Gambling Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by bro, Nov 25, 2020.

  1. Houndster

    Houndster Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG

    I want to die
     
    bertwing, ohhaithur and letan like this.
  2. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky the double champ does what the fuck he wants
    Donor
    Grateful Dead

    “And you know what? There are some folks who are celebrating and others who are saying ‘you’ve got to be kidding me”
     
    Dildo Dawgins and letan like this.
  3. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky the double champ does what the fuck he wants
    Donor
    Grateful Dead

    LETS GO. congrats.

    that was one of the wildest backdoors I’ve ever seen. there was zero logic in going for two there.
     
  4. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    lol
     
  5. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    wrong, ALL the logic is to go for it. Love seeing coaches doing the right thing. math fully supports it
     
    The Banks likes this.
  6. C A N E

    C A N E Let justice be done though the heavens fall
    Donor
    Miami HurricanesMiami Heat

  7. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    My guy just called and just kept saying "I can't fucking believe it". I feel bad for this dude.
     
  8. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    Called me asking for the line on the Steelers/Ravens. I told him Im not taking his bet and going to let him sleep first.
     
    sam shakusky likes this.
  9. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    And to be honest, doing a lot of gambling in my life, that maybe one of the worst beats ATS I have seen in the NFL.

    College basketball you get fucked by a buzzer beater at least twice a night
     
    and sam shakusky like this.
  10. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideNew York YankeesJacksonville Jaguars2pacSneakersFormula 1

    -6.5 gang lets hold each other
     
    The Hebrew Husker likes this.
  11. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Math on why you go for 2 sam shakusky

    Standard rate is 49% conversion, 94% on XP, let's say OT is 50/50 (it's not, they're the underdogs)

    XP/XP/OT: 88% chance of OT (44% chance of winning)
    XP/XPM: 6% chance of loss
    XPM/2PT: 3% chance of OT (1.5% chance of winning)
    XP/2PTM: 3% chance of loss

    Total 45.5% chance of winning, assuming you're equal to the other team

    2PT/XP: 46% chance of winning
    2PT/XPM: 3% chance of OT (1.5% chance of winning)
    2PTM/2PT: 25% chance of OT (12.5% chance of winning)
    2PTM/2PTM: 25% chance of loss

    Total: 60% chance of winning

    And it's even more valuable if you are the worse team
     
    The Banks and sam shakusky like this.
  12. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky the double champ does what the fuck he wants
    Donor
    Grateful Dead

    You still have guys calling in bets? You must have a much older clientele.

    I had a book by phone in college but everybody wanted the websites by 2010. I miss those days.
     
  13. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    I have like 5 guys that place bets sporadically. Im not trying to set up a full shop.
     
    sam shakusky likes this.
  14. Baseballman86

    Baseballman86 Well-Known Member
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    I had been on a suspiciously good streak lately and was waiting for the gambling gods to pull the chair out from under me. Safe to say this qualifies. I like how the Hail Mary was batted down for an extra level of fuckery.
     
    ohhaithur likes this.
  15. houtex716

    houtex716 let's have a beach party
    Donor
    Texas Tech Red RaidersHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston TexansKansas City Chiefs

    Looking ahead at next NFL week, I love Titans/raiders 6pt teaser
     
  16. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    I have zero read on that Titans game. LV is a no-brainer vs. Jets. I will probably tease it with Minnesota vs. Jacksonville. Jets and Jax trying to out tank each other.
     
  17. houtex716

    houtex716 let's have a beach party
    Donor
    Texas Tech Red RaidersHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston TexansKansas City Chiefs

    Henry should be able to run all over the browns, being in Tenn I like them to at least win. I wouldn’t feel too comfortable picking them with the spread
     
  18. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideNew York YankeesJacksonville Jaguars2pacSneakersFormula 1

    Still smh at last night. My bookie (yea I'm old and still have a guy) paid me for the week via PayPal with a few minutes left. I was playing 2k and didn't even see it. He then had to text me back saying he fucked up but to just keep it bc it was his fuck up. It's my boss's' boss's husband and we're drinking buddies so I just sent the difference back to him to even it out.
     
    Hawks11 likes this.
  19. It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens

    It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Anyone playing the texas/Indiana game this afternoon?
     
  20. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    I have Indiana -1.5. Mostly a Shaka fade...
     
    bro and It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens like this.
  21. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Indy -4.5 2H for the yolos
     
  22. All_Luck

    All_Luck OK. Cool Husk em!
    Nebraska CornhuskersColorado RockiesDenver NuggetsKansas City ChiefsColorado AvalanceUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamLiverpoolBig 8 ConferenceNebraska Cornhuskers altFormula 1

    \
    I'm late asf but I'm on Texas.
     
    likes this.
  23. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Porto - Man City Draw next on the docket
     
    All_Luck likes this.
  24. Houndster

    Houndster Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG

    I’m done with football for the year after the Seattle game last night.

    2 team parlay: Creighton 17.5/Nebraska -12 (both bought down at -150)
     
  25. bertwing

    bertwing check out the nametag grandma
    Staff Donor
    Arkansas RazorbacksNew Orleans SaintsTiger WoodsBarAndGrill

    On Kansas -4.5 tonight
     
    bro likes this.
  26. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    No you ain’t
     
  27. It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens

    It'sAlwaysSunnyInAthens Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Got

    Kansas
    Duke and the over
     
  28. sam shakusky

    sam shakusky the double champ does what the fuck he wants
    Donor
    Grateful Dead

    what's the rationale here? you're adding in so much juice to trim the lines down to what are still arbitrary numbers.
     
  29. Houndster

    Houndster Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG

    1. There are no arbitrary numbers in CBB
    2. I like it and it’s still plus money
     
  30. houtex716

    houtex716 let's have a beach party
    Donor
    Texas Tech Red RaidersHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston TexansKansas City Chiefs

    LSU/bama over/under just went up to 68...any reason it may be going up? i was already gonna hit the under at 66.5. i dont think LSU scores more than 6-10 points
     
  31. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Woat types of parlays
     
    sam shakusky likes this.
  32. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Also, me, an intellectual, locked in Nebraska -12 -108 last night.


    Have WKU +4.5
    Michigan State + 4.5
    Ok St +4
    Davidson ML
     
  33. —

    Well-Known Member
    Donor

    I want KU but will see if I can avoid the hook pre tip off
     
  34. Houndster

    Houndster Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG

    The woat type of parlays are ones that don’t hit
     
  35. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    go KU go
     
  36. houtex716

    houtex716 let's have a beach party
    Donor
    Texas Tech Red RaidersHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston TexansKansas City Chiefs

    thinking about teasing the steelers tomorrow to -4, over 36 or under 48?
     
  37. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    As someone who arbed both UK and KU I hope both teams have fun
     
  38. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    Under 48 I think
     
    and houtex716 like this.
  39. houtex716

    houtex716 let's have a beach party
    Donor
    Texas Tech Red RaidersHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston TexansKansas City Chiefs

    thats where i was leaning too, gonna be cold and i dont think the ravens score much
     
    and ohhaithur like this.
  40. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    I just joined you on that bet
     
    houtex716 likes this.
  41. Whammy Business

    Whammy Business Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Teased to -4, O 36. Think the Steelers hang it on them for all the shenanigans.
     
    and houtex716 like this.
  42. houtex716

    houtex716 let's have a beach party
    Donor
    Texas Tech Red RaidersHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston TexansKansas City Chiefs

    damn now im torn again
     
    likes this.
  43. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Does DK allow same game teases?
     
    likes this.
  44. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    yes. for PIT/BAL, they are more generous to PIT betters than Pointsbet
     
  45. Whammy Business

    Whammy Business Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Don’t be. I’m new to this. I’m just throwing darts.
     
    houtex716 likes this.
  46. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    I must be missing it
     
  47. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    go to the game, game lines, select the two lines you want. Not a traditional teaser, but that means you can tease the line by 5 and the o/u by 10 if you want
     
    bro likes this.
  48. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Nice. Didn’t know if it would let me parlay the same game lines
     
    ohhaithur likes this.
  49. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    they actually do some interesting math on them too. Like Vandy/UGA if you take Vandy +35.5 (-109) and then U 53.5 it's +150 odds but if you take it with O 53.5 it's +550

    I guess they do the parlay odds off team totals