i got ASU +10.5 on betUS yesterday. feel like i did with taking Tech +6 last week. either they cover(maybe win) or they get taken to the murder shed and the public rolls around in their money.
Think I'm going to lay off. I really want to take ASU, but I have this sick feeling that Oregon is going to beat the brakes off of them. Arizona State has a solid defense, but Oregon has only been held under 30 points one time in the last two seasons and that was against a top 5 defense in the country (LSU).
I know that Oregon hasn't played a great schedule and that this is their first true test on the road, but Arizona State hasn't really faced a murderer's row either (Northern Arizona, Illinois, Colorado, lost to Missouri with their backup QB, @ Cal, Utah).
Spurrier could be play mind games (which he probably is) but: There are a lot of injuries and illnesses. Spurrier had them written down on a sheet of paper. Take it for what it's worth. Under doubtful, he had Jadeveon Clowney (foot) and Marcus Lattimore (hip). Listed as "Out" he had Kelcy Quarles, J.T. Surratt, and Byron Jerideau. He had players listed under "Sick" as Bruce Ellington, Ace Sanders missed yesterday, Mike Matulis, Jimmy Legree, and Cody Gibson. Gibson has been out for about 10 days If that is the case, without bias, Florida wins this game by 2 TDs
Thoughts on the Oregon-ASU O/U? The total is at 68.5 now. The public is all about the over for obvious reasons. Makes me lean toward the under but 68.5 really isn't much.
Huge misconception about Arizona State's D. The average offense they've faced is ranked 98th in the country.
Locked in Oregon for a unit just now. I'm on tilt from a horrendous last wknd and world cup qualifying this week. Fuck it
In Tennessee's games this season, their TT compared to their opponent's average points allowed per game have been the following: NCST: 35/20.5 (+14.5) = +70.7% Georgia State: 51/34.7 (+16.3) = +46.9% Florida: 20/12.3 (+7.7) = +62.6% Akron: 47/37.7 (+9.3) = +24.6% UGA: 44/24.2 (+19.7) = +81.4% MSST: 31/16.3 (+14.7) = +90.1% Averaged out, Tennessee averages an increase of 62.7% of their opponent's average points allowed per game. Pretty impressive. ***Edit: the numbers I used are teams averages after they played Tennessee, so the values aren't very good for extrapolating to future match-ups. I just looked into this after seeing that UT has hit the over in every game.
well we're either gonna be a happy group or a bunch of losers tonight. also looking at SMU and the Oregon/ASU Over tonight.
If Asu/Oregon goes how I hope/expect. I'd bet the under. low scoring for an oregon game. something in the high 50's. I don't bet totals though but if Oregon/over hits, public is gonna get paaaid.
leans for the week, gonna have to trim them down to about 5-7 picks Clemson aTm Cal NCSt Braska USCe TCU WV Tenn - prob the 1st one that gets axed Toledo FSU
Just finished my weekly write-up. I took a little bit of a whooping last week in the W/L column, but still managed to finish +2.5 units. Tonight I have the 49ers -7 and ASU +8.5. A few that I like Saturday include: VT +8, K-State +3.5, and UAB +3. Check out the write-up here: Week 8 Preview and Picks BOL!
Very tempted to buy the hook and take Oregon -7. This massive line movement tells me not to, but I really don't know how ASU hangs with them. Hmmm...
I like that you are on SMU (I'm a law student here). Will be out tailgating for that game in a few hours
I don't really see the Oregon-ASU game being a close win for Oregon. We don't really win close games. Either Oregon blows ASU out or ASU wins, imo (and it doesn't matter if it's close or not). So everyone taking the points should probably consider the moneyline imo.
You're right, in the last 2.5 seasons Oregon has only once won a regular season game by less than 11 points (2010 vs Cal). In the two Thursday night games in that time period, Oregon has won by an average of 37.5 points (43-15 vs Cal and 60-13 vs UCLA)
It's the dance with who brought you mindset. We've all made money off them all year; I'd rather lose with them than miss out on winning with them.
Oregon's top linebacker will also be back tonight in the starting lineup after missing a couple games to injury
I've seen a few pick services today that like houston but I just don't see them winning by 10(my tease)
damn, oregon ran right at the pasty white replacement dlineman for 80yds. if that's the best replacement they can put out there I'm dead.
Well, you could have a beer in your hand, and a girl could be sucking you off while you're watching the game
Yeah I typed that wrong. I like the over more than a side. But I like Houston -3. I don't think they are 2 TDs worse than SMU.