FSUsem's 2011 NFL Playoffs Thread

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Jan 11, 2012.

  1. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    ***San Francisco +3.5
    ****SF/NO Over 47.5

     
  2. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
    Donor

    I like both of those too.

    I also really like the Texans +9 along with the over at 35 1/2 for it as well.
     
  3. wbarksda

    wbarksda New Member

    Sem, how have you done in the NFL this season?
     
  4. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Have stayed around 53% pretty much all season.
     
  5. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    what is the rationale for the over and the 49ers?

    i love the 49ers pick btw.
     
  6. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    In short, the Niners have been playing ridiculous at home. Especially on defense. The public is in love with the Saints and hates everything that comes out of the SECWest. There's great value in getting more than a field goal. I think the line might show a little rlm later in the week and go back down to 3.

    Niners 31
    Saints 24
     
  7. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Iowa HawkeyesChicago CubsCarolina PanthersKansas City ChiefsCarolina HurricanesPGABig Ten Conference

    I love both NFC dogs this week.

    Anybody want to share their thoughts on the Gmen Pack game? Home field is currently holding me back from playing the Gmen.
     
  8. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    I tried to predict this weekend's lines with a buddy of mine and I was within 1 or 2 on each game, except for the Packers game. I thought it would be GB -4. I think there's great value in getting more than a TD with the Giants.
     
  9. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    but for a TD with little time left, GB would have covered the 8 at NYG earlier this year. i believe the line is right.

    however, i am staying away from this game. packers team is really feeling the effect of the tragedy surrounding their OC. i was listening to a packers beat guy on houston radio this morning and he said while mccarthy calls the plays, the OC (don't know his name) is loved in the locker room and the situation with his son is not sitting well. his words were the team was not in a "good place".

    maybe it will be a rallying point that accounts for an even better result? who knows. but this is a NYG team with a clicking offense and finally healthy front 7. their secondary is awful, and we saw that in the first game.

    i'd lean toward the pack, only bc of line movement.
     
  10. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
    Donor TMB OG
    Florida State SeminolesChicago CubsReal Madrid

    Tragedy either crushes a team or inspires them. In GB's case, I believe it's the latter.
     
  11. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Iowa HawkeyesChicago CubsCarolina PanthersKansas City ChiefsCarolina HurricanesPGABig Ten Conference

    GB OL isn't very healthy is it? That Packers front 7 could have a hay day, I mean the Chiefs front 7 feasted versus the Packers and they aren't anything close to what the Gmen have in the stable. Add in the death of Philbin's son, who knows how they respond.
     
  12. longhornfan

    longhornfan Well-Known Member

    Love that sanfran pick, I like them moneyline +170. I think packers crush the gmen, their too inconsistent. They play well against the cowboys then lose to the Washington redskins.
     
  13. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Anyone playing Denver +14 or the over/under at 50 1/2. I'm thinking Denver and the under.
     
  14. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    I'm not touching the Denver game
     
  15. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    ***Houston +7.5
     
  16. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    ***Green Bay -7.5
    **GB/NYG Over 53
     
  17. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
    Staff Donor
    Oakland RaidersWWESan Jose SharksSeattle SupersonicsDeVry FarvasGolden State WarriorsOakland A'sCalifornia Golden BearsNotre Dame Fighting IrishSan Jose Earthquakes

    I love the GB line. When they played in NY a few weeks ago the line was basically the exact same. Same line and moving the game to GB with rest for the Packers? I like that line a lot.
     
  18. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
    Donor TMB OG
    Florida State SeminolesChicago CubsReal Madrid

    I think the general public is going to fall victim to all of the Tebow coverage this week. I fully expect NE to kill the Broncos.
     
  19. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
    Staff Donor
    Oakland RaidersWWESan Jose SharksSeattle SupersonicsDeVry FarvasGolden State WarriorsOakland A'sCalifornia Golden BearsNotre Dame Fighting IrishSan Jose Earthquakes

    I dunno man. If they can throw like they did against PIT I have no idea how NE will stop them. I think NE wins, but I don't know that they win by 2 TD's.
     
  20. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    great start for 49ers
     
  21. RUseaweed

    RUseaweed Rutgers
    Donor

    do not like the direction this game is going points wise
     
  22. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
    Staff Donor
    Oakland RaidersWWESan Jose SharksSeattle SupersonicsDeVry FarvasGolden State WarriorsOakland A'sCalifornia Golden BearsNotre Dame Fighting IrishSan Jose Earthquakes

    This game reeks of 24-23 Saints.
     
  23. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Or, as I posted above, 31-24 Niners...:awesomeface:
     
  24. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
    Staff Donor
    Oakland RaidersWWESan Jose SharksSeattle SupersonicsDeVry FarvasGolden State WarriorsOakland A'sCalifornia Golden BearsNotre Dame Fighting IrishSan Jose Earthquakes

    I'd love to see it. Just dunno if I see the Niners getting in the end zone again. How bout 26-24? :gfa:
     
  25. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
    Staff Donor
    Oakland RaidersWWESan Jose SharksSeattle SupersonicsDeVry FarvasGolden State WarriorsOakland A'sCalifornia Golden BearsNotre Dame Fighting IrishSan Jose Earthquakes

    They're milking the clock going for 7.
     
  26. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
    Staff Donor
    Oakland RaidersWWESan Jose SharksSeattle SupersonicsDeVry FarvasGolden State WarriorsOakland A'sCalifornia Golden BearsNotre Dame Fighting IrishSan Jose Earthquakes

    Holy fucking play call. That was epic.
     
  27. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

  28. RUseaweed

    RUseaweed Rutgers
    Donor

    why? this sets up a perfect situation. saints score and they win by 2. it was for the best they didn't get that 2 pt conversion.

    edit oh, i see, it's different than your prediction. damn, that was close haha
     
  29. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Damn. Good shit SF
     
  30. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Iowa HawkeyesChicago CubsCarolina PanthersKansas City ChiefsCarolina HurricanesPGABig Ten Conference

    Good day yesterday FSUsem ... Could you let me know your thoughts on the Texans play, I can't stop leaning towards the Ravens? I know you're on Houston, just want to hear your thoughts behind it. Thanks sir.
     
  31. Stone Cold Steve Austin

    Stone Cold Steve Austin Tickler Extraordinaire
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta Braves

    Big fan of Houston +7.5
     
  32. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
    Donor TMB OG
    Florida State SeminolesChicago CubsReal Madrid

    GB looks like they are rusty after a week off, and are feeling some effects from the OC losing his son (and possibly interviewing for the Dolphins spot). Hopefully they can stop looking sloppy and make some necessary adjustments on D in the 2nd half.

    Of course, this is the only game I was able to bet this weekend, so I'm jinxing the fuck out of everyone.
     
  33. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    4-1, +8.7 Units
     
  34. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Early Champ Weekend Lines...

    New England -7.5
    O/U 50.5

    San Francisco -2.5
    O/U 43
     
  35. Nantucket

    Nantucket Northeastern Elitism+Alabama Downhome Sensibility
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideNew England Patriots

    I'm gonna go ahead and say there will be an 75/25 split with the public hammering the Giants
     
  36. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    public on giants. line moves 3.5 points toward SF.

    take SF.
     
  37. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    O/U down to 42 on the 49ers game
     
  38. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Looks like NE has been knocked down to -7
     
  39. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Updated lines:

    SF -2, o/u 41.5

    NE -7, o/u 50
     
  40. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    ****SF -2
    **Sf/NYG Over 41.5
    *****NE/Balt Over 50
    ***Baltimore +7
     
  41. gators415

    gators415 Well-Known Member
    TMB OG

    NE/Balt over is at 49 now
     
  42. CJH

    CJH New Member

    Bad weather in sf today. Over seems to be moving down.
     
  43. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Iowa HawkeyesChicago CubsCarolina PanthersKansas City ChiefsCarolina HurricanesPGABig Ten Conference

    Both totals were moving down big time before the games. Baltimore offense is anemic.
     
  44. RUseaweed

    RUseaweed Rutgers
    Donor

    soooo FSUsem who do you like for the superbowl? going to post it here?
     
  45. wbarksda

    wbarksda New Member

    Bump for sem