Sun Bowl *****NC State -5.5 Even with Chubb out, I think NC State should be able to get a comfortable victory. They're better in almost every position group.
Was waiting for the hysteria from this morning to calm down. NC State had been bet up to -7 and I had an inkling it would fall a little bit since the action has been pretty even since it opened.
Had a feeling this line would come back down as well. Lots of weird movement this morning. Back down to -8 at Pinny
Music City Bowl *****Northwestern -8 I know, I know. 4 5-unit picks in 24 hours (side note: there might be one or two more later), but I don't want to back off just because all the games the sheet and I like happen to fall within a 24 hour window. I tried my damnedest to find out why this spread wasn't in double digits and couldn't find anything definitive. Perhaps its because NW RB hasn't done so well in games against bowl teams. Jackson has averaged 2.9 ypr against the 6 bowl teams he faced and 5.5 ypr against the others. Thing is, all the bowl teams finished in top 23 in defensive efficiency. Kentucky ranks 88th. Even UT, Vandy, and Ole Miss put up 200+ rushing yards on UK. I think Jackson is going to be the difference and carry NW to a blowout. Kentucky is no stranger to being blown out, suffering 3 blowouts by 25+ points in the last 6 weeks of the season.
Bummer the Northwestern QB's knee got wrecked. Can't handicap injuries. What are looking like for the Cotton Bowl? I have OSU at -10 right now. This line got out of hand this afternoon. Yeesh
Call me biased, but I think the sheet is still firing on all cylinders. The losses these past 24 hours have been wins outside of injuries and stupid coaching decisions. NC State and Ohio State confirm it. Hopefully...
I agree, the sheet has been fantastic yet again and I think it’s a tremndous resource. I think the Northwestern game was nothing more than bad luck (SDSU to a lessor extent) and by teasing the NWern line down to 3.5 I almost won a game you would chalk up as a loss in most cases after losing a starting QB in the first half
Traditionally NYE and New Years have been money making days. Hoping to put some good stuff out soon. I’ll be looking at more tomorrow morning and afternoon.
Love that a game with 17 points in 1st 4 minutes still went to OT and was safely under by almost 20 points. Shouldve been a bigger play. My b. This game was eaily under.
I really like PSU in this spot. UW sucks on the road. Shut down Pettis and PSU could easily cover. I like McSorley to air it out some and mix in Barkley.
TaxSlayer Bowl **Mississippi St. +7 All three systems agree. This would be a bigger play if MSU's QB was playing or if most of their staff hadn't left already for UF. I like what I've read/seen from the true freshman QB for MSU that will be making his first start. UL is also missing its top two defensive guys to make it a little easier for him.
Going against System A here. Memphis has had a great season propped up by playing horrific defenses. They have a pretty bad defense as well and Iowa St. should be able to move the ball with ease.
Fiesta Bowl ***Washington +3 Both of these teams are pretty equal on paper but Penn St has struggled against good defenses. They haven't beaten anyone with a pulse since mid-October. Chris Peterson hasn't been an underdog all year and he thrives in that spot. Lots of reports of Washington players being motivated to play much better than last years bowl game. Pac-12 has looked pretty bad so far in bowl games but I'll take Peterson and the points.
Orange Bowl ***Wisconsin -6.5 ***Wisc/UM Under 45 I think this will be a pretty ugly game. Might be tough for Miami to score more than 14. Wisconsin just has so much talent on the defensive side of the ball going up against a Miami offense who is 129th in 3rd down conversions and missing its #2 WR.