Official Investing Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by Joe Louis, Jul 12, 2010.

  1. Sportfan

    Sportfan From Six to Dumptime
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    I haven’t been with a company offering one until ~33 months ago, eclipsing $100k is quite good under that consideration.
     
  2. Chumbolone

    Chumbolone Wigglin’ my toes on a mink rug…
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    The old man says…

    EQX dropped from $9 to $6 because of a
    protest by local workers at one of its mines
    in Mexico. This happens a lot... everyone
    panics and sells out because of a "strike'
    which happens ALL THE TIME in Mexico
    and South America... and ALWAYS gets
    resolved with a month or two with some
    payoffs to the local leaders. This was a
    gift buying opportunity - this will easily
    be a $12 to $18 stock in two years because
    of the increase in it's gold production from
    new mines that are just now getting up and
    running.

    The pullback in AU was also a gift, it will
    earn $2.50 -$3.00 EPS in 2022 and pulled back
    to $18 which is a PE of only 6-8x.

    In silver miners, there is a company called
    Alexco (AXU) that has traded up to $3.50ish
    3 times over the last year. It's brand new
    silver mine in Canada is now up and into
    production - it is the SINGLE BEST BUY
    in a mining stock universe here and now...

    Today it's at $2.11... I'd buy a chunk now.
    And plan to add more if the gold/silver stocks
    eventually get taken down with a broad
    market crash… if that happens.

    This is THE 3-5 year buy and hold
    stock in the entire gold and silver space
    at these prices. It's not a gamble like
    the small cap explorer and developer
    stocks - as their mine has already been
    assayed and the silver in the ground
    quantified... their mine is up and running,
    so they are now in the 1st inning of production.

    The single lowest risk mining companies
    to own are producing miners in either Canada
    or the US. This is my single best bet to
    ultimately return 5 x + your money in
    3 to 5 years.

    There are a couple of small caps, I won't recommend to you because they are riskier and more volatile and you have to follow them almost on a daily basis for breaking news which can swing them in both directions; that are already up +50% off this pullback.

    Alexco (AXU) will be a $5 - $10 stocks in a couple
    years at present silver prices, or immediately if silver hits $35-$40 which it should do over the next year as people begin to believe the inflation trend is real, which it is.

    Again, you should establish a minimum of a 5% ish portfolio position in some mining stocks and the Sprott gold or silver ETFS as both an investment and as an inflation hedge.
     
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  3. dukebuckeye

    dukebuckeye I’m OK with your low opinion of me.
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  4. rcragg82

    rcragg82 Well-Known Member
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    I believe that is due to most people believing they overpayed for the Score. $2b for a company projected to do $70m in revenue is steep. I use the Score app on a regular basis but I can only see this making financial sense is if The Score is their entry into the Canadian betting market and couldn't do it without the acquisition.
     
  5. gordon bombay

    gordon bombay magician's alliance enthusiast
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    It's back up 6%
     
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  6. DuffandMuff

    DuffandMuff Well-Known Member
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    I believe that is due to most people believing they got a great deal in acquiring the score.
     
  7. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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    It's so they can ditch paying Kambi for linesmaking
     
  8. Lyrtch

    Lyrtch My second favorite meat is hamburger
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    dont know where else to post this but i enjoy all mocking of austrian economics and oddly my timeline had MULTIPLE people talking about it today



     
  9. Lyrtch

    Lyrtch My second favorite meat is hamburger
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  10. CaneKnight

    CaneKnight FSU Private Board's Fav Poster
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    Incomes all time high??????? What
     
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  11. Anison

    Anison Fair and square
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    It’s statistically accurate. Median household income is higher now than any preceding year. Of course, a median measure doesn’t account for the increasing gap between the top and the bottom.
     
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  12. dukebuckeye

    dukebuckeye I’m OK with your low opinion of me.
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    Can confirm.
     
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  13. NothingIsOT

    NothingIsOT Prom pic
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    Me too
     
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  14. Doc Louis

    Doc Louis Well-Known Member
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    Some of us got new jobs and got pay raises. :idk:
     
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  15. Arrec Bardwin

    Arrec Bardwin La Araña Discoteca
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    Anecdotally, unskilled labor wages are rising pretty fast, would like to see full data.
     
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  16. NothingIsOT

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    This. I saw the writing on the wall back in March, started looking around, and jumped ship for a pay raise.
     
  17. Bo Pelinis

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    Had to with the like, silent general strike that was happening.
     
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  18. Arrec Bardwin

    Arrec Bardwin La Araña Discoteca
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    Yeah I'm posting purely from my own knowledge of the restaurant industry, but I think its a decent indicator of widespread wage movement.
     
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  19. burnttatertot

    burnttatertot butt tuck zoomies
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    10% cash ready for oppo
     
  20. NothingIsOT

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    You 100% Stonks in your 401k and lowest mgmt fee?
     
  21. Lyrtch

    Lyrtch My second favorite meat is hamburger
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    yes

    why
     
  22. NothingIsOT

    NothingIsOT Prom pic
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    Cause you would appear to know what you’re talking about. Or at least researched enough.

    I’m comparing notes as I start up my 3rd company 401k plan this past week. I’m contemplating a tiny tweak in my strategy. I had around 20% bond exposure when I did my first 8 years ago, but I’m considering going down to zero like you. At least until I’m 50.
     
  23. Jimmy the Saint

    Jimmy the Saint The future is a benevolent black hole
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  24. Lyrtch

    Lyrtch My second favorite meat is hamburger
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    dunno how old you are, but if you have anything approaching ~20-25 years until retirement its a no-brainer to go 0% bonds

    the age markers are probably conservative too
     
  25. NothingIsOT

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    31

    Yeah I originally read 100-your age should be bonds, so I set it and forgot it when I first drafted 8 years ago. But I’ve really taken a fresh look at some of the strategies I’ve followed. Clearly left some money on the table, but got another 30 to go most likely.

    Didn’t start an IRA till 2020. :facepalm: got a great foundation, despite these two errors, but just tweaking to get even more.
     
  26. Seavie

    Seavie Loading tweet...
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    Man put it all into an index fund, imo. Don't know what all your plan has but I would think it has either an entire market index fund or S&P 500 index fund.
     
  27. Arrec Bardwin

    Arrec Bardwin La Araña Discoteca
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    100 minus your age might have been ok when bonds weren't getting absolutely shit on, seems like the only use for them now is to protect capital without it just sitting in a bank account.
     
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  28. Jimmy the Saint

    Jimmy the Saint The future is a benevolent black hole
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    Better late than never. I didn’t take it seriously until I left my first employer at 26.
     
  29. Lyrtch

    Lyrtch My second favorite meat is hamburger
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    hopefully we never go back to a world where bonds are great investments except as capital preservation
     
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  30. billdozer

    billdozer Well-Known Member
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    I plan on adding some bonds, maybe 10%, when I reach 40 and slowly increase from there. My goal is retirement at 57 (youngest out of college), with a stretch goal of 52.
     
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  31. FelipeG

    FelipeG Well-Known Member

    You'll probably have a better shot at retirement in the 52-57 age range if you go 100% stocks and 0% bonds. Even if the markets tank, you should be able to make that money back within a few years.
     
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  32. billdozer

    billdozer Well-Known Member
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    Right now I'm about 1/3 of the way to my target (33x estimated expenses, but I'm really using a desired income above that to allow for extras). Using the rough -fv excel formula, I can get to where I want to be with 4% real at age 57. So anything above 4% real just brings my retirement date back. Right now I'm 4 years ahead of that. Just a little amount in bonds gives risk reduction. I'm 38 now, so if I can possibly retire around 52, that's only 14 years out. If I don't make it then, I'll be well enough along.
     
    #25832 billdozer, Aug 8, 2021
    Last edited: Aug 8, 2021
  33. Sportfan

    Sportfan From Six to Dumptime
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    Aren’t there better investment mechanisms if you want a “risk free” small return that can deliver like 2.5-3% vs whatever bonds are right now?
     
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  34. billdozer

    billdozer Well-Known Member
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    80% of my money is in my 401k. It has a fixed income blend that has returned 2% this year and, over 6% 3 year average, and almost 4% 5 year average. So I'll probably use that when I start transitioning over. I'll probably look into iBonds at some point too.

    Another 10% is actually a cash balance pension account that has a minimum interest rate of 4%. So I guess I technically already have bonds, but I can't do anything about it.
     
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  35. Sportfan

    Sportfan From Six to Dumptime
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    Idk this threads thoughts on Cathie Wood but I enjoy hearing her perspectives even though like any fund manager I’m surely they’re grossly biased in their direction.

     
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  36. Baseballman86

    Baseballman86 Well-Known Member
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    Super basic question here.

    If I own a leap that was purchased at the money and is now heavily in the money with 6+ months to go, what are the cons to me selling that and rebuying something closer to the money today, with same expiration? I figure that locks in some gains and has roughly the same upside. The reason I'm trying to do that is these leaps have dramatically overweighted my account to this one stock
     
  37. Arrec Bardwin

    Arrec Bardwin La Araña Discoteca
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    If it’s way ITM, then buying one at the money will not have a big difference in delta. Would need to buy another leap if you’re trying to catch Delta and Gamma gains. If your idea is to just realize profit then yes that’s basically what you would be doing rolling to ATM.
     
  38. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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    capital gains (not sure when you bought the leap)
     
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  39. FelipeG

    FelipeG Well-Known Member

    Yeah I just think it would be easier to make up the other 2/3 with stocks than bonds. Seems like you have it all planned out though.
     
  40. Sportfan

    Sportfan From Six to Dumptime
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    GOOG just an absolute freight train this year. What a beast.
     
  41. Smuggy

    Smuggy Well-Known Member
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    My twin. Aren’t you also in the energy industry?
     
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  42. billdozer

    billdozer Well-Known Member
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    Yeah, at a nuclear plant.
     
  43. Sportfan

    Sportfan From Six to Dumptime
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    For those who trade covered calls, protected puts, etc.. is there a platform where you can use play/fake money to learn or test trades?
     
  44. gordon bombay

    gordon bombay magician's alliance enthusiast
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    You can paper trade on thinkorswim
     
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  45. ScFan27

    ScFan27 Well-Known Member
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    Investopedia has a simulator - https://www.investopedia.com/simulator

    Not to sure if you can write covered calls on there but I don't see why not.

    I started this portfolio when I was bored in one of my finance classes in 2013, started with $100,000 of monopoly money...
     

    Attached Files:

    #25845 ScFan27, Aug 12, 2021
    Last edited: Aug 12, 2021
  46. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
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  47. dukebuckeye

    dukebuckeye I’m OK with your low opinion of me.
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    A+
     
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  48. Sportfan

    Sportfan From Six to Dumptime
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    Added 37 VOO @$409.44

    Position is now 311 @$325.06

    Buying at all time highs, I’m a real long term investor now!
     
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  49. kinghill

    kinghill Cool American Flavour
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    Is this current housing market a bubble like 2007?
     
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  50. momux

    momux AFAM Scholar
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    No
     
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