OK guys, I retired for the summer but I'm back and ready to get crazy. Rule #1 of the thread - Don't tell me I bet too many games. I didn't ask for your opinion. Units played are the to win amount (i.e the typical 2 unit play would be 2.2 units to win 2.0). Juice is -110 unless otherwise noted. First up are my over/under win totals bets. I'll post my Thursday plays within the hour. 2 unit plays Alabama over 10 wins (-130) California over 7.5 (Even) - LOSS Iowa over 9 (-115) - LOSS Notre Dame over 8 (Even) - LOSS Texas Tech over 8 (+110) - LOSS 1 unit plays Clemson over 7.5 (Even) - LOSS Missouri under 8 (Even) - LOSS Oklahoma State over 6 (+115) - WIN South Carolina under 7 (+110) - LOSS Texas over 10 (-115) - LOSS Virginia Tech over 9.5 (-115)
Since we're just dipping our toes into the college football pool tonight we'll stick with 1 unit plays... 1 unit plays Northern Illinois/Iowa State under 51.5 Southen Miss/South Carolina under 47 Pitt/Utah under 49 Florida Atlantic/UAB under 49.5 Florida Atlantic +14 Minnesota -1 Pittsburgh +135 Random Thoughts: I like unders in weekday games to begin with and especially like them with #'s this high. Northern Illinois plus the points should have been a play but I get nervous when a play becomes too popular among the smart people and tend to stay away from it. I realize the smart money is on Utah in this game and to be honest I probably wouldn't bet Pitt at +3 but I think there is tremendous value in Pitt at +135 and I can't pass it up. Minnesota feels like a sucker bet but what the hell call me a sucker.
So far college football is just like I remembered it. The first quarter goes exactly the way you want it then everything turns to shit. Good times.
You know what I love? When 18 points get scored in like 5 seconds in a game where your under was all but locked up.
I love Spurrier deciding to throw the football up 35 points with 2 minutes to go in a game resulting in a pick and a 3rd down jump ball to fuck my under 48 bet. Got to love 6.3u swings because coaches can't just run the fucking football
Yeah, I addressed that on the other board. And now Wanny plays for OT in a game his team has no business winning costing me the under.
2 unit play on Arizona/Toledo over 59.5 Plan is to get a big 1st half and maybe try to middle it with the 2nd half line.
Got a few season plays. Huge 1 is 30 units on OSU over 10.5 wins. Tmrw 2 units UConn +3 .5 unit the over in the Sparty game for early action. Think a couple units tmrw night on Oregon State Good luck
Bookie told me to call back in 15 minutes when I called to put my bet in tonight and I flaked out and forgot to call back.
This is quickly turning into a fade Aero and make a fortune thread... 1 unit plays Colorado/Colorado State under 46.5 New Mexico +35 Oregon/New Mexico over 55 Texas/Rice over 56 Kentucky -3.5 UCLA +2
Got a lil drunk last night and my Sparty over went from 1/2 a unit to 3 and UConn from 2 to 4. 720 to win 300 on Navy ML. They lose I'm probably gonna be down for the weekend. 2 units on Oregon State +13
Maryland will probably be a play of mine. Lots of people who know more than me seem to be on them so I'm going with it. Hopefully we can both win.
Yeah we'll see. I wish I thought these plays out before I got drunk and then make more hungover all day. I really like Navy as a team. I hope Maryland is as unprepared for the option as we were last year. Ricky Dobbs is a straight baller. Top 10 QB in the nation IMO.
I admit it. I was rooting for UCLA to miss that 2 point conversion so I could just get out of that with a push.
So to review I've now lost 2 pushes due to ridiculous end of game shenanigans and lost an under due to 3 TD's at the end of the 4th quarter and OT. You'd think eventually one of these would bounce my way. 1 unit plays Troy -14 Northwestern -3.5 Oklahoma -35 Oklahoma/Utah State over 57 Wisconsin -20 Oklahoma State -17.5 Oklahoma State/Wazzu over 50.5 TCU -13.5 BYU/Washington under 57
Fuck me. I thought that Navy game was tonight so have over $700 wrapped up till then. That and my only pending bet is Oregon State. Better hit because I'm not depositing with over 5k in pending bets. Down 1.3 today. 3 units on Sparty over win 4 units UConn loss. 2 units on Oregon State to finish the night. Hopefully they win and I can get some halftime bets on the late games.
So awesome that Oklahoma and Utah State didn't score a fucking point in the last 20 minutes of the game. I seem to have crammed a seasons worth of bullshit losses into 3 days so far this year. It's gonna be a fun one.
I got 4.5 left with Oregon State having the ball down 7. Watch me lose +13 with the OSU qb throwing a pick 6.
Fuck bookmaker.com for making a tie=losing. Northwestern- 3... ugh. And fuck lsu's running back for fumbling and blowing a chance to get another score. And fuck android for making fuck= duck and making me fix it. Blaaah down 1 unit. EDIT: -2 for northwestern
And while we're at it Fuck Wisconsin for somehow finding a way to give up 14 points in a game where their opponent has 16 yards of offense in the middle of the 3rd quarter.
I miss betting these games in the offseason and then reality hits when the games start. I gave 3 with Northwestern and 20.5 with Wisconsin. Wisconsin should have won that game by about 40 but they give up a pick 6 and fumble at the UNLV 2 which was returned like 85 yards leading to a score.
Yep. Wisconsin was ridiculous. I guess I should be happy to get the push at 20 but man they should have won that game 48-7
Ok 2 plays today I hate having to do research but actually did a little this morning on these games. Here are my poorly educated conclusions 1 unit ECU +7- ECU have Ruffin McNeill as the new HC. He seems like a passionate guy and I think he'll have them ready. Tulsa's OL is abysmal and the completely new front 7 for ECU should be burned too bad. ECU at home and Tulsa are a joke, I know ECU lose a ton but don't see Tulsa blowing them out. 1 unit SMU over 22 points @ even- I got faith in June Jones. Has his QB and weapons back. Went from 1-11 first year to 8-5 last year and see them taking another step. I don't see TT stopping them even with a defensive minded coach.
Yeah no problem. Up 2.3-2.5 units for the weekend I believe on football. UConn hurt but made up for it. 7.2 to win 3 on Navy ML is gonna make or break me- A lot on 2 teams I don't know a whole lot about but I love Ricky Dobbs. Friedgen is on the HOT seat but I don't see MD having enough talent to win this game. Doing 1 unit on Boise State at pick'em. Going to the game so just to make it interesting. If I could root for both teams to lose I would. I think Kellen Moore is gonna give a new defense fits. Boise State DL is not bad. I see a very close game and this line is spot on. I say 27-24 Boise.
I don't think I've taken many beats like that on the Navy ML. 400+ yards rushing by Navy and 5 different times inside the 10 w/o a point. The supposedly most disciplined team in the country a bunch of morons -3.8 units around about this. Thanks a ton Navy.
Overall record on posted plays is now 12-15 (-5.9 units) Pretty terrible but hoping it was just a 1st week slump and we can get rolling this week. Nothing jumps out for tomorrow night but I'm sure I'll talk myself into something in the next 18 hours. Should be a big card on Saturday though. Lots of strong looking plays.
Watch the o/u on the Nebraska Idaho game, anything around 50-55 would probably take the over not sure what it's set at though.
Since Monday getting raped in football. See if I can right the ship. All the money I made on the world cup is gone or locked up in season bets so gotta deposit today. Been doing great on FIBA but made this dumbass over 24 2nd half bet on the Vikes game last night which was a disaster that busted me. Play on MSU over 27 team points was probably dumb but they had chances. Haven't had that 1 play just pop out at me yet This weekend FSU +8 1.5 units ND/Michigan over 53 1 unit Marshall +13 1/2 unit
Not cfb but putting 3 units on Lithuania +14.5 tmrw. My play of the weekend. After watching this tournament the only way this line should be at this is if Lebron, Wade, Kobe, and others were playing because Lithuania will keep it close and possibly could win this game.
Plays on the days games. Might add a few more but hopefully not. 2 unit plays Eastern Michigan +14 BYU/Air Force over 50 1 unit plays Hawaii +3 Iowa -13.5 Utah -21 Nebraska/Idaho over 53.5 Oklahoma/Florida State over 57 Arkansas State +2
You know what I love? Betting on a 3 point underdog and having them jump out to a 21-0 lead and then lose. Jesus fucking christ how do you blow a 3 TD lead to a fucking service academy???
Hawaii recovers a fumble with 24 seconds left and drives down for a winning FG and Idaho drives 99 yards for TD with under 2:00 to hit the over. Bounces going my way for once.