Fantasy Baseball 2023

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by Stone Cold Steve Austin, Mar 15, 2021.

  1. Stone Cold Steve Austin

    Stone Cold Steve Austin Tickler Extraordinaire
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    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta Braves

    The return of the best fantasy sport is upon us.
     
  2. Andy Reocho

    Andy Reocho Please don't get lost in the sauce
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    Kansas JayhawksKansas City RoyalsKansas City ChiefsNewcastle UnitedBig 8 ConferenceFormula 1

    If anyone has a spot in a pay league, I’m interested and looking for one.
     
  3. Stone Cold Steve Austin

    Stone Cold Steve Austin Tickler Extraordinaire
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    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta Braves

    C7B79EB3-16F4-46AB-A40A-65A726368A54.jpeg FC127412-AE3A-4D82-BFF4-842C39BFC247.jpeg 6C1DE194-B8BE-4B66-9BBD-CD825CBF9A9E.jpeg 4F168A0B-7D50-4D6B-9C13-2F278EAE940D.jpeg

    My first of 2 drafts. 12 team 5x5 with daily moves. This is the less competitive of my 2 leagues so I feel like I can stream and manage my rotation pretty easily. I just drafted bats that I thought had high upside.
     
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  4. Cornelius Suttree

    Cornelius Suttree the smallest crumb can devour us
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    Indiana HoosiersArizona DiamondbacksWyoming CowboysNorthern Arizona Lumberjacks

    I'm gonna try to do a free roto league. Miss fantasy baseball
     
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  5. strike

    strike Well-Known Member
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    UCF KnightsFlorida PanthersMiami DolphinsMiami Marlins

    Is yahoo not offering pay leagues this year? I only see the free public leagues or free custom leagues.
     
  6. augers72

    augers72 Well-Known Member
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    Who do people have as sleepers this season?
     
  7. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    Tyler Mahle seems to be an industry favorite
     
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  8. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    finally subscribed to the athletic. really loving rates and barrels
     
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  9. Alshon

    Alshon Well-Known Member
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    South Carolina Gamecocks

    I've been harassing them about this on Twitter and they're supposedly opening them this week. But they've been dragging their feet so who knows.
     
  10. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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    In a rotisserie league and this year I finally changed dropped saves for saves + holds. Not sure if it's going to be any better, but there are like 12 actual closers any more so saves is kind of pointless now as a category to me.
     
  11. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

    Haven't played in a few years and have a draft on Thursday. It's a H2H league that's pretty much 5x5 plus OBP and Quality Starts. Any recs for rankings sites or places to research would be much appreciated.
     
  12. WillySaliba

    WillySaliba Well-Known Member
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    Philadelphia 76'ersArsenal

    Fangraphs auction calculator.
     
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  13. WillySaliba

    WillySaliba Well-Known Member
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    Philadelphia 76'ersArsenal

    I think I’m going to try this. All my listens revolve around this format now. Kind of sucks because from an interest stand point it seems to make discussion scrubs, studs and Faab. I prefer a more pitcher heavy format in which roster moves are agonizing.

    https://nfc.shgn.com/lobby/baseball

    Also I may have a spot for you. Debating on continuing my league that’s been going 20 years. It’s fun as hell but I’m done chasing dudes around and dealing with bullshit.
     
  14. rv12

    rv12 Cowabunga
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    Tennessee VolunteersAtlanta BravesGreen Bay PackersColorado State RamsSneakers

    Need help deciding on my last dynasty keepers. I'm in a 7x7 league with holds and losses included on pitching side. Overall we can keep 10 and I've got Acuña, Soto, Yelich, Jose Ramirez, W. Franco, and Cole as my first 6.

    Can keep 4 of these -
    Hitters: Mondesi, Starling Marte, Cavan Biggio, Jo Adell
    Pitchers: Hader, Lamet, Kirby Yates, Ian Anderson,Spencer Howard
     
  15. Trofie

    Trofie Well-Known Member
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    Chicago CubsIndianapolis Colts

    Mondesi, Biggio, adell, hader
     
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  16. jkun

    jkun UGA, United, Falcons, Braves, Tennis, Chelsea
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    Georgia BulldogsAtlanta BravesAtlanta HawksAtlanta FalconsChelseaAtlanta United

    My main league is going on year 10, h2h points, keep 4: Soto, Nola, Devers, Luis Robert.

    Really not sure how to treat this years draft, seems like SP who eat innings are at an ultra premium and all the mid guys have question marks.

    For anyone that doesn’t know, this guy makes the best excel draft sheet ever: https://mrcheatsheet.com/
     
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  17. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    i’ve done a few mocks and pitching seems to get ugly quick
     
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  18. WillySaliba

    WillySaliba Well-Known Member
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    Philadelphia 76'ersArsenal

    In my keeper I am retaining all SP. Biebs, Darvish, Giolito and then my final keeper is between Lynn or Glasnow. There are always nice bats on the wire, there are never any arms on the wire unless you roll the dice on someone fringe worthy in a pen.
     
  19. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    damn son!
     
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  20. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    SP i’ll be targeting after pick ~150 (nfbc adp)

    -Alcantara (150)
    -Montas (171)
    -Mahle (180)
    -Civale (183)
    -Soroka (187)
    -Mckenzie (189)
    -Stroman (190)
    -Urquidy (202)
    -Means (221)
    -Paxton (222)
    -Antone (302) might start
    -Gore (351) stash
    -Severino (387) stash
     
  21. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

    Does fangraphs have rankings for a snake draft?
     
  22. WillySaliba

    WillySaliba Well-Known Member
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    Philadelphia 76'ersArsenal

    They assign dollar amounts to each player. Typically I dump all their numbers into excel and sort by Bats, SP and RP. You can play around with the categories to get some ideas how they weight the players. For example saves and stolen bases massively inflate value. Might want to toggle that on/off to get an idea.
     
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  23. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

    Thanks. Appreciate the insight. Seems like the strategy may be to punt steals and saves if I miss out on the top guys.
     
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  24. MORBO!

    MORBO! Hello, Tiny Man. I WILL DESTROY YOU!!!!
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    New York GiantsNew York YankeesAtlanta UnitedUCF Knights

    Alright, so I can keep two players from my prior year's roster. The way we do the draft, we take the average "pre-season ranking" of each of their keeper players, and then we reverse the draft order based on who has the highest average pre-season ranking. So there is SOME incentive to have a lower average pre-season ranking of your two keepers, as it will probably give you a chance a top pick from the remaining players.

    I'm going with two offensive players here, and so here are my options:
    upload_2021-3-16_13-27-23.png

    I think it makes the most sense to go with Trea and Cody, obviously. My only thought was whether it would be worth going with Trea and Judge just to drop my average and get a better 1st round pick.

    How much difference do y'all really see between Bellinger and Judge here?
     
  25. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    give me bellinger by quite a bit for the steals potential
     
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  26. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
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    Judge is such a crap shoot with the injuries. I don't know what to do with Bellinger because he's so streaky. I didn't keep him after his SO slump a few years ago and that turned out poorly for me with his MVP season. Then he looked pretty average last year. I think I'd keep Springer over him, but I might be on an island there.
     
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  27. MORBO!

    MORBO! Hello, Tiny Man. I WILL DESTROY YOU!!!!
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    New York GiantsNew York YankeesAtlanta UnitedUCF Knights

    Yea, I don't doubt that Bellinger is the better pick, but I wasn't sure if it was worth maybe dropping down the draft order for it. I ran some numbers on what I expect others to do, and it's likely that Yelich or Ramirez would be the first pick of the remaining guys after keepers are taken out. After that, you're looking at Bryce, Mondesi, Rendon, Albies, or Machado as the best remaining possibilities.
    Springer may not be a bad direction to go in to assure myself of the top pick, but a potentially healthy Judge putting up normal production is enticing.
     
  28. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    think you gotta go Bellinger unless you’re positive you can get ramirez/yelich. being able to get Harper might be worth it as well but you’d have to have the 1st or 2nd pick
     
  29. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

    Picking 11th out of 12. Not feeling good about getting one of the top 3 pitchers. Should I reach for Bauer or Darvish at 14 or just take best player available?
     
  30. WillySaliba

    WillySaliba Well-Known Member
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    Philadelphia 76'ersArsenal

    1000 percent a bat from my perspective. Don’t know your league that well but I’d rather lose and have 45 RBIs than 9 for the week. Just personal preference. Caveat to that point is nailing your mod and late round arms.
     
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  31. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

    Thanks. Any thoughts on how I should approach Saves?
    It’s a H2H 5x5 league plus OBP and Quality Starts
     
  32. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    get a cheap closer or two and play the wire imo
     
  33. whiteboy

    whiteboy Big Volleyball Guy
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    Arkansas RazorbacksTexas RangersDallas MavericksSneakers

    Just found rates and barrels a couple weeks ago and really like it. The past few years I've listened to fantasy baseball today from cbs but it doesn't quite hold my attention like it used to.

    It's been a few years since I've used that one, the last couple of years I've used this one because it better fit my leagues settings

    He's moved to google sheets from excel which I like being able to access from a variety of devices, but some computers bog way down with all of the macros and updates.
     
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  34. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Welp saw this too late and grabbed Hendriks
     
  35. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    he’ll help with your ratios
     
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  36. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

    First draft in a 3-4 years, so don’t murder me. Let me know my strengths and weaknesses so I can make moves. It’s standard H2H 5x5 with OBP and Quality Starts added. 12 teams, 15 batters, 12 pitchers, 7 bench.

    EC2FD8E6-64F3-4394-907B-E4BDBFB671BC.png E1E0CD0B-B8F1-4A0B-9682-1BC8EC5B5474.png
     
  37. Alshon

    Alshon Well-Known Member
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    South Carolina Gamecocks

    You need some pitching help asap. Glasnow and Luzardo are huge IP risks, Lamet is battling elbow issues (hasn't pitched this spring yet), Soroka is coming off an achilles injury and may not be ready, and Price may not even be a starter. Some of those guys have upside but should have been paired with safer bets.
     
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  38. WillySaliba

    WillySaliba Well-Known Member
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    Philadelphia 76'ersArsenal

    Massive rosters. SP is going to be tough to come by for you, my guess is that several member's probably have every SP. First off look at roster constructions of the teams that were in the finals the previous year. That's how you will want your roster to look and based on the number of players that were drafted, you're going to have a tough time getting there. Don't drop any pitching until they are DL for the season. From Pollock on down, almost all those bats are going to be dead space, unless you're starting a MI, OF and/or multiple Util slots. Once the season gets rolling everyone has one off day max, possibly none with make up games, so you won't get most of them in for counting stats. I'd give Posey, Canderlario and Tellez a slightly longer leash out of that grouping. I would have two extra bats on the bench once you get into May.

    Probably will want to chase some saves as well. Follow this.
    https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/category/bullpen-report/

    Always keep your eye out on Probable starters, might see someone who is contributing a little bit. It's going to be really difficult though because most fringe SP don't hit that 6 inning threshold. Finally, fangraphs has an injury report as well. There will always be some decent SP that's starting the season on the shelf that no one has a timeline on. Those articles may tip you off to a decent option.

    Finally if you like to deal, Glasnow should be 1A for you. He has the potential to start off really hot, or get hot, but the Rays usage of SP in a league with QS really hurts you. Last year he was tied for 10th in Ks with 3 QS which put him tied for 60 something overall. Don't mess with Rays pitchers period, they fucking hate fantasy baseball.
     
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  39. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    what alshon said but i love the offense. hiura at 107 and meadows at 155 is crazy value
     
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  40. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    ty france is intriguing as a late rounder
     
  41. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Thanks for the detailed response. That’s really helpful. I got into the beers and had a spreadsheet from fangraphs going for picks but then got too far behind to catch up to use it for pitching. Definitely should have put more late round flyers on SPs. Also skipped on the bench bats.
     
  42. Alshon

    Alshon Well-Known Member
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    South Carolina Gamecocks

    What does the SP waiver wire look like in your league? Might be able to give you a few names to keep an eye on.
     
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  43. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

    Based on ESPN roster % the top guys are:
    Spencer Howard
    Seth Lugo
    David Peterson
    Tanner Houck
    Kyle Freeland
    Matt Manning
    Logan Gilbert
    Antonio Senzatela

    Guys that have high IP projected:
    Jordan Lyles
    Logan Webb
    Jakob Junis
    Martin Perez
    Keegan Akin
     
  44. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    is alex reyes available? cards are trying to get him 100 innings and he should be good for ratios and Ks

    i like adbert azolay as a late rounder too
     
  45. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

    Negative on both
     
  46. Room 15

    Room 15 Mi equipo esta Los Tigres
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta FalconsUnited States Men's National Soccer Team

    Anybody have a spot to fill in a league? I wouldn't mind getting back into fantasy baseball. Covid killed my last league.
     
  47. Alshon

    Alshon Well-Known Member
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    South Carolina Gamecocks

    Peterson may be worth a shot. He was useful last year and he should have a safe rotation spot now with Carrasco's injury.

    I would find someone you like with favorable matchups early because you're likely down 2-3 SPs to start the season.
     
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  48. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Thanks. Grabbed Peterson.
     
  49. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    South Carolina GamecocksAtlanta BravesWu-tang

    my main league is a 10 teamer with 5 keepers, no picks or anything attached. just keep five. i fucking hate it. look at these two teams

    acuna
    soto
    story
    harper
    arenado

    tatis
    bieber
    degrom
    j.ramirez
    bellinger

    i’ve got a strong five but jfc
    trout
    turner
    freeman
    devers
    albies
     
  50. WillySaliba

    WillySaliba Well-Known Member
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    Philadelphia 76'ersArsenal

    I think you’re all pretty equally loaded.
     
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