Week 6 College Football

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FriendsofJtyler, Sep 30, 2012.

  1. GuyOnA_Buffalo

    GuyOnA_Buffalo Orphans, Cougars & What Not
    Donor
    Texas RangersOklahoma City ThunderOklahoma Sooners

    Do you guys know the definition of the word "potential"?
     
  2. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    Let's get this conversation back on track. 5 weeknight games this week.
     
    GuyOnA_Buffalo likes this.
  3. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Utah, Syracuse, Utah State.
     
    FadeMe likes this.
  4. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    I think OU has more "potential" than Tech, but I don't think you can cap on potential. There are way more factors that will nullify or outweigh talent and potential. Home field advantage, matchups, injuries all play bigger factors than talent IMO.
     
  5. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

    Miss St is -10.5 now, obviously a bad line before. I would actually lean Kentucky at the current number
     
  6. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

    Locked these in:



    CFB [358] KANSAS STATE -24-105
    CFB [361] ARKANSAS +10½-110
    CFB [370] STANFORD -9½-105
    CFB [372] TEXAS TECH +5½-110
    CFB [384] OREGON STATE -15½-105
    CFB [364] PURDUE +3½-110
     
  7. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

    Going round robin with these picks, fuck it
     
  8. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Oh shit! I like it.
     
  9. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    My apologies for turning this into a fan thread. Won't happen from me again
     
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  10. GuyOnA_Buffalo

    GuyOnA_Buffalo Orphans, Cougars & What Not
    Donor
    Texas RangersOklahoma City ThunderOklahoma Sooners

    My bad. I forgot where we were for a sec. I'm just so damn sensitive.
     
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  11. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Mississippi State -10.5 is the spread now
     
  12. chuckles

    chuckles Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Florida GatorsAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Thoughts on USC-Utah u47.5?
     
  13. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    Tx Tech +6***
    E Mich +3**
    Penn St -3**
     
  14. TAS

    TAS 20_ _ TMB Poster of the Year
    Donor

    Did they come out and say the original line was a mistake? How does that work, are the original bets honored?
     
  15. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    Yeah if you confirm any bet in that's on the board it's honored. Usually they'll take the game off the board and put it back with an adjusted line but any bet confirmed is honored and still considered action.
     
    TAS likes this.
  16. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    Public all over the over and it's moving the wrong way...I like it. How did you end up doing last weekend?
     
  17. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member


    A little early in the week but here are some RLMs. Some just 0.5 points but just noting these for now.

    Utah under 47.5
    GT+10
    Temple+5
    EMU+3
    UConn+8
    UMass+16.5
    Vandy+6.5
    Iowa St.+11.5
    KSU-24---Not RLM but I like them here
    Arkansas+10---Don't really like this one. What are you Auburn guys' thoughts?
    Purdue+3
    Texas Tech+5
    UNLV+25---Don't really like this either
    Marshall+3
    ND-13
    Buffalo+14
    Nebraska+3
    Florida+2.5---Really like this. SEC guys that have watched these teams more than me what are y'alls thoughts?
    MTSU+3

    2:30 slot is fucking loaded for games I personally want to watch and play but I'm going to Lubbock for OU-TTU game which is also at 2:30. Kinda sucks but a pretty big first world problem.
     
  18. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    Done with NCST after watching them play defense last week. That team was tough to watch. their secondary really is the worst secondary I've seen in a long MFin time.
     
  19. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    I wouldn't bet on us beating Arkansas by DDs. Don't see how we beat anyone by DDs. From what I've gathered, their pass D is the weakness. I mean the whole defense is a weakness, but Pass D is where they give up the most big plays. We don't have the QB to take advantage of that. They should still be able to break off some big plays against us. Doubt they'll be able to sustain drives because our DL should manhandle that OL of theirs and get some drive ending sacks, stop the run, etc.

    I bet the total for this game should be insanely high, maybe even around 55-60. I'd take the Under. I honestly couldn't pick a side. If there was a game for Frazier to "break out" in, which I'm not saying like a heisman break out or anything even remotely close - think game manager that doesn't make any mistakes - we will win by 14-21 just because Arkansas has given up.
     
    rockportraider likes this.
  20. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    My bet is honored at Pinnacle. I <3 Pinnacle. Sucks that none of you guys can use it because it's so much better. I dropped 50 % of my account on it. (Right around 7.5k)
     
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  21. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    Jesus. Good luck man.
     
    wes tegg likes this.
  22. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    Thanks. O/U currently at 54.5 at some places. Probably gonna tail you on that under.
     
  23. TAS

    TAS 20_ _ TMB Poster of the Year
    Donor

    Was it just a simple typo when inputting the line? Seems crazy that they would fuck up that bad
     
  24. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    I don't think so because it was 14.5 at a couple different books. Could have been a typo at one of the books (maybe Pinnacle) and the other books just copy Pinnacle's lines which on the surface seems to be the case a lot of the time if you follow the lines. It says it opened at 10.5 at CRIS though so I really don't know. Currently at 9/9.5 at places which is still way high IMO. From an outsider's perspective, I think Miss. St. should be favored, so it looks like Vegas is begging people to take Miss. St. Wish I would have gotten it at 14.5 obviously but this thing still reeks of trap.
     
  25. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    That line was just wrong. There was no trapping.
     
  26. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Miss St is now favored.
     
  27. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    Oh wow. I've been reading it as only a 4 point adjustment instead of 24. TAS yeah that was definitely a typo by Pinnacle and they are going to get burned by it. Never seen anything like this happen before.
     
  28. The Great Pumpkin

    The Great Pumpkin The Next Portugese Prodigy
    Donor TMB OG

    Likely, but if Kentucky pulls a miracle and covers that line they are going to make a mint.
     
  29. Line 4 Guy

    Line 4 Guy Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Texas LonghornsTexas RangersDallas CowboysFC Dallas

    It depends on how the online book wants to deal with it. I had a wager taken away and my $ credited back when I used The Greek. I took a second half line of +35 pts when it should have been posted as +3.5 pts. I use bookmaker now and here is what they have posted:
    24. In the case of an obvious error on the posted line, scheduled time, or maximum wager, any wagers will be deemed a "no action" wager, and all money
    will be credited accordingly.
     
  30. FadeMe

    FadeMe Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta United

    Thank Pinnacle in writing for the gift if you win!
     
  31. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    I just looked again and they cancelled and gave me a free $500 from pinnacle staff. So I think they gave me money so I did t complain.
     
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  32. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    Utah St +7**
     
  33. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Greek used to fuck up 2nd half lines on a nightly basis. Never had one of them go through. All were found and cancelled
     
  34. Line 4 Guy

    Line 4 Guy Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Texas LonghornsTexas RangersDallas CowboysFC Dallas

    That's the only time I ever had a problem. On Bookmaker its a little harder on second half wagers. Every fucking time I hit submit the juice has adjusted or line has changed. So I check it and resubmit and it has changed again.
     
  35. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Ehhh, sort of agree with him. Does make sense

     
  36. Beagle

    Beagle Many, many french fries
    Donor
    Southern Mississippi Golden EaglesNew Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Saints

    lines i like this week

    Boise -11
    BC -9
    Oregon State -14
    SMU +2
    Mizzou -7
    Auburn -10
     
  37. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    All very good points
     
  38. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    there were reports all off season that stoops has lost the team and there seems to be some systemic problems within the program.
    i am buying this info now, after seeing the first 4 weeks of the season.

    when i first heard this info, i thought the tech game could be a huge problem for them.

    i think people will like OU in this spot, but probably haven't watched OU much the past 8 games they have played (mainly, minus broyles). these people are betting on the OU who dominated the conference for much of the 2000s.
     
  39. texasraider

    texasraider thanks
    Donor
    Texas RangersKansas City ChiefsDallas Mavericks altTexas Tech Red Raiders alt

    It's an interesting game. I don't think anyone knows what the real Tech team is or the real OU team is yet.

    I'm taking OU as I bet against Tech 90% of the time in a big game. It's a win win for me that way.

    But I think Tech wins and I wouldn't be surprised if it was double digits.

    (Obvious homer disclaimer)
     
  40. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    so you're making a bet with the idea that you think you'll lose it? and possibly it won't even be close?
     
  41. Nole0515

    Nole0515 Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Florida State SeminolesChicago BullsChicago BearsChicago BlackhawksBayern MunichTiger Woods

    just starting out sports betting. what do yall think about this bet? I know parlays are sucker bets but its only 20 bucks
    FloridaSt
    -14.5
    KansasSt
    -24
    MississippiSt
    -10
    OhioSt
    -3
    (-115)
    Northwestern
    +3
    (-105)
    TexasTech
    +5
    USC
    -14
    UtahSt
    +7
    WashingtonU
    +24

    20 to win 6727.17

    YOUR TOTAL BET
    TOTAL POTENTIAL WIN

    $ 20.00
    $ 6727.17
     
  42. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    One thing you will learn, never bet on your own team.
     
  43. Nole0515

    Nole0515 Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Florida State SeminolesChicago BullsChicago BearsChicago BlackhawksBayern MunichTiger Woods

    I learned that last week when I put down 110 to win a 100 and we had a couple opportunities to cover and didnt
     
  44. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    I wouldn't say never bet on your own team. I hit when we played Auburn and Florida State (just have to look at it rationally and pick your spots).

    I would say never bet against your own team. That's rule #1 of sports betting.
     
  45. GuyOnA_Buffalo

    GuyOnA_Buffalo Orphans, Cougars & What Not
    Donor
    Texas RangersOklahoma City ThunderOklahoma Sooners

    I bet against my team once or twice a season. When we were good, I used to bet with them often.
     
  46. bRamonceTaylor

    bRamonceTaylor Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Malcolm Brown, Texas #1 RB, is apparently out for Saturday.
     
  47. comrade static

    comrade static i love french fries
    Donor
    Oklahoma City ThunderPhiladelphia EaglesOklahoma SoonersBarAndGrillBig 8 Conference

    i've probably made more money betting against OU than i have betting with them.
     
  48. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    See that would drive me batshit. I hate losing money gambling, but I hate even worse when my team loses.
     
  49. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    I never bet with my team only time I ever bet them is against them. Biggest play I ever made was against them. Last year LSU -11.5 when that number I opened I put 10k on it. That was the biggest
    lock
    ever.
     
  50. Nole0515

    Nole0515 Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Florida State SeminolesChicago BullsChicago BearsChicago BlackhawksBayern MunichTiger Woods

    I used to play poker as a part time job and have had a couple grand sitting in front of me, but I dont think I would ever have the balls to bet that big on a single game