Aero's NFL Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by Aeroforz1, Sep 9, 2010.

  1. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    49ers TD would have been better but I'll take it.
     
  2. waited until the lined had moved to 41 to take it, even another td would only give me a push :facepalm:
     
  3. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Ugh, we're going to need David Carr to get us there I'm afraid. :blech:
     
  4. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Eagles offense isn't going to do shit. Really need them to go 3 and out here so San Fran will have at least 2 or 3 shots to score here at the end.
     
  5. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Come on Ted Ginn, ONE TIME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
     
  6. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Since when does being blocked into the ball matter on a punt. I thought if it touches a player on the receiving team first it's a live ball regardless.
     
  7. Corky Bucek

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    :chatzy:

    7-1 on the day :feelsgoodman:
     
  8. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    I don't like to talk about actual money as it relates to gambling because I think the amount I'm willing to wager reflects poorly on me but that win just put me at +$15,255 for the week. And that's coming off 2 pretty big weeks the last 2. Never experienced anything like this. I may actually :tebow:.
     
  9. Corky Bucek

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    Damn son. Congrats on that. My bank roll is nowhere near that, but hopefully the winning continues and I'll be there soon.
     
  10. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    :feelsgoodman:
     
  11. indeed. thought it was curving right, would have killed someone had i pushed on three missed fgs
     
  12. Gunners

    Gunners Nicking a living
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    Aero, how much are you betting per unit? I normally consider a bill a unit.
     
  13. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    $500 is 1 unit for me.
     
  14. Gunners

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    Here I am acting like my thousand dollar bets are a big deal.
     
  15. :laugh: $20 is a unit for me

    /poorcollegekid
     
  16. Corky Bucek

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    Pretty much the same for me, except I'm not in college.
     
  17. Gunners

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    Money is money. I paid for my drugs and alcohol throughout college betting $20-$50 a game and playing $.25/$.50 online poker.
     
  18. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    That's the beauty of betting through a local book rather than online or in Vegas. You don't have to have the $ upfront so it allows you to get a little crazy sometimes. Of course it can be uncomfortable when things are going poorly like they were for me the first 2 weeks and you have to scrape together the money to be able to pay.
     
  19. Blu Tang Clan

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  20. Gunners

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    Yeah but I hate my bookies with such a passion that I couldn't stand going to get a couple Gs to give to them. Bookies are just a pain in the ass to me where I live. Everything has to be on their terms. Fuck all that. Service me bitch, I'm the one paying the juice. Online has just treated me good I guess. I make money plus I've gotten tons of free shit. Bonuses, clothes I'll never wear, poker chips, shot glasses, flasks, they even give me free money on my birthday. Online is just what I like. So convenient too.

    I'm definitely thinking about the Vikings tonight. Moss alone makes them such a better team. I haven't watched them though so not sure what all their problems are.
     
  21. Corky Bucek

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    Just added up my numbers for the weekend and I went 8-4 on saturday for +3 units, as I was betting half units for the most part. I was a little gun shy as I had a terrible week previously in cfb.

    Sunday was probably my best day I have ever had as I went 9-1 +14.85 units on the day. :shocked:

    +17.85 on the weekend ain't too shabby.

    As for tonights game, I'm thinking of a 6 pt teaser with the +11 Vikings and the Over 32,
     
  22. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    I agree with you about bookie screwing you over with shitty odds and stuff. My bookie only pays 2.35 to 1 on a 2 team parlay and for 6 point teasers he only gives you 5 points on totals. It's bullshit but I just won't play a parlay or teaser involving a total with him so it doesn't really bother me.

    I also find that I can expose weaknesses in his operation that I couldn't expose online. For instance with hockey and baseball totals everything is -110 both ways so I can get plays in with him that would normally be -130 or -140 online for normal juice. He's also a little slower to adjust the line than online books usually are. That comes in handy during basketball season sometimes when RAS might release a play and I can sneak a play in before he realizes the line needs to move.
     
  23. Corky Bucek

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    I've had 3 different locals that I have used over the last few years and they all would base their lines off of an online book, so trying to expose them never usually worked out. Sometimes they were too busy to check lines when calling or texting them in so you could sneak something in.
     
  24. Gunners

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    going 2.2 on the Vikings and bet 6 to win 3 on Caps ML.
     
  25. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    2 unit play

    Vikings +180
     
  26. no homer?

    i like the under but im gonna hold off for live betting.. put a degenerate 1 unit on first TO of the game being a fumble +120
     
  27. Black Falcon

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    Glad we're on the same side. BOL tonight.
     
  28. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    It's a homer pick for sure but it also fits into the ML dogs system that is hitting at quite a good rate this year. I think you'd agree that +180 is a ton of value for a team with as much talent as the Vikings especially when you consider that the Vikings have the 2nd best winning percentage in the NFL coming off of byes.
     
  29. Corky Bucek

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    Did the same teaser as sem (already on it before), which I put 2 units on a 6.5 teaser with Vikings 10.5 and over 32. Also put .5 units on the Vikings ML +185.

    Lets cash this guys :beerchug:
     
  30. Gunners

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    Ravens +3. 3.3 to win 3.

    Ravens +9.5 Colts +3.5. 6 to win 5 teaser.
     
  31. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    3 unit plays

    San Diego -8.5
    San Fran -7

    2 unit plays

    Philly/Atlanta under 43
    Minnesota -1.5
     
  32. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Careful on San Diego. Terrible road team.
     
  33. Gunners

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    TY Renaldo Hill for that PI. Hit that and Vikes 2h so freerolling on tonight's teaser.
     
  34. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    I lean to the Colts but right now my book still has it at 3.5 so I'm going to wait it out until just before kickoff and hope I can get it at 3.
     
  35. bigc

    bigc New Member

    just buy the hook
     
  36. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Not a fan of doing that.
     
  37. Gunners

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    Hooks are a ripoff. They make a difference about 5% of the time and you are paying 10%.

    Can't root against the Skins.

    Got 5.5 on Redskins +4 @ even. Beautiful.

    Got a nice little 7.5 point window to win all or it's a $50 loss which I can take. Either team wins by a fg or less I win 10.5 units.

    I'm just happy to have a winning day after yesterday's debacle by the Bucks.
     
  38. Black Falcon

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    I agree 100%. Bought twice in the past year, felt like a dumbass both times after the game.
     
  39. Gunners

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    Not bad. Up 10.5 on posted plays and had another 8 on 2nd half plays and the over I won. Needed it.
     
  40. Aeroforz1

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    I won about 3 units on a day where I should have been killed. I'll take it and I don't regret hedging on the over. I had a great shot to win both if the Skins had settled for a FG instead of a TD on that last drive.
     
  41. Aeroforz1

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    Just wanted to take a look at these as we approach the halfway point of the season and honestly it's not pretty. The 2 unit plays are a mess.

    I have some hope that the Lions are playing well enough that they can get to 5 and push but that's pretty much the best case scenario. The Chargers are basically dead. Packers and Saints I think is 50/50 at this point. I guess I'll be encouraged by the fact that they are pretty much on pace for 11 wins despite playing pretty poorly. The Packers look like a loser but they are a team that's capable of rallying but probably much like the Lions a push is my best case scenario at this point.

    The 1 unit plays look a little better. The 49ers and Cowboys will both be winners barring remarkable turnarounds. Patriots look decent but that could still go either way. The Vikings despite being well behind the pace I think will be OK since their last 9 games are much easier than their first 7. The Colts are the Colts. I think I've got a decent shot to get to 11 there but that might be the best I can hope for. Redskins could go either way at this point.
     
  42. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    :crossedarms:

    9-7 at worst. Vikes/Skins in NFC Championship.
     
  43. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Yeah, I don't see that. If you are capable of losing to the Rams you are capable of going 6-10 against your remaining schedule. If I had to guess right now I'd say I'm going to lose the bet and you will go 8-8.
     
  44. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    @ CHI Win
    @ DET Win
    BYE Win
    PHI Win
    @ TEN Loss
    MIN Win
    @ NYG Loss
    TB Win
    @ DAL Loss
    @ JAX Win
    NYG Win


    10-6
     
  45. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    You lost to the Rams. You could easily lose the next 2 on the road as well. I'm not even going to dignify your Vikings prediction with a response.
     
  46. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Farve will throw at least 2 picks. Name change bet?
     
  47. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    You can't cover Garcon how the hell do you figure you are going to cover Moss, Rice, and Harvin? :loldog:
     
  48. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    It's different when you have some psycho under center babbling a bunch of crap at the line of scrimmage like last night and have a geriatric patient under center when we play Minnesota.

    Name change bet. I'll even do it straight up, no points.
     
  49. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
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    Fine
     
  50. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    :awesomeface: