FSUsem's 2018 College Bowl Season Picks & Discussion (16-16-1, Up One Whole Unit! (minus the juice))

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 14, 2018.

  1. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    Florida State SeminolesConnecticut HuskiesBoston Red SoxNew England Patriots

    I see the sheet is big on UGA but I think I'll pass on that one - statistically they are the play but SEC teams have a track record of mailing it in for non-playoff NY6 games.
     
    bstaple12 likes this.
  2. dome foam

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    like UCF today.
     
  3. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Texas line crashing down.
     
  4. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ***Mississippi St -7
    ***UCF +8
    *****UCF/LSU Over 57.5
    ****Washington +7
    **Georgia -11.5
     
  5. tiger tommy

    tiger tommy Well-Known Member

    Let's finish strong
    :ballin:
     
  6. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Moneyline parlay for Washington and UCF is returning a little over 10:1. Great value for teams going against opponents with suspect motivation.
     
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  7. tiger tommy

    tiger tommy Well-Known Member

    Penn St down to 4.5
     
  8. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Joe Burrow likely out could hurt the over. Pick 6 is a silver lining.
     
  9. dome foam

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    RIP joe burrows
     
  10. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    These refs are trying to keep LSU in it
     
  11. tiger tommy

    tiger tommy Well-Known Member

  12. CUAngler

    CUAngler Royale with Cheese
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    Big big big
     
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  13. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    UCF sucks
     
    tiger tommy likes this.
  14. GovNole

    GovNole Well-Known Member

    Washington down to +4.5. Big line movement today.
     
  15. animal_mother

    animal_mother Well-Known Member
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    Was Washington @ +7 any time today?
     
  16. GovNole

    GovNole Well-Known Member

    Yes, I actually saw it at 7.5
     
    animal_mother likes this.
  17. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    I got -120 at +7 on bovada an hour ago
     
    The Hebrew Husker likes this.
  18. The Hebrew Husker

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    Its +7 on Bovada and like 5.5 on Pinnacle.
     
  19. The Hebrew Husker

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    Welp lets hope OSU takes the foot off the gas or something, fuck this has been rough.
     
  20. The Hebrew Husker

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    Please stand and get us outta here with a cover.
     
  21. CUAngler

    CUAngler Royale with Cheese
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    Nobody breathe
     
  22. GovNole

    GovNole Well-Known Member

    This is 42 seconds from a miracle.
     
  23. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    never in doubt.
     
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  24. The Hebrew Husker

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    My girlfriend is wondering what the fuck is going on because I was laying facedown on the floor when that dude got to like the 40
     
    letan, tiger tommy and TDCD like this.
  25. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    nice little run of backdoor covers for me with OU and washington. 2 games I'd written off by halftime
     
    The Hebrew Husker likes this.
  26. The Hebrew Husker

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    In all that chaos I forgot I took the under too.
     
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  27. CUAngler

    CUAngler Royale with Cheese
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    Oh yeah. Couldn't have slid a greased needle up my b hole during that return
     
  28. animal_mother

    animal_mother Well-Known Member
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    I was too chicken shit to take the live bet @ wash +10.5. Congrats gents
     
  29. GovNole

    GovNole Well-Known Member

    Anyone playing 2nd half?
     
  30. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    I took the in game under 61.5 after the last score
     
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  31. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    hey guys remember this post?
     
  32. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
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    Yeah they can't all be zingers.
     
  33. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Might be time to middle at over 45.5
     
    The Hebrew Husker likes this.
  34. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
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    Fromm's had a shitty game, but Chaney has been so fucking predictable with his playcalling. I'm probably about 95% in my run/pass guesses. Too bad I can't live bet those
     
  35. comrade static

    comrade static i love french fries
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    No need to talk shit about someone’s gambling picks. If you don’t like or agree with it, make a good argument as to why BEFORE the game happens, or just don’t say anything.
     
  36. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    it was some hilarious homerism. I’ve done it before. just some fun shit talking. why do srs?
     
  37. The Hebrew Husker

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    You end up playing this?
     
  38. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    Thinking uga would play well was homerism?

    Keep the shit talking on the other board
     
    comrade static likes this.
  39. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    :badasswolf:

    Ended up going with ut ml. 2019 off to a nice little start
     
    The Hebrew Husker likes this.
  40. dome foam

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    yessir
     
  41. The Hebrew Husker

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    Same. I was on tilt after the way my bets went the last few days so I ended the night with:

    1U on Washington/OSU under
    1U on Washington ML
    3U on Washington +7
    1U on Texas ML
    2U on Texas +12.5

    I was so annoyed with betting I basically was like “I’m either winning some money or going back to even for the season...”

    Had some luck go my way.
     
    TDCD likes this.
  42. Ty Cobb

    Ty Cobb Well-Known Member
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    Does sheet show the totals for Bama/Clemson? I only see line.
     
  43. Craig Pettis

    Craig Pettis Que será será motherfucker
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    Memphis TigersTennessee VolunteersSt. Louis CardinalsMemphis GrizzliesMetalPoker

    Any play tonight?
     
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  44. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    The o/u avg for tonight is 59.1 so right around the current number of 57. Maybe a little value on the over. Seems like sharp action on the under though since its dropped from 61 despite 2/3rds of bets coming in on the over.
     
  45. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    ****Clemson +5.5
     
  46. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Correction:

    ************************Clemson moneyline

    Wow Saban is getting completely outcoached.
     
    billdozer and animal_mother like this.
  47. tiger tommy

    tiger tommy Well-Known Member

    Thanks for the sheet again this year. See you next year.

    :beerchug:
     
  48. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    *****Louisiana Tech pk em
    *****Vandy/Baylor Over 56

    *****Alabama -13.5
    *****UCF/LSU Over 57.5
    *****NC State +7.5
    ****Clemson +5.5
    ****Washington +7

    ****North Texas +7.5 (injured QB)
    ****Troy +1
    ****Arkansas St. +2
    ****Cincy -6.5

    ****UAB -1
    ****Marshall -2.5

    ****Stanford -3.5

    ***Louisiana +3.5
    ***Marshall/USF Over 51.5
    ***Georgia Tech -6
    ***Virginia +3.5
    ***Michigan -4.5
    ***Michigan/UF Under 51

    ***Oklahoma St./Missouri Under 71.5
    ***Temple -3
    ***Mississippi St -7

    ***FIU/Toledo Over 57.5 (never a doubt :awesomeface:)

    ***Western Michigan +12
    ***Memphis -3.5 (moron coaching staff)
    **App State -7
    **Purdue/Auburn Over 55.5
    **Georgia -11.5
    **Clemson -11.5

    **WashSt/Iowa St Under 56.5

    **Georgia Southern -3


    55 units won
    54 units lost

    ***UCF +8

    16-16-1
     
    GovNole likes this.
  49. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    I'm glad to have navigated through a pretty disastrous season for System A & B. Since the systems are purely statistically driven and don't take into account intangibles like weather, coaching changes, or injuries, I think the increasingly frequent intangible of star players (who are presumably responsible for the positive statistically markers) sitting out of bowl games is resulting in a poor bowl season record. Something to keep an eye on for next year.
     
  50. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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