I don't vary units nearly as much with college basketball as I do with football so it will be all 1 or 2 unit plays ITT. There will be A LOT of plays as is always the case with me so if you aren't comfortable with that don't follow. 2 unit play College of Charleston +14
GL Aero. That is my initial lean but I will be home in 2.5 hours and read up on them. Will post what I think in here if you want
Sure. I'm still figuring out who I will and won't be following this year in CBB. I think there were like 8-10 guys who I was looking at last year but I think that's probably more than I want to get involved with this year. I'm excited because I didn't jump in until midseason last year and obviously early on is where the real money is.
I did something like you did 2 years in MLB. I took the best 5 people I could find and took all their plays for the day. Saw whoever was on who and how many units. I played only the plays that multiple people were on. So if 2 of them were on the same play, I was on it. If 2 were on 1 side and the other was on the other side, I didn't play unless there was a +2 capper ratio. So if 1 person was on 1 side, it would take 3 other cappers to be on the opposite side to play. Then to figure out the units, I would add the units they played on that specific and divided by the amount of cappers on it. The 1st month it was up 30 units. Then people started to disappear and I discontinued
Yeah that was a bit of a problem for me with basketball last year where a few people dropped out or wouldn't consistently post plays and it was frustrating. It also looks like it will be an issue with me for college football since it seems like almost everyone I'm following now is either quitting because the lines get tight at the end of the season or they are moving on to basketball. Sadly I don't have the strength that they do to just not bet when there is football on.
I have to admit I'm slightly concerned that all the :airquotes: smart money :airquotes: seems to be on Charleston in this game yet the line hasn't moved at all.
The thing you have to remember. Probably 50/50 gamblers are like us where we actually read stuff. Normal people will be like "Oh fuck Maryland beat that shitty team by 40 the other day and they are playing a school I have never head of and our only 14. Lets bet Maryland"
Season to Date: 2-0 +4.0 units Couldn't ask for a better start with 2 easy winners that covered by a combined 31 points.
Aztecs pull away late to take me to 3-0 and +6.0 units for the year. Maybe I should stick with 1 play per day. Yeah, that's not gonna happen.
Scratched the Rhode Island over from my plays list because I'm a fucking idiot and bet the under by accident on matchbook. Ugh, maybe I'll get lucky.
Season to Date: 2 unit plays: 6-2 (+7.6 units) 1 unit plays: 2-1 (+0.9 units) Overall: 8-3 (+8.5 units)
Nice plays Aero. I love that I had two of your 2 unit plays. Also was leaning Boston but didn't pull the trigger
I'm kinda annoyed with myself for downgrading that to 1 unit. I originally had it as 2 units when Boston was +1 and decided 3 points worth of line movement was enough to downgrade it but in reality moving from +1 to -2 is about as insignificant a 3 point move as you can have and I should have stuck it out.
Nice plays. Ended up playing Detroit, UGA, and NM as well as those three in a 3 team parlay for half a unit. Almost made it a 4 teamer with Florida, but I pressed submit after the game started, good thing I dodged a bullet there.
I'm sure you're wondering why Dmoney isn't posting anymore. Figured I'd let you know that he works for RAS now
I heard someone make a comment about him going tout but wasn't sure if they were joking or not. Kinda sucks but since I'm getting the RAS plays anyway it's probably not a big deal. Any idea if BB or Timh are going to surface at any point?
Heres the thread on CTG talking about it: http://cappingthegame.com/forum/showthread.php?t=115653 Not sure if those guys will show up or not.
Ugh, my head hurts after reading that. Sucks if all those guys stop posting plays but at least maybe it will save me from having any of those days like last year where I had 40 plays in one night.
Someone asked Timh in his college football thread if he's doing college basketball this year and he said yes so at least we can about that.
Posting these now so I put them out there early enough but I won't get the lines from my book until later. If I end up getting a different # than any of these I'm going to edit it. 2 unit plays Hofstra +15 Illinois -4 Richmond -4.5 1 unit play Pittsburgh -7.5
Wish I had known that Hofstra was incapable of getting a rebound in this game before making my bet. They are going to lose this game by 40. Sorry to anyone who tailed.
I played it too. Just hoping for some 3s. UNC are too dumb to run away with this. Hofstra can easily stay within 15. Maybe I shouldn't open my mouth. UNC getting 3 every time down and on pace for about 150. Got the over at least.
If UNC would just cool off for a few minutes Hofstra could make a run. They are playing well on offense but UNC is just shooting ridiculously right now.
I think we can safely mark this one down as a loss. Still lots of games to go so no reason to panic yet.
More than likely yes. Although stranger things have happened. If they can chip the lead down to around 20 then anything can happen towards the end of the game when UNC no longer gives a shit.
Pittsburgh is the same team every year. This team cannot hit an outside shot ever and no way are they a top 5 team.
Yeah. I've been saying that all offseason. Top 10-15, not top 5. They just aren't that talented. That Zanna is a beast though. McGhee is terrible.
Testing out some new options so we're going to play all of these for 1 unit 1 unit plays Dayton +6.5 Ball State +13 Georgia +1 Weber State +6.5 Akron/Youngstown State over 133 Butler/Ball State under 127 Oregon/San Jose State over 144 California/New Mexico over 142.5 UMass/New Mexico State over 145.5 Utah/Weber State over 139 Marshall/Tenn Chattanooga over 144.5 Ohio State/UNC Wilmington under 143
Couple of questions.. Is going "tout" considered selling out, or why are these guys so pissed? Also, what do you think he is getting paid to provide his info? I would think it would be a decent amount or they might really low ball people because they know if you really want to get into the biz you have to start somewhere and get experience.