First Glance, liking some Big10 and Sunbelt... App State -4 South Alabama -2 Ohio State -6 (will probably take this closer closer to game time if the trend continues, i'm so glad Penn State blew out Michigan like they did) Missou -11 UNC +21 WVU +8 ND- 7 Minnesota +8 Sparty -1 YTD 50-29-3
if I bet on the PSU-OSU game it's gonna be the PSU moneyline. No way I could lay a TD with the Buckeyes until they prove they can play well vs a team with a good veteran QB. That loss to OU is looking worse every week and they've played 5 cupcakes since then. Only concern would be them having an extra week to prep for this game. But they had the same type situation vs. OU and that extra time didn't really help. Do like ND, OkSt and probably will end up gettin on UGA -14
A TD is a lot but it seems like it is trending to be at -4 by game time. At least to a bookie friend of mine. Anyways the public money is going to come in big on Penn State all week for several (all valid) reasons. I think OSU can blow out several teams but I do question how they will be able to blow out a true quality opponent. This isn't my favorite line, but if the line keeps dropping I am going to take it 4, MAYBE 5. My main reason, OSU's DL versus Penn State's OL. Penn State' one weak spot is at OL and Ohio State is solid af across the defensive front. I think OSU is awake and getting better each and will not be sleep walking or taking this game lightly, like the probably did against OSU. Anyways 2 points is a lot to drop so we shall see.
TLAU One other thing I just read was that while PSU has the number 1 scoring defense they haven't played an offense in the top 75. I didn't believe it so I looked it up and the best offense they have played, Iowa #81 (tied with UVA). I never fully rely on stats but at the season goes I trust them a little more. Week 9 has a solid sample pool.
yeaaaa but at the same time what stats are making anyone confident in OSU considering the only team that isn't legitimate trash they have played completely dominated them for most of the game?
it's only a component of it why I am considering betting on OSU. I just thought it was nuts that Penn State has played some really shitty offensive units. OSU's competition has better but nothing too crazy. The best offensive unit OSU has played was obviously OU which they lost 31-16 in week 2. Week 1 - Indiana #88 (49-21) Week 3 - Army #48 (38-7) Week 4 - UNLV #52 (54-21) Week 5 - Rutgers #101 (56-0) Week 6 - Maryland #62 (62-14) Week 7 - Nebraska #85 (56-14) Week 8 - BYE We all know OSU has the talent and a solid coach, however OSU's D hasn't been exactly tested either (less OU who they lost to early). OSU as a TD favorite and I would probably end up laying off, but with the OSU talent and coaching, them getting better each week, a recent bye week to prep, the game being played at home, and the line potentially dropping to closer to 4 I like the OSU odds better to cover versus PSU's.
I probably won't play anything at all because of the other games on at that time too unless I throw a real small action bet on the PSU ML I just think OSU is gonna be the gambling message boards flavor of the week. not speaking about this thread like the main gambling boards out there purely anecdotal and may not turn out that way but I've already seen a game thread discussing it on Madjacks and the majority think OSU is easy money. Games like that scare me
not saying they won't just that I haven't seen a good argument for it other than them having a bye and now Juan OLvsDL matchup. Like I said if I bet it will be purely a small action bet on PSU ML. I think they have mismatches with PSU's WRs vs. OSU DBs and Barkley out of the backfield vs. LBs What are everyone's thoughts on the UGA-UF game? Might only have one big bet this weekend and that be it (aside from homerun parlay) ND ml / OKST ml / UGA ml - pays out +110
Arkansas +3 @ Ole Miss Northwestern +2.5 vs Michigan State Ohio State -6 vs Penn State Tulane +11 @ Memphis Pittsburgh -3 vs UVA Houston +11 @ USF Missouri -13 @ Uconn NC State vs ND under 59.5 (LOCK)
So far tonight and the weekend, some of these I got on early in the week. South Alabama pick App State -3 Ohio State -6 Missouri -13 aTm ML UNC +21 (bought half) WVU +8 Sparty -1 (bought half) Baylor +10 (bought half)
So MSU vs A&M line kind of strange. On vegasinsider the line went from A&M -1.5 to MSU -1.5 and 75% of the money is on A&M. Anyone want to comment on that?
uconn passing defense ranks 29th in the nation on passing downs (passing IsoPPP)...who looks at "passing defense" as a stat anymore?
It is definitely a relevant measureable when the only respectable team UConn has played is Memphis. Maybe SMU, but they haven't really been as good as I thought they would be this year. Neither UConn nor Missouri are good teams but Missouri is definitely explosive on offense and UConn will not be able to keep up offensively or defensively IMO. This is not overlook spot for Missouri. Missouri also has one of the higher offensive IsoPPP rankings. I think top 20 iirc.
mizzou ranks first in explosive plays on offense but almost last in preventing them. uconn ranks 20th in isoppp in passing downs.
the more i look at this game, i don't really see any situational angles in uconn's favor. seems to me line is about right. GL.
I am not in love with the play, but what sold me on that side was the quality opponent Missouri has played over UConn. The SEC is definitely down but the AAC is an awful conference this year. I feel like Missouri is the better bad team that has better athletes. Mizzou has also played much better the past two weeks. Look at their loses, Mizzou has loses to Auburn, UGA, South Carolina, Purdue, and Kentucky. UConn has loses UVA, East Carolina, SMU, and Memphis. It's not completely crazy to count them out as finishing 6-6. They're currently 2-5 with games against UConn, Florida, Tennessee, Vandy, and Arkansas. Now I doubt that scenario plays out but it I would not be surprised at all to see them beat any of those teams. Especially considering some those teams HC scenarios. They still appear to have not given up and they still technically have something to play for. BOL to you as well.
tonights games College Football 112 Boston College +5 +110* vs Florida State College Football 113 Tulane/Memphis Over 63 -110* College Football 114 Memphis -9 -155* vs Tulane College Football 116 SMU -7 -150* vs Tulsa
Added Notre Dame -7 Notre Dame/NC State Under 58 South Carolina -6 (bought hook) FAU -6 Arizona State +3.5