Separate names with a comma.
Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by NilesIrish, Mar 4, 2019.
Maybe I'm not paying enough attention but she has almost zero presence here in Houston. If she has 1/100th the name recognition Beto did at this point in 2018, I'd d be surprised. He lost by 2.5 points to Cruz and I would be surprised if it was that close this year.
I think the only Trumpers between the freeway and the ocean live behind me. Not surprisingly, they were cited this summer for violating quarantine
“I’m being killed financially, this money is because they hate my guts”
There is a less than zero % chance Seminole county is anything other than red as fuck. I'm blown the fuck away someone would suggest this shit hole of a county full of rich white people would be anything other than red.
I still can't believe people think Florida has any chance of being blue. It's pure delusion
I’m pretty sure Williamson County is the most conservative county in Texas. It’s where that docuseries about the HS football player exonerated after being convicted of being a pedophile happened. The news anchor repeatedly brags about how conservative it is.
And Collin County can’t be far behind. It’s wonder bread Dallas suburbs Plano, Frisco and McKinney. I’d be shocked.
I mean... Obama got within 3 points in 2008. But yeah, if Seminole flips this thing is a huge blowout.
none of the Puerto Rican’s who moved into the orlando area after maria fall into Seminole?
ow this is hilarious, he really says they hate my guts like he is the victim
Screw the white working class. They are all racist
Dems won in House, Senate, and Gubernatorial elections in Seminole in 2018.
and Trump only beat Hillary in Seminole in '16 by 3,600 votes.
another Maine poll showing Gideon up +4 and Biden leading in ME-2. 50-39 statewide.
guys maybe CaneKnight has his own internal polling that also somehow invalidates past election results
OpinionWorks (B/C rated) 9/4-11 Maryland:
Biden 61 - Trump 29 +32
This puts Maryland, New Jersey, and Delaware all Biden at +18-32 within the last month.
Philly Metro is going to be fine in Pennsylvania.
I don’t know about the docuseries, but Williamson is up for grabs. It went for Beto in 2018, and MJ, among other Democrats. It’s changed quickly.
Nowhere near beto levels but she has signs all over my hood
Assuming turnout materializes.
Thank god Biden isn’t running that kind of campaign.
Are you talking about of the urban/suburban counties? Because there are about 400 more conservative counties than Williamson in Texas.
All indications are that it will.
In 2016, Clinton led in most battleground states in September, but then missed much of the month with pneumonia.
Trump gradually gained momentum among his base while most democrats were apathetic.
There isn’t much apathy this cycle.
Trump is going to jam Ginsburg’s replacement through and it’s just going to smack the hornets nest over and over for the next month as these kangaroo court confirmation hearings proceed.
As someone else pointed out, Clinton was winning but polling 44-39, 46-42, etc. Biden being over 50% in polls makes his lead in them much more solid.
Biden has been very smart with his appearances.
Carpenters union hall in Pittsburgh, Auto worker’s union hall in Dearborn MI, floor of an aluminum factory in Wisconsin—this is how you win Democrats in the Midwest.
There also are virtually no undecided voters in these 2020 polls.
polling was light like you said and there were name recognized 3rd party candidates for the libertarian and Green Party. Green isn’t even on the ballot in some of the states and no one knows Jorgensen.
biden also isn’t extremely unlikable like Hillary.
most importantly though, pollsters realized the importance of battleground state polling and the amount of polls in these states has skyrocketed. A lot of the “Hillary leads by X amount” was based on 1-2 polls. Now we have 8-10 to average out. A lot of these pollsters also started weighting by education so if there is a different turnout demographic than 2016, trump could be overweight in these polls. These polls are assuming close to a 2016 turnout.
I really like his “Scranton v park ave” line and need to see more of that. I think that will play really well also.
Idk that really hurt soledad’s feelings and we don’t want that
No apathy, but much more on the suppression and subversion front. Black voters are micro targeted by Facebook troll farms, and no doubt DOJ will do what they can to intimidate and create fear.
Back in my day all these folks were Democrats. Before Rush and Fox News.
I see you got your Soros check, friend.
Don’t forget Stephanie Ruhle too.
When is our reichstag fire happening in this timeline
That happened when Trump won and the GOP congress blamed everything on deep state and globalists
Be more worried about kristallnacht
Lol Williamson County went for Beto in 2018
Tarrant was, for a while, the most populous red county in the country. It went for Beto (by a razor thin margin) in 2018. Beto was within 6 points in Collin County.
Ya, should have been more clear, but candidly, I don't keep tabs on this all that much. Played golf in Williamson during the shut down when all the Austin courses were closed and I swear there was a Trump flag flying from every backyard. That and the Greg Kelley documentary reminded me of it.
I think Tarrant/Collin/Montgomery/Williamson are the only counties anywhere near one of the five major cities that could still got for Trump. Montgomery is like 75/25 Trump because Conroe and it’s surrounding areas are the heart of the tea party movement.
Orlando metro is increasingly progressive so it would make sense the counties immediately bordering Orlando would be getting younger and bluer. North Seminole county I can see where the MAGA lives and breeds but south Seminole I gotta think is pretty blue.
(not based on data...just looking at a map)
1. It's incredibly dumb that early votes aren't counted as they're received.
2. Anyone who's not home bound can find the time to vote early in person. If you can go to the grocery store, you can go to a polling place.
I'd imagine all of the O&G folks in the Woodlands also contribute to that.
It was years ago, but I remember people arguing against Puerto Rico becoming a state on here because we had 50 states already and that was a good round number.
It stuck with me because it perfectly captured how stupid people form opinions.
11% undecided/third party 40 days out from the election?
I live in North Seminole. I’ve been encouraged by the number of Biden signs I’ve seen up this way, including one next door to a house with like four Trump/cop flags that says “PRO-AMERICA, ANTI-TRUMP.”
1. If they were all counted early those vote totals would be leaked to the candidates and that would influence their actions. And with this particular president and the expected number of absentees, those actions could be quite horrific.
2. Michigan doesn’t have early in person voting / just absentee ballots. However, this is the first election in Michigan with no-excuse absentee ballots and our Secretary of State has committed to making them available at county clerks offices for pickup. So it takes a little time but is kind of like early in person voting.
team all early ballots can be PROCESSED but not counted as they are received
maybe start the count a day pre-election but probably no earlier imo
MN counts really fast because they're all processed ahead but they can't even be counted until polls closed and it still works well.
Gotta know whether or not the President will be opening Hooters.