2021 College Football Bowl Projections | Brett McMurphy’s Week 5 Predictions with Projected Spreads Brett McMurphy Sep 27, 2021, 09:00 AM EDT College Football Bowl Projections Entering Week 5 Arkansas in the Sugar Bowl? NC State in the Peach Bowl? Clemson in the Gator Bowl? Oregon State in the Alamo Bowl? To paraphrase the great broadcaster Jack Buck, “I don’t believe what I just typed.” With six Top 25 ranked teams losing this past weekend, my bowl projections this week are — well, how do I put this? — wacked. Up is down, down is up. One week after independent BYU clinches the Pac-12 South division, Arkansas “unofficially” wins the Texas state championship. Of the 130 FBS schools, there are only 26 unbeaten teams remaining, and we haven’t gotten out of September yet. Here are this week’s bowl projections. And, as always, each projection includes the projected point spread for each game based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s updated college football betting power ratings. 2021 College Football Bowl Projections College Football Playoff National Championship Monday, Jan. 10 ⋅ Indianapolis, IN Projection: Alabama vs. Georgia Action Spread: Alabama -2.5 College Football Playoff Semifinals Capital One Orange Bowl Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ Miami Gardens, FL Projection: No. 2 Georgia vs. No. 3 Oregon Action Spread: Georgia -13 Goodyear Cotton Bowl Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ Arlington, TX Projection: No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Penn State Action Spread: Alabama -10.5 New Year’s Six Bowls Allstate Sugar Bowl Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ New Orleans, LA Projection: Oklahoma vs. Arkansas Action Spread: Oklahoma -6 Rose Bowl Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ Pasadena, CA Projection: UCLA vs. Iowa Action Spread: Iowa -1 PlayStation Fiesta Bowl Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ Glendale, AZ Projection: BYU vs. Cincinnati* Action Spread: Cincinnati -10.5 Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Thursday, Dec. 30 ⋅ Atlanta, GA Projection: Florida vs. NC State Action Spread: Florida -7.5 Other Bowls Texas Bowl Tuesday, Jan. 4 ⋅ Houston, TX Projection: Iowa State vs. Kentucky Action Spread: Iowa State -8 Vrbo Citrus Bowl Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ Orlando, FL Projection: Ohio State vs. Ole Miss Action Spread: Ohio State -5.5 Outback Bowl Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ Tampa, FL Projection: Michigan vs. Texas A&M Action Spread: Texas A&M -2.5 Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ Tucson, AZ Projection: Western Michigan vs. San Diego State Action Spread: Western Michigan -1 TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ Jacksonville, FL Projection: Clemson vs. Auburn Action Spread: Auburn -1 Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ El Paso, TX Projection: Boston College vs. USC Action Spread: USC -6.5 TransPerfect Music City Bowl Thursday, Dec. 30 ⋅ Nashville, TN Projection: Michigan State vs. Missouri Action Spread: Michigan State -5.5 Duke’s Mayo Bowl Thursday, Dec. 30 ⋅ Charlotte, NC Projection: North Carolina vs. LSU Action Spread: North Carolina -0.5 Las Vegas Bowl Thursday, Dec. 30 ⋅ Las Vegas, NV Projection: Wisconsin vs. Arizona State Action Spread: Wisconsin -3 Valero Alamo Bowl Wednesday, Dec. 29 ⋅ San Antonio, TX Projection: Oklahoma State vs. Oregon State Action Spread: Oklahoma State -1.5 Cheez-It Bowl Wednesday, Dec. 29 ⋅ Orlando, FL Projection: Notre Dame vs. Texas Action Spread: Texas -2.5 New Era Pinstripe Bowl Wednesday, Dec. 29 ⋅ Bronx, NY Projection: Virginia Tech vs. Rutgers Action Spread: Virginia Tech -9.5 Fenway Bowl Wednesday, Dec. 29 ⋅ Boston, MA Projection: Pitt vs. UCF Action Spread: UCF -2.5 SDCCU Holiday Bowl Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ San Diego, CA Projection: Wake Forest vs. Washington Action Spread: Wake Forest -2 Guaranteed Rate Bowl Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ Phoenix, AZ Projection: Indiana vs. West Virginia Action Spread: West Virginia -1.5 AutoZone Liberty Bowl Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ Memphis, TN Projection: Baylor vs. Mississippi State Action Spread: Baylor -1 SERVPRO First Responder Bowl Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ Dallas, TX Projection: Kansas State vs. Utah Action Spread: Utah -4.5 TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ Birmingham, AL Projection: Wyoming vs. Miami Action Spread: Miami -7.5 Military Bowl Monday, Dec. 27 ⋅ Annapolis, MD Projection: Louisville vs. Memphis Action Spread: Louisville -5.5 Quick Lane Bowl Monday, Dec. 27 ⋅ Detroit, MI Projection: Maryland vs. Toledo Action Spread: Maryland -2.5 Camellia Bowl Saturday, Dec. 25 ⋅ Montgomery, AL Projection: Central Michigan vs. Marshall Action Spread: Marshall -12 EasyPost Hawaii Bowl Friday, Dec. 24 ⋅ Honolulu, HI Projection: Boise State vs. SMU Action Spread: Boise State -1 Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl Thursday, Dec. 23 ⋅ Tampa, FL Projection: Minnesota vs. Western Kentucky Action Spread: Minnesota -1.5 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl Wednesday, Dec. 22 ⋅ Fort Worth, TX Projection: TCU vs. Army Action Spread: TCU -7.5 Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl Tuesday, Dec. 21 ⋅ Frisco, TX Projection: Virginia vs. Houston Action Spread: Virginia -6 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Tuesday, Dec. 21 ⋅ Boise, ID Projection: Buffalo vs. Utah State Action Spread: Buffalo -0.5 Myrtle Beach Bowl Monday, Dec. 20 ⋅ Myrtle Beach, SC Projection: Appalachian State vs. Kent State Action Spread: Appalachian State -18 R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ New Orleans, LA Projection: UAB vs. Louisiana Action Spread: Louisiana -3 Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Inglewood, CA Projection: Stanford vs. Fresno State Action Spread: Fresno State -3.5 Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Shreveport, LA Projection: South Alabama vs. Bowling Green Action Spread: South Alabama -10.5 LendingTree Bowl Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Mobile, AL Projection: UL-Monroe vs. Florida Atlantic Action Spread: Florida Atlantic -11.5 New Mexico Bowl Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Albuquerque, NM Projection: Air Force vs. UTEP Action Spread: Air Force -13.5 RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Boca Raton, FL Projection: Coastal Carolina vs. Charlotte Action Spread: Coastal Carolina -20 Cure Bowl Friday, Dec. 17 ⋅ Orlando, FL Projection: East Carolina vs. Liberty Action Spread: Liberty -9 Bahamas Bowl Friday, Dec. 17 ⋅ Nassau, Bahamas Projection: Louisiana Tech vs. Ball State Action Spread: Ball State -4 * The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Fiesta Bowl.