Official Tornado and Runaway Barge Thread

Just wondering, how did the two mailbox riders die?

Spoiler

 

Enhanced risk tomorrow. Between the tropics and fires out west, I haven't really paid much attention.

 

"inches away" fuck out of here

Also, I love the guy who just goes AYEYYHHEHHHH!!!!!!!

I'd do the same thing

 

Buddy of mine in college was filming a nasty storm while we drank on his porch. He caught a bolt of lightning hitting a tree nearby and my reaction was about that. Watching the replay of it all you could hear was me yelling fuck followed by the explosion of thunder

 

Had a nice little supercell just north of Rapid tonight. Likely produced half dollar to ping pong ball sized hail, but couldn't verify cause it dropped the hail in the middle of nowhere. Pictures don't really do it justice, but you could clearly see the rotation maybe 5 minutes before I got these pictures. Fun little storm on a double shift.

 

The rare funnel cloud/waterspout over Lake Tahoe:

 

Pretty good severe weather threat today if you want a break from hurricanes. Sig hail and wind thread too

10% tornado

 

Tornado watch incoming within next hour or so

 

Area in question

 

Didn't know you were pro nazi.

 

Two areas of rotation in this one?

 

Could be, could be some cycling with the low level meso. Messy and broad rotation overall.

If you look at tilt 4, you can see the rotation of the dominant meso aloft better

 

Ah didn't think about cycling. That makes more sense.

 

Look out Mr. White



I'm ready for spring tornado season. Now that our severe weather season is over, I want to skip winter

 

Idk I want a cold snowy winter. Last winter was a dud.. May be moving up to SD so I could get my wish

 

Saw something that there was a chance something pops off monday on the plains

 

Orly? Where?

 

Interviewing for a PhD position at South Dakota state. I'd be in the Huron area for the majority of my work if I get it

 

Nice splitting supercell in AZ/NM; far right of the animation

 

That's awesome. Best of luck!

 

Definitely possible. Even the next two days in the KS/CO/NE areas

 

Not boding well for my travel. Supposed to be getting back into Nebraska Tuesday...

 

Tornado watch today

 

Big ass supercell north of wakenney, KS. Lovely place, yuge hail, hope I never go back

 

Hail is nuts man, I tell you

 

Is this moving NE? Can't tell from the radar.. NE wouldn't be a great trajectory imo. Shouldn't the tornado pull it to the right more?

 

In Hill City now and it started to pull straight east but weakened and tracked back northeast, just sliding north of town.

 

Chasing it or just happen to be out there?

 

It is generally moving ene. The internal dynamics of the meso often cause it to deviate to the right of the wind. I haven't followed closely enough to know the mean wind and storm motion. It the rotation were to strengthen aloft, it might turn more easterly

 

Happen to be here.

 

Yikes. Good large hail signature on radar. Extremely high reflectivities in the top (red/pink) + depressed differential reflectivity on the bottom (grey areas that line up with the high reflectivity). Can also see some hail spikes on the southern flanks of the storm

 

Not a fan of how this is moving. Looks like it goes just south of my house. This shit needs to chill until I get home.

 

our ranch is in-between glade and stockton, cows are fucked it was softball sized hail at least

 

Look out WaKeeney, again.

 

Second circulation by Grove City?

 

My phone has been exploding with warnings back home tonight. Missing an eventful evening, but glad my truck isn't getting pelted with hail. Driving through MO and NE tomorrow so I'm sure I'll hit the remnants of the line.

 

I was looking at this day's potential Monday. We'll see how it progresses

Day 3 outlook (Friday)

 

Come to daddy

 

I plan to look more tonight while at work. It did seem that there is some isolated supercell threat before it congeals into a mess.

 

I'm taking a big ass radar course that'll culminate in a workshop in Norman this coming Feb. Some good stuff that is freely available if any of you are interested: http://training.weather.gov/wdtd/courses/rac/outline.php

The base products, velocity interpretation, and convective storm stuff are good.

Also, enhanced risk for tomorrow. Best chance for long lived supercells initially looks to be in the TX panhandle/SW KS.

 

Bookmarked.. should be something interesting and actually productive to look through this winter

 

The location and NW angle on that outlook historically produces large hail if not a tornado or two

 

Yeah, hail and wind are probably the best threats. Front/strong linear forcing will make things congeal into a line fairly quickly

 

Initial Day 1 tornado outlook for Friday

 

Roughly the same area under the 5% tornado prob in the latest update. Question remains how quickly does everything go from relatively isolated to full on line. I'll share a few goes 16 satellite stuff shortly if anyone wants to watch satellite in addition to radar today

 

Here's a good one to watch the visible imagery: https://satsquatch.com/map/

- Select the layer option, toggle on "red visible band"
- Under overlays you can overlay county lines, roads, etc.
- close out of this menu and choose the earth icon
- Can select the "mesoscale 2" sector --> 1 minute imagery updates, quicker than radar
- Close out, select the final icon to adjust loop speed
- I usually choose 20 FPS and max out the number of frames + change auto update to 1 minute
- Can also select local time rather than UTC/Z
- Then at the bottom of the map you can click play to animate
- You can then pan and zoom in to specific locations on the map with your mouse