I am already on Auburn -6 and Michigan -5 Some sides that intially caught my eye. GA Tech +7 Mississippi State -22 TCU -4 Purdue +15.5 Ohio State -24 Maryland +3
lots of teasing, tcu -5 is a lock I'm taking ku +26 @isu south alabama @troy +18 wvu outright purdue +18 @wisconsin army -5 @eastern michigan virginia -3 @unc thats what i have as of now edit fuck it went ahead and changed some shit, probably going to fuck myself Pending 10/9/17 8:30pm NFL Football 476 Chicago Bears +5½ -128* vs Minnesota Vikings Pending 10/11/17 8:00pm College Football 101 South Alabama +20½ -180* vs Troy Pending 10/14/17 3:30pm College Football 113 Purdue +16½ -130* vs Wisconsin Pending 10/14/17 12:00pm College Football 126 Army -5 -110* vs Eastern Michigan Pending 10/14/17 3:30pm College Football 133 Virginia -4 -110* vs North Carolina Pending 10/14/17 12:00pm College Football 138 West Virginia -1½ -170* vs Texas Tech Pending 10/14/17 12:00pm College Football 141 Michigan -4½ -130* vs Indiana Pending 10/14/17 12:00pm College Football 149 Kansas U +23½ -170* vs Iowa State Pending 10/14/17 12:00pm College Football 152 Kansas State +7½ -190* vs TCU Pending 10/14/17 12:00pm College Football 156 Duke +7 -125* vs Florida State
at first glance: Texas +7.5 vs OU - didn't someone post about Herman ATS as a dog earlier this year? Bama -30 vs Arky A&M +137 vs. Florida - pretty much a value play at + odds Auburn -6 vs. LSU Could be looking at parlaying MLs for TCU/Auburn/Wazzou - pays out +160
I'm going to be riding the Brohm train until it takes me under. Wiscy is good but thats a lotta points Initial leans, although these change a ton throughout the week. I usually do most of my research on Thursdays. Texas +7.5 Purdue +16.5 NC State -12 Michigan -6.5 FSU -6.5 Auburn -6.5 Some of those road favorite lines stink so I probably won't touch them.
a line that really makes you say...hmmmm. gotta be FSU or nothing here. WVU/TTU seems alot like Georgia/Miss St a few weeks ago. that line should be a TD. tech has to play two road games in a row, against an already undervalued WVU team? the line has dropped from 6 to 3. yes, please.
yeah a ridiculous clip. of course, this ended this year with the OT loss at USC. texas getting 8 is interesting, especially with OU coming off a shocking loss. we are a different team with ehlinger at QB. orlando shut down mayfield last year as well, with much inferior talent. can texas really cover in 4 straight games though? Dating back to his tenure as offensive coordinator of Ohio State, Herman has now won 11 straight games when entering as the underdog. YEAR TEAM (SPREAD) OPPONENT SCORE 2012 Ohio State (+2) Michigan State 17-16 2012 Ohio State (+1) Wisconsin 21-14 2014 Ohio State (+4) Michigan State 49-37 2014 Ohio State (+4) Wisconson 59-0 2014 Ohio State (+7.5) Alabama 42-35 2014 Ohio State (+6) Oregon 42-20 2015 Houston (+13.5) Louisville 34-31 2015 Houston (+1.5) Navy 52-31 2015 Houston (+7.5) Florida State 38-24 2016 Houston (+13) Oklahoma 33-23 2016 Houston (+14.5) Louisville 36-10
yeah, i wont bet against my team. i will lose that bet im sure and like i said it was a last minute change. im dead serious we should lose to tcu by 10+ points right now the line was at 4 when i placed that bet i just teased it up to over a td
Because it appears to be a 70-30 split on Auburn right now. The line bottomed at 6 and is up to 6.5. I think it ends up at 7 or even 7.5 and stay there.
70-30 was the ticket split. I did listen to some commentary saying that most of the money coming in so far in Vegas is Auburn money. That number is going to creep up to -7 or even -7.5, then you know you are going to see a ton of sharps load up on LSU based on the principle that they are getting LSU as a TD home dog. I think -6 is the lowest it gets though. I get the thought process but I am riding with the public on this one.
if the ticket split is 70/30, the number would have moved much more by now than a half point. means that while early ticket count favors aub, money is close. i think as the week goes on you will see more LSU tickets and that number will come down. i've been plenty wrong about live moves before though.
Maybe they got some early LSU money early when the line was above 7 to slow the movement down? It is still Tuesday so time will tell. I think 6.5 or 7 is where the final number lands but I've also been plenty wrong about line moves before. Line Movements A DAY AGO LSU +6 CHANGED TO LSU +6.5. LSU +6 LSU +6.5 LINE MOVEMENT A DAY AGO LSU +6.5 CHANGED TO LSU +6. LSU +6.5 LSU +6 LINE MOVEMENT 2 DAYS AGO LSU +7 CHANGED TO LSU +6.5. LSU +7 LSU +6.5 LINE MOVEMENT 2 DAYS AGO LSU +8 CHANGED TO LSU +7. LSU +8 LSU +7 LINE MOVEMENT 2 DAYS AGO LSU +9 CHANGED TO LSU +8. LSU +9 LSU +8 LINE MOVEMENT 2 DAYS AGO LSU +8 CHANGED TO LSU +9. LSU +8 LSU +9 LINE MOVEMENT 2 DAYS AGO LSU +9.5 CHANGED TO LSU +8. LSU +9.5 LSU +8 LINE MOVEMENT 2 DAYS AGO LSU +7 CHANGED TO LSU +9.5. LSU +7 LSU +9.5 LINE MOVEMENT 2 DAYS AGO LSU +6 CHANGED TO LSU +7. LSU +6 LSU +7
oh yeah. texas tech last several games are pretty flukeish, talking from a value standpoint. - against UH, they were lucky that UH started kyle allen. he's proven to be the inferior QB to postma, who has been much better since being inserted as the starter. still, tech only won by 3. - against okie lite, okie lite outgain them by 250 yards but only win by 7. two missed FGs and an INT in the redzone. - against kansas, kansas was driving in the 4q to cut the lead to 9 and texas tech had an 85 yd fumble return for a TD, and then an INT for a TD and all of sudden it is a 30 pt game. at some point, this luck will run out. and this week is the 2nd road trip in as many weeks. sets up very well for WVU.
Locked in: Auburn -6 aTm ML +141 aTm +3 TCU -4 Michigan -5 Mississippi State -22 Purdue +17 Leans: Michigan State -4 what am I missing on this? Let down game perhaps? Texas +8 YTD 32-24-2
hopefully our 3rd string freshman plays, he is as fast as delton if not faster and can actually throw. i would 100% take whatever the under is in this game im sure we will run it 50+ times
Urge you not to do that one. We are in a huge let down spot and honestly think there is a decent shot we lose.
Troy has killed themselves with turnovers. Oh well, just wanted a little something to keep my interest.
so far: 6-pt Tease TCU +1.5 / Auburn -0.5 A&M +110 FSU -7 (-120) been anti-FSU all year (sec thread knows this) but this line stinks like shit. I think dome foam pointed it out earlier. 1-3 team favored by more than a TD on the road vs. a 4-2 team. Screams Duke sucker bet UT line going up gonna wait to see if it hopefully gets up to 9.5-10 by kickoff
I added FSU as well, 100% agree. It looks like the UT line has dropped back down to 7.5 at several sites.
probably right. god I hate doing teasers and already have 1 this week but I would love to tease it 6.5 points to +14.5.... I may do that and throw it in with Auburn again. Only thing stopping me is that when I used to do teasers a lot - putting 1 game in multiple ones was ALWAYS the game that lost. I can't do that to my boys
Welp somehow I accidentally took KSU at +6 after I took TCU at -4.5, so now I'm looking for one hell of an awkward middle.
UCLA -1 WVU - 3 ML Parlay Wash St. Michigan Louisville Auburn Washington 2ND ML Parlay Wash St. Michigan Iowa St. Louisville Arkansas St. Washington