/17 12:00pm College Football 332 Northwestern +14 -110* vs Penn State Pending 10/7/17 12:00pm College Football 333 Temple -3 -110* vs East Carolina Pending 10/7/17 12:00pm College Football 335 Duke +2½ -110* vs Virginia Pending 10/7/17 12:00pm College Football 337 Pittsburgh U +4½ -110* vs Syracuse
Duke +2 Cuse/Pitt OVER 64 OhSt -30 SoCar +3 LSU +2 WVa +13 Week: 0-1 Season: 32-14 David Hale plays. As a UVA fan I think Duke is a solid bet but I don’t bet our games.
I think UGA still cover, but the D won't be as strong this week. The strength of our D is our front 7. We use Trent Thompson to eat up blocks to free up our LB crew who flies around. However, as of this week, Thompson and 2 of our top 3 ILBs are out. We run a 3-4 and are thin at ILB. It will basically be Roquan and a bunch of freshmen who've never really played