Now Taking Alabama officially.. Rumors regularly swirl throughout the gambling community about major line moves on the biggest games. Over the last few days there’s been no bigger discussion than what betting group is potentially behind the move on today’s national championship game. Stories out of Birmingham speculate the move was driven by none other than Billy Walters himself, pile driving the line from LSU -1.5 to Alabama to -2. One of my primary responsibilities as a bookmaker is to recognize customers whose opinions are worth valuing however for this game I’d be lying if I said the betting pattern hasn’t been unusual. I haven’t seen the normal contingent of gamblers on the “sharp” side which really makes me wonder how this game will play out on the field. The real curiosity is why and more importantly how the story of Walters’ supposedly large position leaks to the press? By making the sharp position common knowledge the betting public could take it as the catalyst to flood the market on the same side driving the number higher for dog bettors to grab the best available line. As the betting pool for a game swells, each large bet has less impact on the line than it would on the opening price before the line settles, so it just takes a few bets (albeit large ones) to get the ball rolling. Once a line comes to rest, books extend greater limits to bettors realizing the price won’t continue to move thus eliminating exposure on a middle. Bettors are aware of the process and structure betting patterns accordingly (especially during bowl season) with 3-4 weeks of time to manipulate the spread for their best number. Unfortunately the reality is we won’t know the real position of the world’s sharpest gamblers until kickoff and I caution any novice gambler out there from doing two things: chasing alleged steam on a true position and grabbing the worst of the number at the tail end of the move.
Trying to move the line to Bama -3 so he can double down on LSU +3 and get the half to 3.5 jk I don't know shit but I've read about it happening before. Will know for sure if the line jumps back down any the last few hours leading up to kickoff.
Already got it at Bama +1.5 /outworkingWaltersweeksagoGETONMYLEVEL also a $100 parlay with Denver winning outright on the wildcard games would've been worth around $1500 depending on what the Denver ML was at if/when taken. Playoff home teams
i've seriously neither seen or heard nothing. my guess is he is waiting to take lsu, based on the fact that he generally waits until gametime to make plays and if he was on bama he would have played bama weeks ago when they were dogs. to the best of my knowledge, he is not on bama.
i would be very cautious about taking bama now. the fact that it had "leaked" that walters was on bama should be your biggest signal that he is not on bama.
You got a point with that. Sleazy for some reason I got a feeling you are associated with him or know what he plays
reason to believe he is in fact doing what I said earlier in the thread. driving up line through different methods and bigger on lsu. Will know for sure in 30 min.