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Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by NilesIrish, Mar 4, 2019.
I thought we had to set our alarms for 6AM?!
that minny poll is obv drunk
Thats just Lyrtch doing the lords work and sucking dicks for votes in Minneapolis
keep up the good work sir
“Close in Wisconsin” is a stretch. But lol minny
And thank you sir, for turning Arkansas blue. Amazing work, some said it couldn’t be done.
With the mail in ballots sent out over a week ago, I’d like to see biden visit North Carolina this week. Might already be in the cards but i think it’s important to be seen there in the next few days. He probably wants 1-2 days off before the First debate so it’s important that he is seen in all of the key battleground states before then. After the first debate you can reassess where things are and where to focus.
I am convinced he is a stooge funded by dark money.
Three different 538 A rated pollsters with Minnesota polls in September:
Likely Voters Biden 16
Registered Voters Biden 17
Likely Voters Biden 9
Likely Voters Biden 9
Five different 538 A rated pollsters with Wisconsin polls in September:
Likely Voters Biden 8
Registered Voters Biden 8
Likely Voters Biden 4
Registered Voters Biden 7
Likely Voters Biden 7
Likely Voters Biden 7
Likely Voters Biden 6
Registered Voters Biden 4
I refuse to get my hopes up
K, took me 5 mins to find this thread...
This is a weird poll that Has Biden winning by 6 and Purdue up 7. It was done by Lieberman who’s going to be one of the people responsible for the special election runoff being between 2 republicans but still a very bizarre poll. I don’t see any scenario that Purdue could be running 13 points above trump.
Lieberman is not that close to Warnock. No way
MUH FAMILY VALUES
I dunno, politicos like Warnock, but he just isn't getting the traction folks thought he would. If the Dem field doesn't consolidate, that race could go to a Loeffler/Collins runoff.
If the Dems let that happen I’m moving and never returning.
We are 7 weeks out from election. Biden needs to flip 38 electoral votes from 2016 to overcome Trump 306-Clinton 232.
The most probable 2016 blue states to flip look fairly solid, Minnesota (10) and Nevada (6). New Hampshire (4) remains possible.
2016 red states Michigan (16) and Wisconsin (10) look to flip.
2016 red states Pennsylvania (20), Florida (29), Arizona (11), NC (15) and the NE2 (1) show blue polling.
Has anyone received their absentee ballot yet? I submitted my application two weeks ago. Just wondering if it should take this long.
It would depend on when your state starts mailing them out. Here in VA they don’t start mailing them until Friday no matter when you request
My gut says NC is the easiest pull because it will have the least Defense, legal or otherwise played by Trump
It also was seen as a huge political folly to cut taxes on the wealthy. In both parties.
Michigan sends them out I believe October 3 so depending on where you are you’re probably fine.
Motherfucker, we already discussed that Lieberman poll yesterday. It's an internal crappy poll.
this is forever the Not Lech's 2020 democratic primary thread to me
PA is polling bluer and is a much more traditionally blue state. I’ll be really surprised if NC flips in the end. Maybe next cycle after 4 more years of libs continuing to move to the area but Trump has been here 4 times in the last month and knows he has to hold it.
That said, if NC goes Biden it’s likely part of a landslide victory and Cunningham is probably taking Tillis’ seat too.
Yeah, sounds like I'm wrong, I was just thinking that the Russians will focus on PA and making sure GA/FL don't go blue.
Genuine Question: Why is there such a push for mail in voting this year? Is it just because COVID and people not wanting to go into the polling place? I'm a likely Biden voter in SC and doing mail in voting has never even crossed my mind- i'm going to vote at the poll like normal?
Also, it is awesome and it should be the norm. hth
COVID and the concern about ballot security. Not sure how the ballots work in SC in-person, but in Georgia the printout you get from the touch screen machine is just a QR code, you don't even see your choices on it, so it's not auditable by a third party. A lot of states still don't even give you that.
yes. Also because Republicans keep fucking over minorities by restricting voting locations and early voting hours
Is there tracking or anything for the mail in ballot? Seems like even less secure vs in person since you wouldn't even know if they received and counted it?
In Georgia yes, I mean if you trust the SoS website. It will show you when your ballot is going to be mailed to you and when it is accepted. Hoping to just turn mine into a drop box instead of using the mail after I fill it out.
Covid yes, plus vote by mailed ballot is incredible and easy and allows everyone an opportunity to vote
I should add that despite years of voter suppression/gerrymandering in NC we do have one of the stronger early voting/mail voting systems in the country. We were the first state to mail ballots out and have 14 (I think) spread out days of early voting that is universal from a location sense within your county, which is really nice. So all that I would think does make it possible for Biden to be more competitive in a high turnout election.
Push in the past was in same vein as In-Person early voting. Trying to get people to go ahead and vote. Bank the turnout. Rather than chance it to long lines, weather, or changed minds on election day. Plus, Voting by Mail is free and can be done around work schedules.
Push initially this year was Vote by Mail because it is more Socially Responsible in a Pandemic.
Now given the USPS shenanigans, and high ballot rejection % in states not accustomed to Mail voting, its only Vote by Mail if youre 65+ or At-Risk; otherwise vote Early In-Person
in Minnesota you can track your ballot online and whether it's accepted
most states are required to reach out to you if its not accepted for whatever reason
but yeah, olds love voting, covid makes standing in line or going indoors dangerous, mail is the best option for those folks
Sara Gideon 54 - Susan Collins 42
Biden 59 - Trump 38 (did not see breakdown by CD)
South Carolina =
Lindsay Graham 48 - Jamie Harrison 48
Trump 51 - Biden 45
Turtle 53 - McGrath 41 LOL
Trump 58 - Biden 38
they have it Biden 53 - Trump 44 in ME-2 (10 point shift in their poll since July)
I'm sure Harrison has been able to raise a decent amount of money running against Graham but it's fucking pathetic that Mcgrath got millions in an unwinnable race. The consultants are getting paid though so well done Chuck Schumer.
If Harrison loses a very close race, dems will wonder if some of the $40+ million they wasted on McGrath could have won it. Time to cut her off and start really focusing attention on Harrison. I think he’s got a real shot. Not just because of this poll. He’s running a good race and he’s likable.
I don't think political campaigns should be door knocking during a pandemic.
or Steve Bullock
but yea, everyone not named Schumer were already shaking their head. Amy never stood a chance, just lighting money on fire.
Get on it Nate Cohn!