***2022 MLB Thread: PLAYOFFS***

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by teel, Apr 7, 2022.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. LookslikeUofI

    LookslikeUofI Well-Known Member
    Chicago CubsSt. Louis Blues

    QUOTE="bro, post: 18249666, member: 10007"]Cards over Phillies
    Mets over padres
    Jays over mariners
    Rays over guardians

    Braves over cardinals
    Dodgers over Mets
    Houston over jays
    Tampa over NYY

    Braves over dodgers
    Houston over Tampa

    braves repeat[/QUOTE]
    My God... No one respects the Cardinal Black magic. They will be playing for the world series are at least the pennant
     
    spagett likes this.
  2. Cornelius Suttree

    Cornelius Suttree the smallest crumb can devour us
    Donor TMB OG
    Indiana HoosiersArizona DiamondbacksWyoming CowboysNorthern Arizona Lumberjacks

  3. Cornelius Suttree

    Cornelius Suttree the smallest crumb can devour us
    Donor TMB OG
    Indiana HoosiersArizona DiamondbacksWyoming CowboysNorthern Arizona Lumberjacks

    Congratulations Royals fans

     
  4. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
    Donor

    Unprecedented is just a bad word choice. I get what you're going for, but there's nothing in pro sports in the last 20 years that comes close to comparing to Ohtani if we're using words like that.

    And that's especially true if we're just talking about HRs. Stanton hit 59 HRs in 2017 without the benefit of playing in a little league park. It's not that much of a stretch to think someone could randomly hit 3 more, especially while playing half their games in Williamsport.
     
    jrmy, gus_chiggins, Owsley and 6 others like this.
  5. Jake Barnes

    Jake Barnes Team Mac OG
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Yeah, I'll freely admit "unprecedented" isn't the right word to use.

    Maybe just amazing.
     
    MG2 likes this.
  6. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
    Donor

    For sure. Judge's season is a lot of things. I think using words like that in comparison to Ohtani is just asking for pushback that's not necessary with the point you're trying to make.
     
  7. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
    Donor
    North Carolina TarheelsAtlanta BravesCharlotte HornetsNew York GiantsManchester CityNational LeagueBarAndGrill

    good stuff manfred

     
    gus_chiggins, Owsley and electronic like this.
  8. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    awesome read

     
    DirtBall, yaywaffles, Owsley and 4 others like this.
  9. RoderickJaynes

    RoderickJaynes Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Indiana HoosiersChicago CubsChicago BullsChicago BearsChicago Blackhawks

  10. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    fucking goddammit man. ALS is fucking brutal. I knew she didn't look super well. Not that I listen to her a ton, but any young person getting ALS is fucking brutal
     
  11. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

  12. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
    Donor

    well that just about ruined my day
     
  13. Bert Handsome

    Bert Handsome I'm sorry, the card says Moops
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishMilwaukee Brewers altMilwaukee BucksGreen Bay PackersTiger Woods

    Cross posting with worst tweets of all time...

    There are probably VP's there that are single moms with 2 kids making 85k. Bob seems to be under the impression that a VP there is second on the org chart.


     
    devine and laxjoe like this.
  14. Cornelius Suttree

    Cornelius Suttree the smallest crumb can devour us
    Donor TMB OG
    Indiana HoosiersArizona DiamondbacksWyoming CowboysNorthern Arizona Lumberjacks

  15. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Who was the most disappointing player of the year?

    Berrios?
    Javy Baez?
     
  16. zeberdee

    zeberdee wheel snipe celly boys
    Donor TMB OG
    Penn State Nittany LionsPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia 76'ersPhiladelphia EaglesPhiladelphia FlyersArsenalPhiladelphia UnionUnited States Men's National Soccer Team

    Castellanos
     
  17. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideNew York YankeesJacksonville Jaguars2pacSneakersFormula 1

    Heard a stat this morning that illustrated the way the game has changed. I don't remember the exact numbers but it was roughly:

    Different pitchers faced

    '27 Ruth - 67
    '61 Maris - 120
    '22 Judge - 255
     
  18. poor paul

    poor paul Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Wrexham AFC

    Yasmani Grandal
     
    bro likes this.
  19. Stone Cold Steve Austin

    Stone Cold Steve Austin Tickler Extraordinaire
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta Braves

    He was hurt but Rendon
     
    bro likes this.
  20. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
    Donor

    As bad as he was for stretches of this year, I'm not sure Baez would make my top 5 most disappointing Tigers, let alone players in the big leagues.

    Granted, my expectations for Baez were much lower than the Tigers' were for him.
     
    Cornelius Suttree likes this.
  21. dblplay1212

    dblplay1212 Well-Known Member
    Donor TMB OG
    Alabama Crimson TideNew York YankeesJacksonville Jaguars2pacSneakersFormula 1

    After his 1h, Devers gets 2h disappointment for me. .981 1h OPS to .713 2h OPS. Looks like it was really just one awful month but jeez what a month lol

    upload_2022-10-6_13-14-18.png
     
  22. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    that whole contract has been a disappointment
     
  23. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    ya, I am not going to mention a guy with a 141 OPS+ as a potential most disappointing player
     
    Tobias and zeberdee like this.
  24. bwi2

    bwi2 Not affiliated with BWI
    Donor
    Duke Blue DevilsWashington NationalsArsenalUSA Basketball

    Bound to happen eventually, but Nelson Cruz and his .337 SLG was not awesome
     
  25. Stone Cold Steve Austin

    Stone Cold Steve Austin Tickler Extraordinaire
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta Braves

    Angels
     
  26. NDJOECA

    NDJOECA Well-Known Member

    Ive heard through like 4 degrees separated mutual friends (ie not a reliable source) he just doesn’t like baseball all that much.
     
    bro likes this.
  27. laxjoe

    laxjoe Well-Known Member
    Donor
    San Diego State AztecsSan Diego Padres

    Tatis
     
  28. Cornelius Suttree

    Cornelius Suttree the smallest crumb can devour us
    Donor TMB OG
    Indiana HoosiersArizona DiamondbacksWyoming CowboysNorthern Arizona Lumberjacks

    Giolito or Berrios

    Olson, Semien, Seager, Vlad Jr (6th to 60th in WAR), Tatis. Lots of good picks at the plate
     
  29. laxjoe

    laxjoe Well-Known Member
    Donor
    San Diego State AztecsSan Diego Padres

    That’s terrible
     
  30. Cornelius Suttree

    Cornelius Suttree the smallest crumb can devour us
    Donor TMB OG
    Indiana HoosiersArizona DiamondbacksWyoming CowboysNorthern Arizona Lumberjacks

    Shit Kris Bryant is the answer
     
  31. poor paul

    poor paul Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Wrexham AFC

    pretty productive when healthy, but only played in 42 games. hard to fault a guy for getting injured.
     
  32. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Ya I don’t count injuries or suspensions
     
  33. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
    Donor

    Semien and Seager still finished at 4+ fWAR this year despite massive drops in offensive production. Has to be disappointing given what those deals will look like on the back end, but still probably not that bad enough to put them in this convo compared to guys like Castellanos, Berrios, etc.
     
    Cornelius Suttree likes this.
  34. teel

    teel Schiano Man
    Donor
    Rutgers Scarlet KnightsNew York MetsNew York GiantsNew Jersey DevilsNational League

    My biggest disappointment is the Pirates not being able to throw the ball over the plate

     
  35. Cornelius Suttree

    Cornelius Suttree the smallest crumb can devour us
    Donor TMB OG
    Indiana HoosiersArizona DiamondbacksWyoming CowboysNorthern Arizona Lumberjacks

    Y Gurriel had a .383 OBP in 143 games last year. Had a .288 OBP in 146 games this year. Damn
     
    Charles DeMar and electronic like this.
  36. MG2

    MG2 I like to give away joy for free
    Donor

    That guy's last 4 seasons have been a roller coaster
     
  37. Cornelius Suttree

    Cornelius Suttree the smallest crumb can devour us
    Donor TMB OG
    Indiana HoosiersArizona DiamondbacksWyoming CowboysNorthern Arizona Lumberjacks

  38. zeberdee

    zeberdee wheel snipe celly boys
    Donor TMB OG
    Penn State Nittany LionsPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia 76'ersPhiladelphia EaglesPhiladelphia FlyersArsenalPhiladelphia UnionUnited States Men's National Soccer Team

    why are you guys still naming players, it was Castellanos.
     
  39. Jake Barnes

    Jake Barnes Team Mac OG
    Donor
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesAtlanta Falcons

    Olson’s September slump tanked his average, but he was still tied for second in the league in XBHs and hit 34 homers.
     
  40. Truman

    Truman Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Missouri TigersSt. Louis CardinalsChicago BullsSt. Louis BluesEvertonBook Club

     
    Tex likes this.
  41. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    I'm not going to get into the individual teams but I think it's pretty ridiculous they think the combined odds of the four teams with byes is under 60%
     
    jrmy likes this.
  42. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres

    Rest vs rust baby
     
  43. Bert Handsome

    Bert Handsome I'm sorry, the card says Moops
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishMilwaukee Brewers altMilwaukee BucksGreen Bay PackersTiger Woods

    If you assign any one team with a 55-60% chance of winning a series, the odds of doing that three times is 16.6% for 55% and 21.6% at 60%. They are probably assuming a 65-70% chance that the high seeds win their first round, but it probably drops to 50/50 in the LCS/WS. It's just the math in a sport where we see the playoffs are incredibly random.
     
  44. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    They're the only site that feels that way and people who tail them for betting will get crushed long-term. Sportsbooks odds will be way more realistic
     
  45. ohhaithur

    ohhaithur e-Batman
    Donor

    upload_2022-10-6_14-41-58.png

    For heaven's sake they have the Dodgers as the underdog to get out of the LDS without even knowing their opponent at this point
     
  46. bro

    bro Your Mother’s Favorite Shitposter
    Donor
    Tennessee VolunteersLos Angeles DodgersBuffalo BillsBuffalo Sabres



     
    Owsley and Truman like this.
  47. Truman

    Truman Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Missouri TigersSt. Louis CardinalsChicago BullsSt. Louis BluesEvertonBook Club

  48. bwi2

    bwi2 Not affiliated with BWI
    Donor
    Duke Blue DevilsWashington NationalsArsenalUSA Basketball

    tampering
     
  49. Bert Handsome

    Bert Handsome I'm sorry, the card says Moops
    Donor TMB OG
    Notre Dame Fighting IrishMilwaukee Brewers altMilwaukee BucksGreen Bay PackersTiger Woods

    Am I correct in interpreting that by that logic they have the Dodgers as more likely to win the LCS, assuming they do get there, than they were to win the LDS?

    I am going off of it is < 50% and then > 25% the next round. If it was just 50/50 the whole way wouldn't it be 50, 25, 12.5.
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.