With the season only a month away, I thought I’d start the 2019 thread. I’m a small fish, but went 9-2 last season and profited $1.5k. Some early Week 1 lines I like: Florida -7.5 vs. Miami Georgia -20 at Vanderbilt Alabama -31.5 vs. Duke
The Phil Steele magazine has some good information, but he’s become too buddy-buddy with most coaches and pumps more sunshine than others. I think the best way to find accurate information is searching for the local beat reporters and finding their season preview. Steele will say a team lost its three best receivers, but the local writer will tell you why and who’ll replace them. I know it’s not a one-stop shop, but it’s worth digging on some teams for Week 1.
Makes sense. Yeah I’ve noticed Steele will pick a couple rogue teams each year and hype the crap out of them (what he’s doing with Nebraska this year). I’ll start pursuing twitter soon.
Looks like Miami of Ohio going with the two qb rotation against Iowa Yea Iowa -21.5 looks nice right now
Not anymore. The best time for futures was early June before the lines moved. I don’t think the current numbers stand out. Clemson over 11 was the easiest pick, but it’s moved to 11.5 now.
Yeah agree. It’s always tough, if you wait you can miss out on good totals, but run the risk of injuries etc
For actual picks no, but I usually listen to the Action Network podcast and that Stanford Steve and Bear podcast. Then look at the S&P ratings. Kind of just combine all that with my own “gut” and hope for the best.
I really like Brian Edwards Sports on Twitter. It has good information and doesn’t saturate your timeline.
Normally some real solid guys on madjackssports forum. IIRC the guys I typically look at are Jord and WildBill but they play a lot of games so it’s more of just seeing it one/both agree or disagree if I’m not entirely sold on a pick but want action. Few other guys on there I’ve interacted with over the years are good and more selective but nobody is hitting crazy numbers.
Made the first bovada deposit of the year. Whore for the Hooks bought down UF to -6.5 Probably will do a 1H or some other light action because of degenerate excitement
I don’t know shit but probably parlaying Florida ML and the under tomorrow. That under has gotten really low though. I feel like 2 good defenses and shit offenses. Florida has more talent.
Miami is starting a true freshman at left tackle and has six freshmen in the two-deep rotation to protect a redshirt freshman quarterback. Points are going to be rare.
Let’s fucking go. Spent the day in Miami at a Russian/Turkish bathhouse. Holy shit guys amazing experience. Going to roll with over in Arizona Hawaii. 70.5 Also Arizona TT Over 40.5
Told yall to load up on that over edit: push is fine I guess fucking fake punt. Taking Under 47.5 Live line
Took Miami -7.5. Was very sketched out first quarter. Florida did everything they could to make this work. Not to brag but my power ratings had it as UF -4 on a neutral site.
Whenever I see shit like that I’ll just convince myself to throw like 10 bucks down out of solidarity to a degen.
Some of my leanings: Clemson under Tulane cover Ohio State cover BYU outright win Auburn cover Georgia cover Northwestern outright win
So far: Oregon ML Duke/Bama Over Tulane -2 GT +36 Army -20.5 Army 1H -12 Unless something REALLY peaks my interest, that might be it for Week 1.
thoughts on Okie St OU versus Oregon St - AT Oregon State? O/U stands at 72 - would think the under here with a good OkSt team traveling without a defined QB
I don’t know enough about either team, but 72 is a lot of points for Week 1 when defenses are usually a bit ahead of offenses.
I pretty much only bet CFB, occasionally NFL, and March Madness. I like the weekly rhythms, of CFB and injury reports, etc. Much easier to keep track of. Glad to be back. Trying to be better about tracking my record but all I know is I'm up in general. After each season I've been able to remove money from my account and reset back to my beginning bankroll. I'm on GT +37 and BYU +6.5 tonight.
Leans: UCLA/Cincinnati Over Texas State/Texas A&M Over Kent State/Arizona State Over Plays: FIU +3 Utah -6.5
I’m actually on the Aggie/Texas State first half over since I’m sure the Aggies will largely play second and third teamers in the second half
found this forum where this dude just posts all the weekly newsletters for free. It’s wild, there’s the Gold Sheet, the Power Sweep, VSIN pointspread weekly, Powers Picks, etc. Forum.thespread.com
My finals plays: UCLA/Cincinnat Over Robert Morris Georgia TEch/Clemson Under Florida International South Dakota State Kent State/Arizona State Over Utah
In light of recent events on this forum I'd prefer to keep my relationships on here as impersonal as possible...
Ended up deciding to follow The Vegas Refund on twitter. Has a pretty solid documented record for football and all sports in general. On UCLA +2.5 and BYU +6.5