It’s pretty nuts the start waddle had to this year before getting hurt, he kept that up and he is getting all the hype Smith is getting
Heard someone comparing him more to Rashad Greene instead of Marvin Harrison. The same Rashad Greene that was better than Amari Cooper stg3 so that isn't a bad floor
How dare I post my opinions on message board. Maybe stop obsessing over my takes and just put me on ignore if it impacts your enjoyment of the board. You should be better than these passive aggressive little bitch remarks you keep posting. Maybe your aren’t.
I would take Chase and Waddle over Smith I think Rondale Moore will be the second rounder that potentially over-produces all of them I also think Smith should win the Heisman /Ted Talk
Seems like a passive aggressive little bitch remark? You get really offended when people question your draft analysis, simply because you take it wayyyyy more serious than everyone else. Question - you knocked Jacobs because of some obscure usage/production state (IIRC). Something about how regardless of measurables, eye test, etc. -- because he didn't put up elite numbers in a college offense, you didn't think he'd be a good NFL back. I think you've also admitted your analysis was incorrect? Does that reasoning not apply to Smith? He's producing at elite levels (I think the most ever for a Bama WR?), and has been (arguably) the best player on the field in every game this year (based on production and putting up points). Is it different for WR and RB? Just seems like you're cherry picking stats to fit your opinions. For the record, I don't think Smith should be the #1 WR off the board. I think he'll land in the 10-20 range.
There are some ridiculously good CBs in the league right now. Ramsey, Alexander, Humphrey, Howard, White, etc.
Dolphins GM came out and said Tua is their guy going forward so sounds like they'll be praying Sewell falls to 3
Waddle is obviously really awesome to watch but I don't trust these smaller WRs that run 4.3s. They all seem to suck in the NFL.
I’d reckon he is more of an outlier. But maybe these smaller guys haven’t gotten a fair shake before Hill’s success
WRs since 2013 who run 4.3 at the combine and are <6', drafted in the first two rounds: Tavon Austin Brandin Cooks OBJ Phillip Dorsett John Ross Curtis Samuel Andy Isabella Henry Ruggs A lot of these guys suck. i loved Ruggs (and it's obv too early to say he's a bust) and I similarly love Waddle as a prospect but the track record for really fast guys who are drafted high is pretty poor.
really good OBJ Brandin Cooks good Curtis Samuel bad Tavon Austin Phillip Dorsett John Ross Andy Isabella tbd Henry Ruggs i'd assume you'd have a fewer number of busts/bad players with WRs not fitting this profile but idk for sure. just seems like WRs who are taller/bigger can play more roles on a team.
I wouldn't believe what a team says starting now, but I would agree that the Dolphins likely will not draft another QB in the top 5.
looks like he didn't. i was using pro-football reference. i'd put him in the curtis samuel category but he's really another example of a short, small, fast guy that is limited. picking him at 25th is more tolerable than waddle at 12-15 or w/e but that's still not a #1 WR
Since Waddle is starting to run again, what if he looks really good at the combine/pro day? Will he be back to WR1/WR2?
If you do >6' and over 4.3, you'll find a lot of not great guys too. It's the NFL, most players don't pan out.
My issue with him goes past this thread. I don't believe I'm offended by anyone itt when it comes to talking prospects. I enjoy dropping my takes and the convos that come from it. I was down on Jacobs because advance analytics suggested his chance of becoming a all-pro player for his career were extremely low. His chances of being a career pro-bowl player were very low. His upside was basically a solid NFL RB with less than three pro-bowls in his career. I thought it was insane to draft someone with that type of upside in the first round. I thought you could get better players like Miles Sanders in the 2nd round. I've admitted that my take could be wrong on Jacobs. He could be an outlier and he may prove me wrong. It's also one 2 years into his career and I recently cautioned that his sub 4ypc could be problematic and maybe a indicator he wasn't what his rookie year suggested. I think it's too early to say i'm wrong or right on Jacobs. I'm fine with saying at this moment it still looks like I was wrong on him. When it comes to Smith his issue isn't production. His production numbers are fantastic. But there are other issues I have with Smith like his breakout age (analytic) and real life age, his weight and most of those things suggest that even though he's been nothing short of amazing this year, that he's 100 worthy of the heisman and a deserved winner that his projected upside isn't very high. IMHO your not drafting for solid players in the 1st round. Your drafting for all-pro's and I think just on upside alone there is a half dozen maybe more guys who have a better upside than Smith. btw I appreciate you taking the time to ask me these questions. I feel like maybe the way i'm presenting my opinion on Smith makes it seem like I think the guy stinks. He doesn't. I just don't see the upside for his career in the NFL. And thus to me instead of being WR1 he's probably somewhere between WR7-14 and more likely a 2nd round talent imho. 2nd round talents aren't garbage. This is a loaded WR class. He could be pretty good in the NFL I just don't see him being elite. Lot's of space in between Smith isn't WR1 to dude fucking sucks. I feel like i'm not in any way suggesting he sucks. Moore is a beast. I hope he can stay healthy because he's truly special talent. Pitts is in tier 1 for me. I think Parson's probably also belongs in that tier. Farely is being forgotten but he would be in the same convo with Surtain maybe a smidge below. And I think Horn is a stud from South Carolina. Toney doesn't belong in the convo with those other players. Fantastic year earned him some money but he's not the 5th best WR in the draft. Tyreek was a outlier. The odds of his build and skill set to be this good in the nfl are extremely low. Hollywood did not run at the combine. He had the foot injury.
looks like WRs 6' or more since 2013 running sub-4.4: Aaron Dobson - bad Kevin White - bad Will Fuller - good DK Metcalf - good Denzel Mims - tbd
With the 11th pick of the 2021 NFL Draft. The New York Football Giants select.... A GM that isn't a complete idiot.
Would prefer he go to a team with a quarterback capable of getting him the ball more than 10 yards down the field lol
It's a pretty terrible mock. Spoiler NFL mock draft 2021: Todd McShay's predictions for all 32 first-round picks following the regular season play 1:41 / 1:48 9:00 AM ET Todd McShayESPN Senior Writer Facebook Twitter Facebook Messenger Pinterest Email print The 2020 NFL regular season is complete. There is just one college football game still to be played -- Monday's College Football Playoff National Championship between Alabama and Ohio State. Eighteen of the 32 NFL teams know where they will be selecting in the 2021 NFL draft and have turned their attention there. So it sure seems like a good time to predict how the first round will play out in April. It's still very early. This month's Senior Bowl will provide scouts a chance to see players who didn't have much tape this year in a shortened season, and the NFL scouting combine will be teams' first look in more than a year at numerous highly touted draft prospects who opted out of the 2020 season amid the coronavirus pandemic. Evaluators, including myself, still have a lot of tape to watch and a lot of interviews to conduct. Rankings will change, as will the back half of the draft order used here -- which was determined by ESPN's Football Power Index projections. But this much is for sure at this point, just under four months out: The class is loaded with talent. I currently have 22 players with a 90-plus grade -- which I use to identify true first-round prospects -- including a handful of quarterbacks. So how will it all happen? Let's predict the opening 32 picks of the 2021 NFL draft, starting with a one-win Jaguars team. And be sure to check out our mock draft special, live on ESPN+ at 5 p.m. ET. Note: Draft order is set for pick Nos. 1-18. For pick Nos. 19-32, we used projections from ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI). Underclassmen are noted with an asterisk. See more: Rankings | Podcast 1. Jacksonville Jaguars Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson* Did you expect anyone else? I haven't seen a quarterback prospect quite like Lawrence in almost a decade, and the Jaguars are certainly in the market for one. Gardner Minshew, Mike Glennon and Jake Luton combined for the NFL's second-worst Total QBR in 2020 (43.7). Jacksonville will have a new general manager and a new coach after losing 15 games, and the 6-foot-6 Lawrence -- who has a huge arm, good mobility in the pocket and all the intangibles you could ask for -- would give the team a starting quarterback who should soon be among the NFL's best. Lawrence declared for the draft on Wednesday. 2. New York Jets Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon* McShay's NFL draft rankings: A new No. 2 QB in the class, and some big risers Lawrence, Fields, Wilson, Lance, Jones, Trask: Meet the 2021 NFL draft QB class Projected 2021 NFL draft order: Jaguars clinch No. 1 pick, Dolphins move into top five General manager Joe Douglas has a lot of decisions to make ahead of free agency and the draft, not the least of which is what to do at quarterback. The Jets' pair of late-season victories made it an even more difficult call. BYU's Zach Wilson or Ohio State's Justin Fields could be in play, as could a trade back to stockpile more picks. Moving down would really be the ideal move. Since we're not mocking trades this far out, and with Lawrence off the board, I think the Jets will stick with Sam Darnold as their guy under center and build around him. That begins with a game-changing offensive tackle. New York allowed 43 sacks this season, and its rushing attack tied for sixth worst in yards per carry (4.1). Sewell, a 2020 opt-out, would do wonders for both weak spots. And after taking Mekhi Becton in Round 1 in April, the Jets would have a pair of elite tackles bookending the line. 3. Miami Dolphins (via HOU) DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama No, I don't think the Dolphins are drafting another quarterback. I do think they will draft a high-impact player here to give Tua Tagovailoa support. Smith, who caught 83 passes from Tagovailoa over three years at Alabama, is the real deal. He is quick off the line, excellent on vertical shots and able to haul in anything thrown in his direction. Miami managed just 7.1 yards per attempt when targeting a wide receiver this season (27th in the NFL), whereas Smith piled up more than 1,600 receiving yards and 20 touchdowns in 2020 -- and the Heisman Trophy winner still has another college game to play. 4. Atlanta Falcons Zach Wilson, QB, BYU* Atlanta will have a new head coach and a new GM for the 2021 season, and after it struggled to just four wins in 2020, it could be looking for a complete reboot. The Falcons will need to address running back, parts of the offensive line and the secondary this offseason, so moving back and acquiring some extra picks might be the smart call. However, quarterback Matt Ryan will be 36 years old when next season kicks off, and his contract allows an out after 2022. The chance to draft an heir this high isn't a guarantee in future years, so could Atlanta make the move here and now? The decision between Wilson and Justin Fields would be close. It's perhaps the toughest player-vs.-player debate in the class right now, at least for me. They both compete so well. I'm going with Wilson's toughness in the pocket and deep-ball prowess, giving the Falcons a signal-caller of the future. 5. Cincinnati Bengals Rashawn Slater, OL, Northwestern Just four teams allowed more sacks than Cincinnati this season, not something you want to see right after drafting a franchise quarterback at No. 1 overall. Jonah Williams, a 2019 first-round tackle, is the only entrenched starter on the offensive line at the moment, and with Joe Burrow returning from a knee injury, protection will be even more important in 2021. A 2020 opt-out, Slater projects best as an interior lineman -- possibly at center -- but he also has experience at both left and right tackle. With Penei Sewell gone, Slater is the top offensive lineman on my board here and will help fix a woeful unit with growing importance to the future success of this Bengals team. But also watch for the Bengals to try to move up to get Sewell. 6. Philadelphia Eagles Micah Parsons, ILB, Penn State* Meet the loaded, elite QB class » • 30 big questions for Kiper & McShay » • Mini mock of the projected top 10 » • Rankings: Kiper » | McShay » Full ranking » | Pick order » | More » The Eagles haven't drafted an off-the-ball linebacker in the first two rounds since 2012, when they took Mychal Kendricks at No. 46 overall. But wow, is Parsons special. He can drop in coverage, wrap up in run defense or get to the QB when turned loose on a blitz. While wide receiver remains a problem even after drafting Jalen Reagor in the first round last April -- and LSU's Ja'Marr Chase will be tempting -- this WR class is deep and still offers playmakers when Philly is back on the clock on Day 2. Trading back is an option, but if the Eagles stay home, this pick at No. 6 is all about the best player available: Parsons. 7. Detroit Lions Ja'Marr Chase, WR, LSU* Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones Jr. and Danny Amendola are all set to be free agents, and Chase is an explosive route runner with great body control. He opted out in 2020 but set a SEC record for receiving yards in 2019. Some will point to a defensive need after Detroit allowed a league-worst 419.8 yards per game. Some will argue it is time for a new quarterback, with Matthew Stafford turning 33 and having a potential out on his contract after next season. A new coaching staff and general manager might take the team in a whole new direction, and maybe that direction is with Justin Fields driving the offense. But it's tough to ignore how well Chase matches need with value here for the Lions. 8. Carolina Panthers Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida* This is another spot where QB could be in play -- Teddy Bridgewater struggled down the stretch -- as well as an offensive line that will need to navigate free-agency issues. But what about Pitts? He would be a problem for opposing defensive coordinators, bringing size, speed and hands to a position that has lacked a punch for Carolina since Greg Olsen left town. Pitts caught 12 touchdowns in eight games this season at Florida, and he would be a real matchup piece for offensive coordinator Joe Brady. No team had fewer passing yards when targeting a tight end in 2020 than the Panthers (195). Pitts would join 10 other tight ends to be drafted this high in the common draft era (since 1967). 9. Denver Broncos Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, ILB, Notre Dame Still no Justin Fields? It's a legitimate possibility and something I considered heavily here, but I think Denver ultimately will give Drew Lock another year to prove he's the guy. Cornerback is another position to watch, especially with Alabama's Patrick Surtain II still out there. But I love Owusu-Koramoah's range, instincts and suddenness. He found his way into just about every statistical category in 2020, including racking up 11 tackles for loss. Dallas Cowboys[/paste:font] Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama* What Dallas does in the draft will likely come down to the outcome of Dak Prescott's contract situation. The Cowboys will know whether they need a QB by the time they're on the clock; we just don't know right now. But considering Surtain is still available, and Dallas hasn't had a shutdown corner in years, this seems almost too easy. It wasn't Surtain's best season, but he has strong instincts and can redirect wideouts where he wants them. Trevon Diggs -- Surtain's former teammate in Tuscaloosa -- appears to be a great value pick for Dallas (No. 51 in 2020), but fellow cornerbacks Jourdan Lewis and Chidobe Awuzie could be coming off the books this offseason. And on throws outside the hashes, Dallas allowed the fourth-highest opponent QBR in 2020 (83.5). 11. New York Giants Gregory Rousseau, DE/OLB, Miami-FL* The Giants managed 40 sacks this season, thanks in large part to Leonard Williams bouncing back and getting 11.5 of them. But few would argue against the Giants needing edge-rushing help to take a much-improved defense to the next level, particularly if they don't return Williams, who played this season on the franchise tag. Rousseau opted out this season, but he had 15.5 sacks for the Hurricanes in 2019 and has speed and power coming around the corner. Alternatively, offensive line, wide receiver or cornerback could be areas to keep an eye on for New York. 12. San Francisco 49ers Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech* The 49ers' pass defense was a strength this season, ranking fourth in yards allowed per game (207.9). But here's the list of pending unrestricted free agents at cornerback: Richard Sherman, Jason Verrett, Ahkello Witherspoon, K'Waun Williams and Dontae Johnson. Injuries hurt San Francisco all over this season, but there isn't a bigger question mark on the team going forward than at corner. Enter Farley, a 2020 opt-out with terrific ball skills. He had four interceptions for the Hokies in 2019. Could the Niners make a change at QB? Of course, especially if Justin Fields were actually to fall this far. (He is dropping in this mock mainly because there aren't any trades.) Jimmy Garoppolo is only under contract for two more seasons, has very little guaranteed money still owed to him and has battled injuries during his time with the 49ers. 13. Los Angeles Chargers Shaun Wade, CB, Ohio State First Draft podcast » Los Angeles will deal with a lot of free-agency issues this offseason, with players at key positions on expiring deals. Keep a close eye on what happens in March, because it will determine everything about where the Chargers go with this pick, especially as they hire a new coach. They had one of the stingiest pass defenses in the NFL in 2020, but Casey Hayward Jr. and Chris Harris Jr. will both be turning 32 years old this season. Wade can play inside or outside, and he excels in zone coverage -- which the Chargers use at the 10th-highest rate in the NFL. 14. Minnesota Vikings Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech* Ezra Cleveland, last year's second-rounder, has helped the offensive line, but the Vikings still need a dominant tackle. They were one of 12 teams that allowed quarterback pressure on at least 30% of their dropbacks. Darrisaw is a very talented left tackle who has power as a pass protector and can get to the second level to help block for Dalvin Cook in Minnesota's zone run schemes. Other possibilities might include pass-rush aid -- the Vikings had the fifth-fewest sacks in 2020 with 23 -- or a safety. 15. New England Patriots Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State* OK, it's time. And what a terrific outcome this would be for coach Bill Belichick. Fields fell to No. 15 here because we aren't doing trades in this mock. There's very little chance he makes it this far down the board, especially after his six-touchdown performance in the Sugar Bowl quieted some big-game concerns. Someone will move up to get him. But what a nice fit Fields makes in New England. The Patriots tied the Giants for the fewest passing touchdowns in the NFL this season with 12, and New England joined the Broncos as the only teams with more interceptions thrown than TDs (14). Cam Newton, who was largely ineffective this season, will turn 32 in May and is set to be a free agent again. Jarrett Stidham doesn't appear to be the guy, either. Tom Brady is no longer walking through that door, and it's a different era for the Patriots' passing offense. But Fields would change that, with plenty of zip on his vertical shots and an ability to create when things break down. 16. Arizona Cardinals Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson Etienne is a home run hitter with fantastic contact balance and improving pass-catching ability. The Cardinals' rushing offense was top 10 in yards per game in 2020, but much of that was from quarterback Kyler Murray, who accounted for more than a third of the team's gains on the ground. Arizona's running backs had the 19th-best yards per carry (4.16), and lead back Kenyan Drake played the season on a transition tag -- and he isn't under contract for 2021. Etienne would join Murray and DeAndre Hopkins in what would be one of the league's most dangerous offenses. 17. Las Vegas Raiders Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama* Through conversations with former players, coaches and key figures, Peyton Manning gets to the heart of football history and its cultural impact. Watch on ESPN+ Didn't the Raiders just draft Henry Ruggs III in the first round last year? Didn't they then take Bryan Edwards in the third? Yes, but this team still needs playmakers on offense. Nelson Agholor is likely to be a free agent, and Edwards hasn't yet taken the step. Waddle missed most of the 2020 season -- though he could return Monday for the national championship game -- but he is arguably the most explosive wide receiver in the nation. He would give coach Jon Gruden yet another speedy problem to throw at opponents and also help one of the NFL's worst kick-return units. Thanks to a busy 2020 offseason and some secondary-friendly draft classes, there aren't too many other glaring needs. However, the Raiders' 21 sacks were the league's fourth fewest, and it'd be a good spot to start looking at additional pass-rushers. This would mark the sixth time a school has sent two wide receivers off as first-round picks in the same year (DeVonta Smith being the other), and after two Alabama WRs also went in the first in 2020 -- including Ruggs -- Alabama would become the first school ever to have two WRs go in the first round twice, let alone in back-to-back years. 18. Miami Dolphins Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota* How badly does Tua Tagovailoa need playmakers around him in Miami, as he had at Alabama? I'm giving the Dolphins two first-round wide receivers, something no team has done in the common draft era. DeVonta Smith starts that process at No. 3, but Bateman continues it at No. 18. Among 33 qualified quarterbacks, Tagovailoa ranked 31st in QBR when targeting a wide receiver (60.8) this season. Bateman would provide him with a tenacious middle-of-the-field presence, and he has great hands. Smith, Bateman, DeVante Parker and Preston Williams would give Tagovailoa's offense some oomph. For picks beyond this point, we used projections from ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) to determine order. Draft slots will be determined as teams are eliminated from the 2020 NFL playoffs, which begin on Saturday. 19. Washington Football Team Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State* Here we are again, two years after Washington selected Dwayne Haskins Jr. in the first round. It didn't work out. And while Alex Smith has completed an inspiring comeback and led Washington to the playoffs, he isn't the future of this team. Smith averaged just 5 air yards per attempt this season. Coach Ron Rivera needs to be thinking about the direction he wants to take his roster, and Lance would give him a QB to develop. The third-year sophomore had a one-game season in 2020, and he never saw an FBS opponent in his career. But he has strong downfield touch and can tuck and run, and he went the entire 2019 season without an interception. 20. Chicago Bears Elijah Moore, WR, Ole Miss* Well, Mitchell Trubisky might be playing his way back onto the Bears' 2021 roster -- and with four quarterbacks off the board already here, there wouldn't be too many options if Chicago chose to go that route. I'll be watching to see what Chicago does in free agency at QB or if they attempt to trade up at all. Regardless, the Bears need weapons to get this offense closer to the talented defense's level. Worse, Allen Robinson II is a pending free agent. Moore could be an excellent pick here, bringing speed and an ability to work the middle of the field to the table. He trailed only DeVonta Smith in catches and receiving yardage this season. 21. Indianapolis Colts Mac Jones, QB, Alabama* A fifth quarterback! Only once in the common draft era have five QBs been drafted in the first 21 picks: 1999, when Tim Couch led a pack of five in the opening 12 selections. But the top end of this signal-caller class is special, and the Colts are squarely in the mix for one of them, with 39-year-old Philip Rivers finishing up his one-year deal. Jacob Eason is the only name on the Colts' 2021 QB depth chart at the moment. Jones puts excellent placement on deep balls, anticipates well and shows poise in the pocket. His 4,036 yards and 36 touchdown passes both ranked second in the nation this season. play 4:46 Jones and Smith lead No. 1 Bama to CFP championship Mac Jones' four TDs and DeVonta Smith's three TDs help the Crimson Tide overpower No. 4 Notre Dame 31-14 to advance to the CFP National Championship. 22. Jacksonville Jaguars (via LAR) Daviyon Nixon, DT, Iowa* We went offense in a big way at No. 1 overall, so let's pivot to defense with the Jaguars' second pick of Day 1. Nixon has great instincts and agility for his 305-pound size. In recent drafts, Jacksonville has padded the edge with K'Lavon Chaisson and Josh Allen, but the middle of the line still needs help. Its 4.7 yards per carry allowed is tied for fifth worst in the NFL, and Colts running back Jonathan Taylor just gutted the Jags for 253 rushing yards on Sunday. Nixon had 13.5 tackles for loss this season and would be a good building block for the team's new staff. 23. Cleveland Browns Zaven Collins, OLB, Tulsa* The playoff-bound Browns will probably be looking exclusively at the defense here, though wide receiver depth is again something to watch. The secondary could use reinforcements, with Terrance Mitchell, Karl Joseph, Andrew Sendejo and Kevin Johnson finishing up their current deals with the team; but remember that Grant Delpit and Greedy Williams will return from the injured reserve next season. A middle linebacker also might be in play. But edge rushing is this team's biggest hole going forward. Myles Garrett can't do it alone -- he had 12 of Cleveland's 38 sacks this season -- and Olivier Vernon might not be back. Collins, who would be Tulsa's second first-rounder in the common draft era, has closing burst off the edge. 24. Tennessee Titans Joseph Ossai, OLB, Texas* It took a four-sack performance in Week 17 against a woeful Houston offensive line for the Titans to not finish last in the NFL in sacks this season. And they still finished third to last with 19. Harold Landry III was the only player to have more than three sacks (5.5). The pass rush is the biggest flaw in their playoff roster, so this pick comes down to guys like Ossai, Kwity Paye (Michigan), Joe Tryon (Washington) and Jaelan Phillips (University of Miami). With a 3-4 defense, I like Ossai's fit in Tennessee. He had five sacks and 16 tackles for loss this season, showcasing high-end instincts and speed. 25. New York Jets (via SEA) Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State* Watch on ESPN+ In an effort to continue giving Sam Darnold a better supporting cast -- remember, we gave the Jets an elite offensive tackle at No. 2 -- let's go to the wide receiver well. No one in this class separates as well as Olave does, thanks in part to tremendous wheels. He was terrific against Clemson (two touchdowns), and he has gone for 100-plus receiving yards in five of six games so far this season. The Jets' passing attack ranked second worst in the NFL despite trailing a good deal of the time. No receiver went over 700 yards for them. Jamison Crowder has struggled to stay healthy. Breshad Perriman is potentially headed out of town. And the Jets haven't had a 1,000-yard wideout since 2015. 26. Baltimore Ravens Kwity Paye, DE, Michigan Can Baltimore bring back Yannick Ngakoue? Will it re-sign Matthew Judon and Jihad Ward? What does Calais Campbell, who will be 35 in September, have left in the tank? It might not seem like a problem now, but the edge could be something for the Ravens to target in order to maintain a strength. Paye needs some time to develop, but he had 8.5 sacks over his past 16 games in college, and he could pivot to 3-4 outside linebacker. If not the edge, watch for the Ravens to look at the interior offensive line, potentially Ohio State's Wyatt Davis. 27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama* It's noteworthy that Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski are all on expiring deals, but the front seven's descent into free agency is more eyebrow-raising. Few teams had a better defense in 2020, and no one came close to the Buccaneers' run-stopping. Their 80.6 rushing yards allowed were 10 better than the second-best team. But Tampa Bay must now figure how to keep from slipping, with Ndamukong Suh, Rakeem Nunez-Roches, Steve McLendon, Lavonte David, Shaquil Barrett and Kevin Minter all looking at the open market on the horizon. That's a problem. But Barmore, a third-year sophomore, shows strong gap control against the run, and he tallied 7.0 sacks this season. The 310-pounder would lighten any offseason losses, lining up alongside Vita Vea. 28. Pittsburgh Steelers Najee Harris, RB, Alabama James Conner is playing out the final few games of his rookie deal and might not return. If he doesn't, running back will be a hole. Benny Snell Jr. looked adequate this season when called upon, but Harris is different. His 1,387 rushing yards are third in the FBS this season, and he has averaged two scores on the ground per game. Speed, power, pass-catching and pass-protection ability, Harris brings it all. On the quarterback front, Pittsburgh could potentially land one of the top five guys, but a deeper option also could be in the mix if Ben Roethlisberger decides to retire and/or the team does not do something in free agency. Offensive line also is a big-time need, so perhaps Wyatt Davis (Ohio State) or Trey Smith (Tennessee) are in the mix. play 1:21 Should the Steelers look for Big Ben's successor in the 2021 draft? Mike Tannenbaum and Bart Scott discuss whether the Steelers should look for Ben Roethlisberger's successor in the draft or bring in a more experienced quarterback. 29. Buffalo Bills Wyatt Davis, G, Ohio State* The Josh Allen-Stefon Diggs connection was electric this season, but with Jon Feliciano, Daryl Williams and Brian Winters starring at free agency, the interior offensive line will likely need new blood to keep Allen upright and flinging it to Diggs. Cody Ford will return from a knee injury, but Davis has the 315-pound size, mobility and awareness to make a big impact. In 666 pass-blocking snaps over the past two seasons, Davis has allowed just two sacks. 30. New Orleans Saints Nick Bolton, ILB, Missouri* The Saints could use a talent like Bolton, as inside linebacker is perhaps the only question mark on their stout defense. He plays fast and has great instincts in coverage, compiling 95 tackles this season. Sliding him in at the second level would help keep New Orleans' run defense strong. 31. Green Bay Packers Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU* Another mock, another wide receiver to the Packers. Maybe this is the year Green Bay finally does it for Aaron Rodgers. This will be the 11th first-round selection for the Packers since 2012, and the only offensive one was another quarterback (Jordan Love, 2020). Rodgers, the likely MVP, slung it this season, leading the NFL in touchdown passes with 48 and showing no signs of decline -- but 18 of them went to Davante Adams. Quite simply, the Packers have to replenish the WR room with game-breakers, and Marshall (who opted out halfway through the 2020 season) can come down with balls in traffic and tack on big yards after the catch. As an aside, running back will be something to watch on Day 2. Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams might not return to Lambeau Field, and the likes of Michael Carter (North Carolina), Javonte Williams (North Carolina), Chuba Hubbard (Oklahoma State), Trey Sermon (Ohio State) and Kenneth Gainwell (Memphis) could be names to keep an eye on. 32. Kansas City Chiefs Derion Kendrick, CB, Clemson* Matchups, X factors, more for each team » • Experts predict upsets, QBs under pressure » • Busting myths for 14 playoff teams » • Schedule, brackets, TV times and more » • What went wrong for non-playoff teams » Should the Chiefs repeat as Super Bowl champions, as FPI predicts, they will again be closing down Day 1 of the draft. They went with offense last year, taking Clyde Edwards-Helaire to jump-start the run game. Rejuvenating the offensive line could an option here, to continue keeping the offense dominant. Another pass-rusher could be a smart play too. But with Bashaud Breeland set to hit the open market, cornerback is going to need another boost. L'Jarius Sneed, a fourth-rounder in 2020, played well this season, but getting a guy like Kendrick would shore up the position even more. He is fluid in transition and has former-wideout hands, hauling in three interceptions over two years since making the conversion to defensive back.