Gambling Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by bro, Nov 25, 2020.

  1. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    Goddammit. This is convincing
     
  2. NineteenNine

    NineteenNine Divers are, in fact, wankers. It's science.
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    thank you sir.
     
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  3. GoodForAnother

    GoodForAnother I’d rather be down the allotment
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    If you want to convince yourself the other direction, see Wendel Clark post above
     
  4. Iron Mickey

    Iron Mickey a guy who posted here like five years ago hates me
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    Arkansas RazorbacksSouth Carolina GamecocksLos Angeles DodgersDetroit LionsChelseaReal Salt Lake

    I am not judging anyone’s vices but gambling is incomprehensible to me. Just lighting money on fire.
     
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  5. NineteenNine

    NineteenNine Divers are, in fact, wankers. It's science.
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    :out:
     
  6. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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    You do know some people win right?

    And even if they don't, some hobbies cost money
     
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  7. GoodForAnother

    GoodForAnother I’d rather be down the allotment
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    it makes games more interesting and it is possible to profit off sports betting. I don’t turn a profit most years but it’s an inexpensive hobby
     
  8. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    Don’t you dare
     
  9. Iron Mickey

    Iron Mickey a guy who posted here like five years ago hates me
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    Arkansas RazorbacksSouth Carolina GamecocksLos Angeles DodgersDetroit LionsChelseaReal Salt Lake

  10. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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    Go into the BBQ thread and drop a "I can't believe people eat meat still" while you're at it
     
  11. Iron Mickey

    Iron Mickey a guy who posted here like five years ago hates me
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    It was just chat, seemed the best outlet. Wasn’t trying to be critical at all.
     
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  12. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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    The key is to either be good at it or know your limits like GoodForAnother

    $5 to give you a rooting interest for three hours seems like good value to me
     
  13. GoodForAnother

    GoodForAnother I’d rather be down the allotment
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    don’t ever talk to me or my son again
     
  14. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Here is what I say about this.

    If you want to put $20 on the game and it makes it interesting for you, go for it.

    I do it to make good money and put thousands of hours into mastering this craft. I make a very good side income off of this.
     
  15. Gallant Knight

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    On lions big
     
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  16. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    I’ve made a few hundred bucks this year but would gladly lose a couple hundred for a year’s worth entertainment
     
  17. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Think I’m landing on betting the lions but also getting on Watson’s passing yards prop
     
  18. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    That’s my point. It makes a boring game interesting to watch. It’s pure entertainment.

    Last week i made 13k. I have so much information and stats posted in excel. CBB I have a model to predict every score of all the games
     
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  19. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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    ez money
     
  20. Gallant Knight

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    Well keep sharing pimp
     
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  21. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    Gonzaga Kansas is probably the game of the day, tipping off in 40 minutes
     
  22. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    as the season goes, it will get stronger. Early adjustments. For instance yesterday’s number had the Illinois total at 140. Adjusting Ken Pom numbers changed it to 145.

    10 years ago is when they money was easily made because Ken Pom was so much better than linesmakers and they didn’t use his numbers. Now the line is pretty much made on Ken Pom numbers
     
  23. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    Lol Goddamit stafford
     
  24. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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    Up to 10 now
     
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  25. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    Lions. My goodness
     
  26. steamengine

    steamengine I don’t want to press one for English!
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    JJ is gonna show you morans!
    :americafuckyeah:
     
  27. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    :loldog:

    this game
     
  28. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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    This game is hilarious. Perfect for swings
     
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  29. Sir Phobos

    Sir Phobos Knight of Mars, Beater of Ass.
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    good lord almighty
     
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  30. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    This over might hit in the first quarter
     
  31. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
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    Yeah without a 20 ppg guy their going to have problems scoring. Hell Bradley giving Xavier a game and Toledo lost on basically a buzzer beater
     
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  32. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    Go zags go
     
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  33. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    I really want to see them win a championship.
     
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  34. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
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    This is a very good account to follow for sharp action.

     
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  35. Whammy Business

    Whammy Business Well-Known Member
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    Bet $5 at +10000 on the first quarter three-way moneyline. Thank you, Texans.
     
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  36. wes tegg

    wes tegg I'm a Guy's guy, guys.
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    Atlanta BravesDenver BroncosChicago BlackhawksBirmingham LegionMississippi Rebels

    Annual Turkey Day (10 pt 3 game) Teaser:

    New Mexico/Utah State o40
    R-Words +13
    Texans/Lions o41.5

    Probably won’t bet anything else today. Got a big Saturday ahead of me.
     
  37. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Me as well. Sitting at the parents house and I’ll bet the game live but I don’t feel like bringing the laptop out. Now tomorrow and Saturday. We firing all day.

    Think I’ll be in Roy Jones Jr pretty big Saturday night
     
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  38. kennypowers

    kennypowers Big shit like a dinosaur did it
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    What’s the model based on?
     
  39. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Just played a Live Under of 60.5 in the NFL game
     
  40. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    It takes multiple power ratings (Ken Pom, Sagarin etc.) combined with each teams tempo to give me a score
     
  41. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    I also have 10,000+ logged in excel from the last 10 years to show historic data for 2nd half predictions.

    For instance if the 1st half goes over by 10, what does the 2nd half do
     
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  42. kennypowers

    kennypowers Big shit like a dinosaur did it
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    UCF KnightsAtlanta BravesJacksonville Jaguars

    Tempo being possessions per game or points per possession or something like that? I live in the M&S world for computational physics so I’ve always been interested sports gambling models.
     
  43. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Possesions per game. The average in CBB is 71.5 possesions but some teams obviously do more. I spent months setting it up and tweaking it all through excel. Now all I need to do is update ratings every day, which is about 5 minutes, put the teams in and it gives me projections.
     
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  44. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Need 17 more yards for Watson’s over. Come on
     
  45. kennypowers

    kennypowers Big shit like a dinosaur did it
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    UCF KnightsAtlanta BravesJacksonville Jaguars

    Nice. Should hire some kid to redo it all in python and you could automate the updating. Could easily make a custom GUI for visualizing.
     
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  46. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    Lol at handing it to the FB there
     
  47. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
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    Why would you waste that amazing trick play on this game
     
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  48. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    What else are they playing for?
     
  49. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
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    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    I have the lions in a tease so this drive is very important for me
     
  50. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    BIG drop for me. Took this at the 2 min warning
     

    Attached Files:

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