Damn, after talking about those kicker/points props earlier, my site doesnt have them up for either side tonight.
I really enjoy my strategy of losing lots of bets but getting it all back on "who to score the first TD of SNF/MNF" Hint: it's always Davonte Adams
Ended up rolling the dice on GB TT over 27.5 for some reason that sounded better than -8, these mofos better score another point.
When I do this I give myself the option of basically: $0 if the Bears win, lose $150 if it middles, +$100 if the Pack cover or +$200 if the Bears win, lose $150 if it middles, $0 if the Pack cover I chose: wrong
I'm jumping on Bama/LSU u69 early. Can LSU even score 10 points? I think their defense can hold Bama to less than 60, plus Bama could pull starters earlier with SECC game next week. I typically don't like betting games early, but I think this line will go down as the week goes along. Edit: forgot about buffer week so SECC not next week but still think this is a 45-10 type game.
I had a good weekend with NFL. Mainly with teases and ML parlays. Listening to some podcasts today and I am now realizing how much the sportsbooks rolled this weekend. Huge money on Arizona, LV, NYG, and Cleveland. None of those teams covered.
At this point in the season you can find tons of value just looking for RLM and fading the public. By late November/early December there is enough film and data out there for the bookies to really get those lines dialed in. If vegas is going one way while the public is hammering the other side, let me ride with the bookmakers even if the pick isn't the sexiest. Shoutout georgia state, georgia tech, penn state, atlanta falcons, etc. Tonight's line is super sketchy. Considered teasing the hawks to a pick 'em, but even that feels square based on how the line has held. Its either Eagles (teased to 7 -125) or no-play for me.
I have Seahawks in a tease. I assume most public money is on Seattle. What sites/twitter accounts do you guys use to find out good numbers regarding public money?
Vegas Insider is fantastic, too. There are a lot of smart people out there. They used to have a show on Apple TV, but I can’t find it anymore.
LAC opened as a 1.5 fav vs NE. it may be down to a pick'em now. while they're probably due for a cover, i still think fading the chargers is smart.
Really good arb opportunity with the DK Kansas/Kentucky boost. $50 on Kansas at +200 then about $66 on Kentucky at +125 will net you $33. MGM should offer $25 free college football bet if you do the Kentucky side on their site so $33 plus $25 free bet.
Took a couple days off busy with work. I do a little bit of bookie business for some people I know. One guy 0-6 in 3 days and lost $8,900 a couple weeks ago. He just text me and took Seattle for 3k.
stupid game I've been playing: follow nfl writers on twitter and then when you see who is getting the 1H kickoff you bet the side for the 1H
Went hard on the under on Auburn/UCF & UNC -13 tonight. Few other $20-$30 bets on in game plays throughout the day. Good night overall. Once again I have rolled a $300 bank roll up to $1,200 from starting on Thanksgiving . Lets see if I can try to not F it up this time.