Aero's NFL Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by Aeroforz1, Sep 9, 2010.

  1. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Hopefully we can get off to a better start here than we did in college.

    Here are my win totals bets.

    2 unit plays

    Detroit Lions over 5 (-115)
    Green Bay Packers over 10 (+110)
    New Orleans Saints over 10.5 (-115) - WIN
    San Diego Chargers over 11 (+110) - LOSS

    1 unit plays

    Dallas Cowboys under 10.5 (-115) - WIN
    Indianapolis Colts over 11 (+110) - LOSS
    Minnesota Vikings over 9.5 (-130) - LOSS
    New England Patriots over 10 (-115) - WIN
    San Francisco 49ers under 9 (+115) - WIN
    Washington Redskins under 7.5 (-115) - WIN

    Not sure if I'm playing the game tonight or not.
     
  2. Gunners

    Gunners Nicking a living
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    That can't be the right Redskins season total.
     
  3. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Yeah it's 7.5, my bad.
     
  4. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    11-5 my friend
     
  5. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Tough card today with lots of games that could go either way so I'm sticking mostly to totals.

    1 unit plays

    Cleveland +130
    Bears/Lions over 45
    Giants/Panthers over 41
    Pats/Bengals over 45
    Broncos/Jags under 40.5
    Titans/Raiders under 40.5
    Dolphins/Bills under 39
    Browns/Bucs under 37
     
  6. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Should point out that usually my picks are a composite of picks from different cappers with good track records but today I'm kinda going without a net and these are all mine since I don't really have a list of NFL cappers to look at yet.

    I should have plays for 4:00 games posted between 3-4 assuming I don't go bankrupt with these plays.
     
  7. Gunners

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    2 units Colts over 24
    2 units Packer over 25
    2 units Colts/Texans over 48- Not sure why I added this. Guess I have faith in the Texans' offense too

    Bumped to 1 unit each from 1/2
    Bengals +5.5
    Panthers +6


    Thank God just won 3 on a soccer game. I really need to keep a better record and quit making so many plays.
     
  8. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    I liked the Panthers a lot but really wanted to hold out for +7 and it never came so I passed on it.
     
  9. Gunners

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    Fuckin A. Peyton has Gonzalez wide open at the 10 and Gonzalez steps on the sideline now Garcon just dropped pretty much a long handoff on 3rd and 1 at the 44. One of those days it's looking like so far.

    Colts could be a very good 2nd half play but I might be rubbing salt in the wounds.
     
  10. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Last 2:00 of the Giants/Panther and Bears/Lions games made me :jizz:
     
  11. Gunners

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    How much dumb shit are the Colts gonna do today. There's 4 bills down the tube. Pierre Garcon can't catch a cold and Collie just fumbled at the 10. This team can score at will but it's always dropped passes at the opponent's 40 and they can't get a fg or other dumb shit.

    Let's go Pack because this is absurd. My Titans +1/2 2nd half bet is looking great at least.
     
  12. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Bears and Lions have left so many points on the field it's ridiculous. Should have sailed over but now there's pretty much no chance unless I somehow can get a 21-21 OT game.
     
  13. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    I really hate finishing .500 when it looks the whole time like you are winning. Oh well at least the Cleveland under barely held on to avoid disaster for me.

    1 unit plays

    Cards/Rams over 39.5
    49ers/Seahawks over 37
     
  14. Gunners

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    For as pissed I was I actually made some with Titans 2nd half bet.
     
  15. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    These were frustration bets by the way and of course now they are both going to shit the bed and ruin my day.
     
  16. Corky Bucek

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    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

    20 and 27 points at half for both of those games, so they could still hit. I have 1 unit on the St. Louis and AZ over as well.

    GB needs to keep this up as I have 4 unit bet on them
     
  17. Gunners

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    Up $160 on my plays I post. won $180 on Titans 2nd half and lost $100 on Seattle 2nd half over 18.

    Was mad about the Seattle over and put $200 on Santana over 51.5 yards tonight. I don't care anymore. This is getting frustrating this weekend.
     
  18. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    2 unit plays

    Dallas/Washington over 40

    I know betting overs is fucking stupid but offenses seem to perform better in the night games and I'm hoping McNabb and Romo will air it out. Whether it's TD passes or INT's either works for me.
     
  19. Gunners

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    I'm going 2 units on over 4.5 sacks. Cowboys will get to McNabb and Redskins will blitz plenty. Hopefully it hits. In theory it seems like a great play but got a bad feeling.
     
  20. i like this too but the experts on covers are 12-4 on the under
     
  21. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    2 unit play

    Dallas/Washington 2nd half over 17.5

    Can't believe I'm digging myself deeper with this shit tier game but I can't fathom the 2nd half going that low after both teams moved the ball well in the 2nd half.

    Who knows maybe I'll get some defensive/ST's TD's or other flukey shit and hit both. Or maybe the game will end up 10-7 and I'll hang myself. Could go either way.
     
  22. RUseaweed

    RUseaweed Rutgers
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    don't do it man
     
  23. Gunners

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    Should have bet the under last night. Fuckin hate unders though. Redskins aren't gonna score shit this year with no real red zone weapons and have a pretty stingy D.

    Made like 1.5 units yesterday.

    Today
    Ravens +2- 2.5 units- No faith in Sanchez. Going with the 2011 Super Bowl champs in this 1.
     
  24. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Just for shits and giggles...

    2 unit play

    Chargers +1.5 and over 40.5 Teaser
     
  25. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Sort of abandoned this thread but I'm going to try to get back to it.

    4 unit play

    San Diego -9.5

    2 unit plays

    Ravens +120
    Browns +120
    Rams +110
    Lions +14.5
    Bengals/Browns under 37
    Falcons/49ers under 42.5
     
  26. Gunners

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    Might have to do that San Diego teaser. I'll decide later.

    +2.9 yesterday and ~ +18 on the year

    3.3 units NO -13
    2.2 units Detroit/GB over 45
    1 unit Rams +120
     
  27. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Scratching the Browns ML off my list so these are the plays now. I still think the Browns is a good bet but my buddy who is losing his ass the last 2 weeks just put in a parlay with the Bengals -2.5 and I don't feel like rooting against him the way he's getting beat up. Also my book had it at +115 instead of +120 so it was easy to talk myself out of. It was my least favorite play on the list anyway.
     
  28. Gunners

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    NO the sucker bet of the day.

    Let's see. Fumble at the 1 yard line by Lance Moore. Fumble at the 20 an OL jumps on but somehow bounces out. 3rd and 4 for Carolina at the 45 and the ball is batted 10 yards in the air and it randomly falls to Jeff King and DeAngelo scores the next play.

    Getting absurd. Need my other plays to break even.
     
  29. Gunners

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    Even on the first set of plays

    2nd set

    Raiders ML +180 1 unit

    I'm gonna do your teaser gay boy for 2.2 units.
     
  30. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    What teaser are you talking about? :idk:
     
  31. Gunners

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    :facepalm: The teaser of San Diego and the over you posted for a game a couple weeks ago. Didn't look too closely. All I saw was Chargers and over and it popped in my head that it was a good idea.
     
  32. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Still might be. :idk:
     
  33. Gunners

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    Putting 2.2 units on over 23 2nd half in the Colts game.

    Colts aren't stopping the Jags and Peyton will run shit. 24 points minimum. I hope.
     
  34. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    4 unit play

    Giants/Bears over 44

    **Disclaimer** The fact that I'm rating this as a 4 unit play has more to do with how well my day has gone so far than it does on my overall confidence in the play. I figure I'm freerolling a bit so I'm going to take a shot at a mega day.
     
  35. Gunners

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    I'm down. My lean would be under but Eli has to start playing better and whenever I think a play will go under it goes over so it's a lock.

    3.3 units on the over
     
  36. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    I think the game should sail over unless there are several turnovers/missed FG's in scoring range which is of course always a risk with Cutler and Manning. The Giants have also been a good over team this year in the sense that even when they aren't scoring they are taking almost no time off the clock on their possessions.
     
  37. Gunners

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    I'm just gonna take the L and be down 1/2 unit on the day. Not gonna throw gas on the fire by making a halftime bet.

    Think I'm going 2.2 units on the over tmrw and 2.2 units on Pats/over teaser.
     
  38. Gunners

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    Double down on both bets. 2.2 units is too boring and I've been drinking.
     
  39. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    3 unit play

    Pats/Dolphins over 48
     
  40. :respek:
     
  41. also got a 1 unit bet on over 7.5 in the first quarter
     
  42. Gunners

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    I just put $550 on the 2nd half over. Not sure what I am doing.
     
  43. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Chargers/Seahawks was 10-0 at the half 2 weeks ago and went for 50+.

    We're doing this tonight!! :woot:
     
  44. :chatzy:
     
  45. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    We're about to be ahead of the pace just like that boys. :smugdog:
     
  46. i love those 2:16 so much
     
  47. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    I'm still :ohnoes: because of the way the Pats are calling plays in this game. We need Miami to score quickly or else I'm afraid the Pats are going to go conservative...or stay that way rather.
     
  48. agreed, really surprised with the pats playbook tonight.. hopefully miami can pound out a td right here and ne will open up the offense a little
     
  49. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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