FSUsem's 2017 College Bowl Season Picks & Discussion (Picks: 15-16, System A: 23-16)

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 15, 2017.

  1. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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  2. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Shitty Under bet on my part. But I'll take the in-game results
     
  3. TigerPawsSC

    TigerPawsSC Well-Known Member

    A couple of ACC teams outperforming expectations significantly. Been thinking the middle part of the league might have been a little underrated this year.
     
  4. Cheshire Bridge

    Cheshire Bridge 2017 & 2019 National Champions - Clemson Tigers
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    I'm cold just looking at the BC iowa game.


    Made a degen players on the........over!
     
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  5. Cheshire Bridge

    Cheshire Bridge 2017 & 2019 National Champions - Clemson Tigers
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    Andddddddd here come a field goal for sure.
     
  6. KJROD20

    KJROD20 the ends will justify the means.
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    I live in New York, it's brutal here today.
     
  7. Cheshire Bridge

    Cheshire Bridge 2017 & 2019 National Champions - Clemson Tigers
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    Yea. I'm hoping the in game total will allow me to cancel the play. That field is awful.
     
  8. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
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    Finally, the Iowa bowl streak is over! The sheet streak is over!
     
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  9. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    :beerchug:
     
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  10. Jaketherake

    Jaketherake Member

    :chatzy:
     
  11. stexraider

    stexraider Fire Everybody
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    Staying away but think Missou wins
     
  12. stexraider

    stexraider Fire Everybody
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    Ok ... went ahead and put a unit on Mizzou
     
  13. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    This Purdue/AZ game is fun
     
  14. The Hotch

    The Hotch Well-Known Member
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    As of a minute or two ago Arizona is going to win this game - bet accordingly
     
  15. The Hotch

    The Hotch Well-Known Member
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    To be clear I posted this prediction when AZ got the INT... Had not seen the ensuing TD pass
     
  16. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Need a Arizona cover and I win 4K on my 5 teamwr

    I’m drunk at Texas game is that going to happen ?
     
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  17. rezy

    rezy Member
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    They have shut down Purdue the entire 2nd half
     
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  18. Craig Pettis

    Craig Pettis Que será será motherfucker
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    2-0. Another good day
     
  19. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Wowweee what a way to handicap today. Had money on the two sheet winners and pegged the two wrong ones to stay off of. Cheers.
     
  20. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    Hey sem, looking at the plays for tomorrow - shouldn't the over for tcu-stanford be bolded since all 3 systems are in agreement on it?
     
    #370 *DIESEL*, Dec 28, 2017
    Last edited: Dec 28, 2017
  21. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Fuckin a
     
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  22. KJROD20

    KJROD20 the ends will justify the means.
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    Perfect day for me yesterday, including a Iowa/Purdue/Texas ML parlay that paid 8-1. Lets keep it rolling today.
     
  23. Long Ball Larry

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    What do you got today?

    Have any of you been tracking the systems and how they’re performing? If not, I’ll work on that this morning.
     
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  24. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
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    Navy +1
    Navy Under 51
    Virginia Tech +5.5
    Michigan State ML and points
     
  25. KJROD20

    KJROD20 the ends will justify the means.
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    I like Navy -1 for sure, maybe the under as well. Looking at TCU -3 too.

    I'm by no means an expert though, so don't take too much stock in me. I've been partially following the FSUsem system and partially feeling my own instinct. I'm thinking he may update his sheet for the thread shortly.

    What does everyone think of the OSU/VT game? All of the systems say bet on VT but I just don't see it.
     
  26. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    I like VT. Their defense could slow down OSU and should be able to score on OSU defense
     
  27. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    food for thought.

    uva already played option team this year in gt. Held them to 200 yards rushing. bronco mendenhall historically good against option.
     
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  28. RogueDeadGuyAU

    RogueDeadGuyAU Well-Known Member
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    Second what dome said. Bronco is something like 9-1 in his last 10 against option teams.
     
  29. devine

    devine hi, i am user devine
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    Going back and forth on navy/uva. Both teams suck
     
  30. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    am i seeing this right? 90% of bets on ok state. lines has moved from 6.5 to 5.5

    :nomnom:
     
  31. GovNole

    GovNole Well-Known Member

    I'm showing 77% of bets on OK St but still worth noting.
     
  32. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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  33. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    i already bet on va tech 6. i like betting dogs with the better defense in bowl games. and if you also consider what happens to ok state when they play a good defense, and the fact that they struggle against dual threat QBs. 5.5 pts is generous.

    factor in FSUsem 's sheet and the public bets...just put some more on it.
     
  34. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Past Six Years:

    System A is 124-87 ATS (58.8%)

    When A&B agree, the side has gone 87-56 ATS (60.8%)

    When all 3 agree, the side has gone 46-28 ATS (62.2%)
     
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  35. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    All 10 underdogs who've covered have done so outright.
     
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  36. asmith2021

    asmith2021 Member

    Any early plays?
     
  37. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Yeah looking at it now. If anything it will be out before noon.
     
  38. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    Interesting RLM on the total for the wazzu-msu game. If the Sports Action app is correct, almost 80% of the bets have been on the under, yet the total has gone from 44 to as high as 48 in some places.

    Screenshot_20171228-113547.png
     
  39. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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  40. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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  41. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Weird. Sportsinsights has the public %s highly favoring the over. I think it might be an error in the app.
     
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  42. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Yeah. VT shaping up to be a big play.
     
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  43. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    locked and loaded.
     
  44. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    from sportsaction take on navy game, re: my comment on UVA having success against GT this year....worth nothing:

    "However, if you look a little deeper at that November 4th game, the Wahoos caught the Yellow Jackets in a horrendous situational spot between games with Clemson and Virginia Tech. Georgia Tech still rushed for 220 yards, averaging 4.2 yards per carry, and even amassed 179 yards through the air. I think Navy’s offense, which ranks higher than Georgia Tech’s in total offense, yards per play, and rushing yards per attempt, will have similar success."

    i still cannot bet against a brono defense against the option in a bowl game, especially considering UVA has the motivation edge.
     
  45. tiger tommy

    tiger tommy Well-Known Member

    Just got V Tech +7
     
  46. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Military Bowl
    No play. There's better opportunities to make money today rather than betting on one-dimensional teams (UVA cant run) who've both stumbled into their bowl game.
     
  47. KJROD20

    KJROD20 the ends will justify the means.
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    I'm still seeing 6.5, if i can get that half point without buying it, i'll jump on it.
     
  48. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
    Kansas JayhawksAlabama Crimson Tide

    upload_2017-12-28_11-15-54.png

    I'll be taking my chances with Navy just bc I'm a degen and want some action.
     
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  49. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    Same. I got them at a pick em, so it's in agreement with all 3 of sem's systems and with "top 10 rushing teams" system. Gotta roll the dice.
     
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  50. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Navy up to -3 on 5dimes