2020 Presidential Election Thread

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by NilesIrish, Mar 4, 2019.

?

Who do you support

  1. Bernie Sanders

    39.0%
  2. Elizabeth Warren

    41.4%
  3. Kamala Harris

    2.4%
  4. Pete Buttigieg

    12.1%
  5. Corey Booker

    0.2%
  6. Beto O'Rourke

    0.9%
  7. Julian Casto

    0.7%
  8. Andrew Yang.

    9.0%
  9. Joe Biden

    15.6%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. Daniel Ocean

    Daniel Ocean I only lied about being a thief
    Staff Donor TMB OG
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    slacker
     
  2. TAS

    TAS 20_ _ TMB Poster of the Year
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    Maybe I'm not paying enough attention but she has almost zero presence here in Houston. If she has 1/100th the name recognition Beto did at this point in 2018, I'd d be surprised. He lost by 2.5 points to Cruz and I would be surprised if it was that close this year.
     
    RavenNole likes this.
  3. AptosDuck

    AptosDuck Pedantic Hausfrau
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    California Golden Bears

    I think the only Trumpers between the freeway and the ocean live behind me. Not surprisingly, they were cited this summer for violating quarantine
     
    Nandor the Relentless and devine like this.
  4. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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  5. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    “I’m being killed financially, this money is because they hate my guts”

    [​IMG]
     
  6. CaneKnight

    CaneKnight Well-Known Member
    Donor

    SEMINOLE???????????

    [​IMG]

    There is a less than zero % chance Seminole county is anything other than red as fuck. I'm blown the fuck away someone would suggest this shit hole of a county full of rich white people would be anything other than red.

    I still can't believe people think Florida has any chance of being blue. It's pure delusion
     
    #61206 CaneKnight, Sep 25, 2020
    Last edited: Sep 25, 2020
  7. bRamonceTaylor

    Donor

    I’m pretty sure Williamson County is the most conservative county in Texas. It’s where that docuseries about the HS football player exonerated after being convicted of being a pedophile happened. The news anchor repeatedly brags about how conservative it is.

    And Collin County can’t be far behind. It’s wonder bread Dallas suburbs Plano, Frisco and McKinney. I’d be shocked.
     
    toddzo likes this.
  8. DelapThrows

    DelapThrows Comforter, Philosopher, and Lifelong Mate
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    Florida State SeminolesAtlanta BravesDallas MavericksStoke City

    I mean... Obama got within 3 points in 2008. But yeah, if Seminole flips this thing is a huge blowout.
     
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  9. RavenNole

    RavenNole Well-Known Member
    Baltimore RavensTampa Bay LightningChelsea

    none of the Puerto Rican’s who moved into the orlando area after maria fall into Seminole?
     
  10. Wicket

    Wicket Fan: ND, PSV, Pool FC, Cricket, Urquel, Dog Crew
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    ow this is hilarious, he really says they hate my guts like he is the victim
     
    Gaffrican, BWC, TylerDurden and 3 others like this.
  11. indeed

    indeed All In The Game
    Penn State Nittany Lions

  12. Biship

    Biship Well-Known Member
    Donor
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    Screw the white working class. They are all racist
     
  13. Dick Dollars

    Dick Dollars And they’ll all be signing autographs
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    Dems won in House, Senate, and Gubernatorial elections in Seminole in 2018.
     
  14. w2b

    w2b two weeks from everywhere
    Staff Donor TMB OG
    Houston Oilers

    and Trump only beat Hillary in Seminole in '16 by 3,600 votes.
     
    Gaffrican, Mix, DistantFactor and 7 others like this.
  15. Fran Tarkenton

    Fran Tarkenton Well-Known Member
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    Wake Forest Demon Deacons

  16. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    guys maybe CaneKnight has his own internal polling that also somehow invalidates past election results
     
  17. herb.burdette

    herb.burdette Meet me at the corner of 8th and Worthington
    Donor
    Ohio State Buckeyes

    OpinionWorks (B/C rated) 9/4-11 Maryland:

    Biden 61 - Trump 29 +32

    This puts Maryland, New Jersey, and Delaware all Biden at +18-32 within the last month.

    Philly Metro is going to be fine in Pennsylvania.
     
    Gaffrican, devine and steamengine like this.
  18. matistic

    matistic Well-Known Member
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    I don’t know about the docuseries, but Williamson is up for grabs. It went for Beto in 2018, and MJ, among other Democrats. It’s changed quickly.
     
  19. steamengine

    steamengine I don’t want to press one for English!
    Donor
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    Nowhere near beto levels but she has signs all over my hood
     
  20. indeed

    indeed All In The Game
    Penn State Nittany Lions

    Assuming turnout materializes.
     
  21. indeed

    indeed All In The Game
    Penn State Nittany Lions

    Thank god Biden isn’t running that kind of campaign.
     
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  22. steamengine

    steamengine I don’t want to press one for English!
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    Are you talking about of the urban/suburban counties? Because there are about 400 more conservative counties than Williamson in Texas.
     
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  23. herb.burdette

    herb.burdette Meet me at the corner of 8th and Worthington
    Donor
    Ohio State Buckeyes

    All indications are that it will.

    In 2016, Clinton led in most battleground states in September, but then missed much of the month with pneumonia.

    Trump gradually gained momentum among his base while most democrats were apathetic.

    There isn’t much apathy this cycle.

    Trump is going to jam Ginsburg’s replacement through and it’s just going to smack the hornets nest over and over for the next month as these kangaroo court confirmation hearings proceed.
     
    Gaffrican likes this.
  24. Illinihockey

    Illinihockey Well-Known Member
    Chicago CubsChicago BullsChicago BearsChicago BlackhawksIllinois Fightin' IlliniLiverpool

    As someone else pointed out, Clinton was winning but polling 44-39, 46-42, etc. Biden being over 50% in polls makes his lead in them much more solid.
     
  25. herb.burdette

    herb.burdette Meet me at the corner of 8th and Worthington
    Donor
    Ohio State Buckeyes

    Biden has been very smart with his appearances.

    Carpenters union hall in Pittsburgh, Auto worker’s union hall in Dearborn MI, floor of an aluminum factory in Wisconsin—this is how you win Democrats in the Midwest.
     
  26. herb.burdette

    herb.burdette Meet me at the corner of 8th and Worthington
    Donor
    Ohio State Buckeyes

    There also are virtually no undecided voters in these 2020 polls.
     
  27. RavenNole

    RavenNole Well-Known Member
    Baltimore RavensTampa Bay LightningChelsea

    polling was light like you said and there were name recognized 3rd party candidates for the libertarian and Green Party. Green isn’t even on the ballot in some of the states and no one knows Jorgensen.

    biden also isn’t extremely unlikable like Hillary.

    most importantly though, pollsters realized the importance of battleground state polling and the amount of polls in these states has skyrocketed. A lot of the “Hillary leads by X amount” was based on 1-2 polls. Now we have 8-10 to average out. A lot of these pollsters also started weighting by education so if there is a different turnout demographic than 2016, trump could be overweight in these polls. These polls are assuming close to a 2016 turnout.
     
    Beeds07 and herb.burdette like this.
  28. RavenNole

    RavenNole Well-Known Member
    Baltimore RavensTampa Bay LightningChelsea

    I really like his “Scranton v park ave” line and need to see more of that. I think that will play really well also.
     
    Beeds07, Gaffrican, DirtBall and 2 others like this.
  29. devine

    devine hi, I am user devine
    Donor
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    Idk that really hurt soledad’s feelings and we don’t want that
     
  30. indeed

    indeed All In The Game
    Penn State Nittany Lions

    No apathy, but much more on the suppression and subversion front. Black voters are micro targeted by Facebook troll farms, and no doubt DOJ will do what they can to intimidate and create fear.
     
    TylerDurden likes this.
  31. indeed

    indeed All In The Game
    Penn State Nittany Lions

    Back in my day all these folks were Democrats. Before Rush and Fox News.
     
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  32. BrentTray

    BrentTray I’m thinking Dorsia.
    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersKansas City RoyalsKansas City ChiefsBig 8 ConferenceNebraska Cornhuskers alt

    I see you got your Soros check, friend.
     
  33. Lipp the Gay Liberal

    Lipp the Gay Liberal Spartan Dawg
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    Don’t forget Stephanie Ruhle too.
     
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  34. Biship

    Biship Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Kansas State WildcatsKansas City RoyalsKansas City ChiefsSporting Kansas City

    When is our reichstag fire happening in this timeline
     
    TylerDurden and BellottiBold like this.
  35. Truman

    Truman Well-Known Member
    Donor
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    That happened when Trump won and the GOP congress blamed everything on deep state and globalists

    Be more worried about kristallnacht
     
  36. Fuzzy Zoeller

    Fuzzy Zoeller College football > NFL

    Lol Williamson County went for Beto in 2018

    Tarrant was, for a while, the most populous red county in the country. It went for Beto (by a razor thin margin) in 2018. Beto was within 6 points in Collin County.
     
    bRamonceTaylor likes this.
  37. Redav

    Redav My favorite meat is hotdog
    Donor

  38. bRamonceTaylor

    Donor

    Ya, should have been more clear, but candidly, I don't keep tabs on this all that much. Played golf in Williamson during the shut down when all the Austin courses were closed and I swear there was a Trump flag flying from every backyard. That and the Greg Kelley documentary reminded me of it.
     
    steamengine likes this.
  39. steamengine

    steamengine I don’t want to press one for English!
    Donor
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    I
    I think Tarrant/Collin/Montgomery/Williamson are the only counties anywhere near one of the five major cities that could still got for Trump. Montgomery is like 75/25 Trump because Conroe and it’s surrounding areas are the heart of the tea party movement.
     
    bRamonceTaylor likes this.
  40. chuckmasterflex

    chuckmasterflex Attack and dethrone God
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  41. Sub-Zero

    Sub-Zero ALL THE TOSTITOS!!!
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    Orlando metro is increasingly progressive so it would make sense the counties immediately bordering Orlando would be getting younger and bluer. North Seminole county I can see where the MAGA lives and breeds but south Seminole I gotta think is pretty blue.

    (not based on data...just looking at a map)
     
    Mix and Dick Dollars like this.
  42. Fuzzy Zoeller

    Fuzzy Zoeller College football > NFL

    1. It's incredibly dumb that early votes aren't counted as they're received.



    2. Anyone who's not home bound can find the time to vote early in person. If you can go to the grocery store, you can go to a polling place.
     
  43. bRamonceTaylor

    Donor

    I'd imagine all of the O&G folks in the Woodlands also contribute to that.
     
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  44. chuckmasterflex

    chuckmasterflex Attack and dethrone God
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    It was years ago, but I remember people arguing against Puerto Rico becoming a state on here because we had 50 states already and that was a good round number.

    It stuck with me because it perfectly captured how stupid people form opinions.
     
    BWC, Beeds07, skiedfrillet and 21 others like this.
  45. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    11% undecided/third party 40 days out from the election?
     
  46. Dick Dollars

    Dick Dollars And they’ll all be signing autographs
    Donor
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    I live in North Seminole. I’ve been encouraged by the number of Biden signs I’ve seen up this way, including one next door to a house with like four Trump/cop flags that says “PRO-AMERICA, ANTI-TRUMP.”
     
  47. AlternativeFactsRule

    AlternativeFactsRule Mmm ... Coconuts
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    Michigan WolverinesSwansea

    1. If they were all counted early those vote totals would be leaked to the candidates and that would influence their actions. And with this particular president and the expected number of absentees, those actions could be quite horrific.
    2. Michigan doesn’t have early in person voting / just absentee ballots. However, this is the first election in Michigan with no-excuse absentee ballots and our Secretary of State has committed to making them available at county clerks offices for pickup. So it takes a little time but is kind of like early in person voting.
     
    Illinihockey likes this.
  48. Lyrtch

    Lyrtch My second favorite meat is hamburger
    Staff Donor

    team all early ballots can be PROCESSED but not counted as they are received

    maybe start the count a day pre-election but probably no earlier imo

    MN counts really fast because they're all processed ahead but they can't even be counted until polls closed and it still works well.
     
  49. bro

    bro Hey Hermano
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  50. steamengine

    steamengine I don’t want to press one for English!
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    Gotta know whether or not the President will be opening Hooters.