1000/1000 night for the Ducks: Ryan Getzlaf gets his 1000th points and then the Ducks get the franchise's 1000th victory
They need to test like 3 times a week right? And can’t test of players days off, so there’s only so many days available. Detroit was on a back to back so I could see it lining up where they had to test on one of the two days.
It's kind of funny they gave Zegras a 10 minute misconduct for this (That didn't matter, because the game was over) but the league is hyping the celebration all over social media today. More stick tosses after OT winners.
Other random surprise: The only two worse offensive teams thus far in the season other than the Islanders are the Blackhawks and Coyotes.
True or False: Both McDavid and Draisaitl finish their careers top 10 in total points McDavid is about to turn 25 and has 603 points Draisaitl just turned 26 and has 539 points 9th place (whom both would have to pass) is Joe Sakic with 1641 points Note: Ovie (1346) and Crosby (1326) could/should also be up there
The past 3 years Draisaitl is at 1.60 PPG, McDavid is at 1.71. Obviously he won’t keep up the pace in his early/mid 30s but in 10 years at 36 that would put him at 1851. So he has room for drop off plus he’d still have more years after that. And who knows, his production may increase from where he’s at for a few years. He’s at 2.2 this year.
I need to apologize to Illinihockey because for years he’s said Jeremy was the worst coach in hockey and my reaction was to roll my eyes. But clearly he wasn’t wrong
it’s a bit premature for panicking my friend. Vegas was not normal. you can also go back to the canucks but not sure they are doing any better
One of the best goal scorers in history just chilling with the puck 20 feet out and having a pass available to him while three defenders watch: 0.08 expected goals (Kane had another shot too so it's even less than that)
That has to be considered an overwhelming flaw in the xG system. There's no goalie in the world that saves that sequence, he was left out to dry
The fact that the goalie is massively out of position doesn't factor in. It's basically just a high danger chance shooting percentage*(1-the chance that he misses the net) + or - a little proprietary blend of math.
I wouldn’t say a pass is available to him. Seattle has the pass covered and the goalie is 100% committed to Kane. 1 in 10 of scoring there seems about right
Right, but "can't buy a save" is ridiculous to describe yesterday. All four goals yesterday involve a Blackhawk with nobody between him and the net. Jones: Basically an empty-netter thanks to a defensive lapse Kane: Clean look as shown above Cat: One-on-one breakaway behind a defender Empty Netter Seattle's defense was abysmal yesterday. And so was their offense in the first period
It is the flaw in xG. It's not adjusted based on the shooter and does miss things like this perfect passing play. Overall, it's one of the better predictive measures of who "should" win a game, but it still has its flaws. This is one of them.
FWIW I don't think xG are much more than an interesting note when viewed in a one game sample. It's only over a large sample size when you can start to draw any conclusions from them. I was really just using it as an example that Grubauer has been total ass this year. (He leads the league in goals allowed above expected)
I think hockey metrics are still very crude and I’m not sure if there’s a great way to refine them. It’s not like baseball or even basketball. I think they are especially not useful in very small sample sizes (like single game xG)
I don't have any metrics to back it up but I can guarantee you that Kane is scoring more than 5% of the time when he gets to play with the puck before shooting 20 feet out