Detroit Tigers Thread: Abandon All Hope Ye Who Enter Here

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by Celemo, Apr 9, 2015.

  1. smeegsgreen

    smeegsgreen Big fan of Koalas
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    13 hits :bzzzz:
     
  2. Joe Louis

    Joe Louis no thank you turkish, i'm sweet enough
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  3. ~ taylor ~

    ~ taylor ~ Well-Known Member
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    I was reading a puff piece on Spencer Turnball in the Athletic and it mentioned his 2.9 fWAR, which is only a shade off of Boyd's 3.3 in 37 less innings. Boyd is 29 and has 3 more seasons under club control, which Turnball is 27 and has 5 more seasons. Norris's WAR was 2.1, he's 26 and has 2 more years of club control. I'm not sure exactly what the point of this exercise is, but if I had to bet on one of them being a good, inexpensive 4th starter for the Tigers in 2023, when Manning, Mize and Skuball are hopefully entering their prime, I'm betting that it is Turnball over Boyd and Norris.

    I'm hopeful Boyd is traded at the deadline this year for a couple of position player prospects.
     
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  4. Constant

    Constant Meh
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    Another point made in the article, which I've seen reinforced elsewhere, is that Boyd is kind of a guru to the young guys in terms of pitching science and physical care. If they can get a good return for Boyd, then yeah. But I'd hate to see him shipped away for a bag of balls. There seemed to be limited interest last year.
     
  5. ~ taylor ~

    ~ taylor ~ Well-Known Member
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    I think the Tigers were asking for the moon last year after Boyd had a terrible June and bad July. And that was fine. If he's having a more consistently solid season this year there will be a lot more interest.
     
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  6. DeToxRox

    DeToxRox Uncle T
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    Good thing the Tigers slashed their payroll because the park is going to be a ghost town under the specter of Corona and Jacoby Jones being our everyday CF.
     
  7. ~ taylor ~

    ~ taylor ~ Well-Known Member
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    Previously known as the GregGohr-ovirus.
     
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  8. Vinegar Strokes

    Vinegar Strokes Fire Izzo
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    Torkelson has great power, but still has like 15 strikeouts in 45 AB

    this guy could be moving up boards. He shut down Nick Gonzales who is top 5 pick

     
  9. DeToxRox

    DeToxRox Uncle T
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    I feel like Torkelson is probably hacking more than he would like because no one wants to pitch to him.
     
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  10. Vinegar Strokes

    Vinegar Strokes Fire Izzo
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    would you take Tork #1 right now, or still on Martin? I wish Martin would get some infield reps
     
  11. DeToxRox

    DeToxRox Uncle T
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    I would lean Martin at this point.
     
  12. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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    It's not quite as bad when you compare it to plate appearances. Not counting 15 IBBs, he's at 14 K in 57 plate appearances (24.5%). That's rough for a bat first college guy, IMO, but his K rate his first two years was 16.3%, so I think it's certainly reasonable to attribute the added strikeouts to being pitched around and a kid trying to do damage when he's there. If you add in the IBBs to his plate appearances, the K rate is down to 19.4%.

    Martin has struck out twice this season (3.1%) and has a .492 OBP without the aid of all the IBBs. The low K rates don't always mean a ton, but I think it definitely backs up that Martin is the superior "pure" hitter.
     
  13. ~ taylor ~

    ~ taylor ~ Well-Known Member
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    I'd rather have Martin playing CF or LF than Torkelson playing 1B.
     
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  14. Vinegar Strokes

    Vinegar Strokes Fire Izzo
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    This guy can’t be serious

     
  15. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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    #builditbackup
     
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  16. ~ taylor ~

    ~ taylor ~ Well-Known Member
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    A 20 game improvement is still a 94 loss team. I bet they're a 94-95 loss team.
     
  17. Vinegar Strokes

    Vinegar Strokes Fire Izzo
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    As long as we finish in bottom 3. Need another high draft pick as that’s Avilas only way of getting talent players.
     
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  18. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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  19. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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    MLB Pipeline ranked our system #5. From Law's list, basically flipped us with the Yankees (#6 on Law's list, #22 on MLB). Pretty much everything to do with preferring closer to the big league guys over rookie ball guys with higher ceilings, in all likelihood.
     
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  20. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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    I'm assuming college baseball is done for the year for most of the country, which means we lost 114 games just so we could have the #1 pick in a year where we barely get to scout any players against good comp, and then those players will be sitting on their asses for 3 months leading up to the draft.
     
  21. Constant

    Constant Meh
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    Well if you're looking at 3yr college guys, you'll have to go on what you already know. Seems like it gives Martin a leg up.
     
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  22. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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    I think this helps Torkelson in terms of #1 overall. His performance to date was louder and Martin never really settled anywhere in the field.
     
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  23. Constant

    Constant Meh
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    Indictment of his defense, or testament to Vandy's embarrassment of riches?
     
  24. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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    Not sure anyone really knows. I've seen some people say he's really good at 3B, while others seem less enthused.
     
  25. DetroitNole

    DetroitNole Well-Known Member
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    Yea I'd say the stoppage puts Tork in the driver seat
     
  26. Vinegar Strokes

    Vinegar Strokes Fire Izzo
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    FUCK
     
  27. Brocktoon

    Brocktoon Well-Known Member
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    so if the season is cancelled does that mean that the Tigers would get the #1 pick again in 2021?
     
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  28. Vinegar Strokes

    Vinegar Strokes Fire Izzo
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    Fuck yeah. Hope you’re right. I bet they do some average of last 3 years, which would still probably give us first pick
     
  29. Vinegar Strokes

    Vinegar Strokes Fire Izzo
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    So is Fenech back on the beat?
     
  30. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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    Don't think he ever left it. Whatever that story was a few months back must have been talking about a second baseball person for the Freep
     
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  31. spartanchuck

    spartanchuck Well-Known Member

    haha....I was just going to ask. If, and I don't expect this to happen, the MLB doesn't play this season. Would the Tigers then get two #1 picks in a row?
     
  32. Tug

    Tug Well-Known Member
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    Theyre not going to cancel the whole season
     
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  33. DeToxRox

    DeToxRox Uncle T
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    Law posted his top 50 draft prospects

    1. Torkelson
    2. Martin
    3. Lacy
    4. Gonzales
    5. Hancock

    He says right now Torkelson is the best bet to go 1.1 but it isn’t a lock
     
  34. Vinegar Strokes

    Vinegar Strokes Fire Izzo
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    Yo Keith law. I’m copying and pasting this. Come suck my dick


    1. Spencer Torkelson, 1B, Arizona State

    Torkelson is the best bet to go first overall, although by no means a lock, as no college first baseman has ever gone first overall in the draft. (Two have gone second overall: Will Clark in 1985, and Travis Lee, who became a free agent on a technicality, in 1996.) Torkelson has everything you’d want in a hitting prospect – power (54 homers already in two-plus years in college), patience, and youth, as he won’t turn 21 until August.
     
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  35. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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    I'm stunned by that. He's much higher on Torkelson than I would have guessed.
     
  36. ~ taylor ~

    ~ taylor ~ Well-Known Member
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    You'd have to hope so, although next year would probably be done with a weighted lottery.
     
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  37. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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    Yeah, if it came to that, I'd be shocked if they didn't have some kind of lottery system. It probably wouldn't even be weighted.
     
  38. spartanchuck

    spartanchuck Well-Known Member

    I think the NHL is discussing getting rid of their lottery this year. Not sure if they'll do it or not though.
     
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  39. DeToxRox

    DeToxRox Uncle T
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  40. Vinegar Strokes

    Vinegar Strokes Fire Izzo
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  41. Where Eagles Dare

    Where Eagles Dare The Specialist Show On Earth
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    Get it out of the way in a year where baseball will not happen
     
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  42. hudson

    hudson Oh, you know...stuff.
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  43. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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    Hopefully this is one of those TJ surgeries where he comes back throwing 95+ again
     
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  44. naganole

    naganole I'm a pretty big deal around here.
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    Braves always win in trades with Detroit #SmoltzCurse
     
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  45. Constant

    Constant Meh
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    Doyle Alexander went 8-0. #NoRagrets

    :meh:
     
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  46. Vinegar Strokes

    Vinegar Strokes Fire Izzo
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    Didn’t we get burned on the Jair Jurrgens trade? Renteria sucked
     
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  47. bstaple12

    bstaple12 Nole World Order
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    We should create a thread where we really go back and analyze trades and rank them #quarantinethoughts
     
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