College Football Week 1

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by Snakes, Aug 25, 2012.

  1. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Texas A&M @ La Tech moved to Oct 13. That makes A&M's first game in the SEC an SEC game against Florida.
     
  2. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    I will definitely be on LA Tech now when they play tamu now.
     
  3. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    Playing Vandy U 45.5 as well
     
    Line 4 guy likes this.
  4. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    Still waiting on my A&M ticket to be cancelled out :/
     
  5. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Has anybody heard of anything at Florida to make that line move backwards a full point in the last hour or two?
     
  6. ThaxbyChamblis

    ThaxbyChamblis Well-Known Member

    Got a feeling that USC will get backdoored a lot this season, starting w/ the game vs Hawaii.

    Their last game vs Hawaii was the same thing.

    Looking at:

    Vandy +7
    Bama -13.5
    Ohio St. -23
    Oregon -35.5
    LSU -43
     
  7. Trip McNeely

    Trip McNeely Guys like us....we are a dime a dozen
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    That's one big matzo ball
     
  8. Goose

    Goose Hi
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    That, is a pretty large spread.

    I don't know much about Oregon's history of playing smaller schools but they are starting a new freshman QB and playing against a Gus Malzahn offense.

    And can LSU even score 43 points?
     
  9. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Not really a fan of either of these lines teased here... which is probably actually a GREAT sign for this guy.

    His 7unit plays only come once every 2-3 weeks. And they have a very high win % in the last 2 years. I play every one of them regardless of liking them or not




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    william13 [​IMG]
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    7UNIT

    tease

    texas -22

    kentucky +20' ........... g/l
     
  10. ThaxbyChamblis

    ThaxbyChamblis Well-Known Member

    Yeah neither one of those have been played, just some things I was looking at.

    The new freshman QB doesn't really worry me as much. DAT and Barner will do their numbers and the QB will get ample reps to try to get him ready for the conference slate. What are we to make of a Malzahn offense - a running game? Arky St.'s has a Running QB and they lost Dyer @ RB. W/ Dyer it would be a little different. They have good WR's for the Sun Belt (Namely Jarboe who was @ OU) but their beast WR from last year is gone I just don't see them throwing all over Oregon.

    LSU could score 50 points vs North Texas using the wildcat all game :laugh:

    I could see staying away from either of those lines, just some thoughts.

    Any MAC lines you guys are looking at?
     
  11. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    bet against NTex last year against FIU and FIU put up 41. real easy for LSU to put up 50
     
  12. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Aplin was a good duel-threat QB in a decent system LY. He threw for 2800+ LY and 15 TDs. I think he will have greater success in Malzhan's system TY. I think he runs for more and throws for more yards than he did last year. And Malzhan's offenses at Tulsa were very balanced. They were much more run-heavy at Auburn because he either didn't have a decent throwing QB or had the best running QB in the country.

    Oregon has played Malzhan's offense once and did a great job of slowing it down. I think Arky St plays well early and keeps it close, but Oregon should run away with this game late.
     
  13. ThaxbyChamblis

    ThaxbyChamblis Well-Known Member

    So youre thinking more of a 21-28 point game?
     
  14. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    I think it will take at least 56 from Oregon to cover that spread. Oregon is definitely capable of scoring that many, but the young QB for Oregon is going to have to make a few plays.

    There just seems to be a lot of unknowns in this game for a 36 point spread.
     
  15. Trip McNeely

    Trip McNeely Guys like us....we are a dime a dozen
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    My early leans:

    Souf Cack (-6.5)
    West Virginia (-24)
    Northwestern (-2)
    FIU (+4)
    GaTech (+7)
     
  16. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Pretty sure I'm going to lay off the spread on USC/Vandy and take the Under 56 for a hefty penny.

    USC so questionable in the passng game, should be giving Latt 30 carries to pound and eat clock
    Don't see Vandy throwing the ball a ton unless they get down by a lot, in which case they're not scoring much and Under still looks good
     
  17. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    My book has the total at 45.5. I would take that for $600,000.
     
  18. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Damn you're right I was looking at UCLA O/U.

    Still like it at U45.5 but not nearly as much... Vandy Team Total under 19.5??? do not see them scoring 3 tds
     
  19. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Agreed. I think something like 24-17.
     
  20. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Wasn't sure to put this in the NFLX thread or this one. Wanted some action on a couple plays tonight to go with a couple games I like tomorrow... teased



    $16.37 $32.74 Pending 4 Team Teaser (ties win) Teaser tw 7½fb & 5½bk
    Pending 8/30/12 7:00pm College Football 133 South Carolina/Vanderbilt Under 53 *
    Pending 8/30/12 11:00pm College Football 147 Minnesota U -1 * vs UNLV
    Pending 8/29/12 7:00pm NFL Football 102 New York Giants +7½ * vs New England Patriots
    Pending 8/29/12 8:30pm NFL Football 105 Miami Dolphins/Dallas Cowboys Over 28½ *
     
  21. Trip McNeely

    Trip McNeely Guys like us....we are a dime a dozen
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    I'm going to make an effort to keep with this board this season.

    Are we going to continue in this same vein (one weekly thread for discussion and posting picks)? Or are people going to start their own season thread with weekly pick updates, records, etc?
     
  22. Pac_Lion

    Pac_Lion Mr. Rubber Burner
    Penn State Nittany LionsNew York MetsNew York KnicksNew York JetsNew York Rangers

    I like this current format. 1 thread for that weeks worth of games. 1 for cfb and another for nfl. Talked to my bookie last night and I'm all set up for the season with a new account. He is a part of a large ring in the NY metro area. This is the first year that they have set up an online account. I used to have to call them and use a codename. This will be way easier and less of a headache
     
  23. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    stay away from the online blackjack, consider yourself warned
     
  24. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    agree completely......
     
  25. Pac_Lion

    Pac_Lion Mr. Rubber Burner
    Penn State Nittany LionsNew York MetsNew York KnicksNew York JetsNew York Rangers

    Its a site just for sports betting. No blackjack. Only a few ppl are allowed on the site bc he has to pay a fee for whoever he signs up there. Learned the hardway to stay far away from blackjack in college. Come home from the bar after striking out with a chick and keep hitting hit me button over and over. ughh
     
  26. wes tegg

    wes tegg I'm a Guy's guy, guys.
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    My weekend:

    USCe -7
    EMU ML
    NIU +9.5
     
  27. BhamBammer

    BhamBammer Showtime for Heisman
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    I came back home from the bars one night wasted and apparently lost 100 dollars playing blackjack on my bookies site :facepalm: I felt like a complete jackass
     
  28. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    :clap:

    Promise I've hit the roulette table before
     
  29. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    I'll raise you $1175 the night of the VT-GT game in 2005. remember losing my ass on that game and a couple other. took a xanax. and drank ~1.5 gallons of beer throughout the day. Woke up the next morning and that number was real real big and I checked to see "unposted casino losses $1275"

    didn't end up paying all of it bc my limit was supposed to be 1K but gat dayum what was I thinking. Xanax is bad
     
  30. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    I guess that means you like EMU +3 as well. I was looking at this game earlier and might add it to my card.
     
  31. wes tegg

    wes tegg I'm a Guy's guy, guys.
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    I do. EMU starts 14 seniors.
     
  32. ThaxbyChamblis

    ThaxbyChamblis Well-Known Member

    Xanax isn't bad...the resulting blackout and inability to remember anything that happened in the previous 18 hours is bad lol
     
  33. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Been seeing some love for EMU on another board. Coming from some MAC guys that follow the conference real close. I'm intrigued
     
  34. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
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    adding BYU -12 to my card, veteran offense should shred that Wash St defense
     
  35. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    All plays are one unit unless posted differently.

    Week 1 NCAAF Card

    8/30

    Vanderbilt +7
    EMU +3
    BYU -12
     
  36. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    2 down 2 to go. need to start off football season on the right foot.

    Where did the BYU love come from? does BYU ever blow people out besides FSU a few years ago?
     
  37. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    I don't think Rice can keep it close with UCLA.

    AB to lock up +3.5 for EM. Line just dropped to 3 love those hooks
     
  38. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    formatting wouldn't copy pasta

    2 game parlay $21/39

    EM +3.5 -125
    UCLA -13.5 -170
     
  39. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    If anyone wants a talk about online blackjack im your person. Ive lost about $35K on it and I am not even lying. It feels like its not real money when you play so you don't care then you lost $25k and your like oh fuck what did I just do.

    I bet so much last year I won 55,000 Bookmaker points from it. You get 1 bookmaker point for every $10 bet you make in it. I was playing for Blackjack Multihand, 3 hands at a time, $250 (Which was Max). I did for a hour straight to get all that so that means I had bet a total of $550,000 to get all those points.

    I have major problems with it. I still play it until last week when I had bookmaker disable my casino. I had my cousin change my password for my account and save it to my remembered passwords so I don't know my password so I can't get them to enable the online casino again.
     
  40. BhamBammer

    BhamBammer Showtime for Heisman
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    :ohholkyfuck:
     
  41. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Heres a picture of the bet points

    [​IMG]
     
  42. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
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    Oh yeah it was crazy shit. It's really addicting because you win the money so fast. I would get bad at night when I would go to bed and I just lost the last game of the day so I am down money for the day and I want to get back to even or ahead.

    Then you lose the $5k and you make 4.9k back and your like im almost even I should stop. But you don't then your down $10k.

    NEVER PLAY 1 HAND. Because it gets addicting online.
     
  43. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    A couple things that interest me for tomorrows games.

    I did my handicapping Tuesday and the UCLA/Rice O/U was 55.5 and I was liking the Under a bit. I get to the internet just now and notice it jumped from 56 this morning at 11AM to 59.5 at 12:33 AM. So in 12 hours it jumped 3.5 points. Obviously some tout is on this probably RAS. That scares me that jump but I still like this play. I really expect the UCLA defense to shut this Rice team down. I envision a 38-10 UCLA victory.

    BYU has the small public money so far but yet dropped from -13 to -11. Another game where I liked BYU and the line went the other way. I am very high on this BYU team this year. Two of Wazzau projected starting D Line are in question. #1 DT Laurenzi was kicked off the team in July and Starting DE Cooper has an ankle injury and is listed as questionable. Wazzaus defense last year was pitiful and BYU rushing game averaged 160 yards a game. Wazzau surprisingly had a Top 15 Passing Offense last year but the BYU Passing D only gave up 201 yards a game and they bring back 2 of their Secondary players. We all know Mike Leach is just going to chuck the ball all game. Interesting tidbit I heard on the radio today. With the Texas Tech Air Raid offense, Leaches first year against BYU they scored 24 points. The next 2 games they put up 40+. Two Coordinators left Texas Tech while Leach was there. In 2007, one went to BYU and implemented the Air Raid offense, their first game they scored 3 points. In 2008, the other went to Arizona and implemented the Air Raid offense and in their first game they scored 7 points. So this offense will take some time to get going. Hopefully around Game 5-7 we will find alot of value in Wazzau
     
  44. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    quoted wrong person--sorry
     
  45. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    Adding EMich +3 and O 58
    BYU -12
     
  46. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    [​IMG]
     
    pennstate2012 likes this.
  47. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Correct. just updated the Tout thread
     
  48. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    Floyd "Money" Mayweather apparently has a $3 million bet on Michigan +14.
     
  49. Pac_Lion

    Pac_Lion Mr. Rubber Burner
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    He's gunna lose 3 million then
     
  50. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
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    I tend to agree. I like Bama in that game, but my fandom causes conflicting thoughts and emotions about that game. It's almost impossible for me to look at that game objectively.