Bowl Totals System - Hurry it ends January 1st. JK All bowls

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by TLAU, Dec 27, 2012.

  1. rezy

    rezy Member
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    Late to the party, going to jump in with the Indiana game
     
  2. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    another W for the UM/WV game
     
  3. Long Ball Larry

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    :feelsbadman:
     
    rezy likes this.
  4. rezy

    rezy Member
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    Sorry guys
     
  5. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

     
  6. rezy

    rezy Member
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    Win, was a rough start losing both first halves but nice to bounce back with some 2nd half wins in both games
     
  7. Stone Cold Steve Austin

    Stone Cold Steve Austin Tickler Extraordinaire
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    Very good last 2 days
     
  8. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    Another 4-0 day.
     
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  9. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    Just updated the numbers to reflect all of yesterday's and today's games. For simplicity, I'll refer to the normal system as "the system" and the wrinkle as "the system 2.0." Like yesterday, today wasn't great for 2.0, as it went 0-2. Of course it starts going to shit once I make a lengthy post about it. Nonetheless, it's still been slightly more profitable than just playing the system by itself, but the gap is closing quickly. Here's the current breakdown:

    - The system is an astonishing 22-2 (91.67%) and up 16 units thus far.
    - The system 2.0 is 28-8 (77.78%) and is up 18 units. The reason it's still been more profitable than the system on its own is because the majority of its losses have only been for 1 unit, while every loss that the system takes is a 3 unit loss. Two of the system 2.0's 8 losses are the standard system's 3-unit losses from missing on the 2H over double-down bet after the 1H under doesn't hit. The other 6 losses are system 2.0-specific 1 unit losses from missing the 2H over after hitting the 1H under. They don't hurt as bad, as you're basically just losing your 1H winnings, plus the vig, as opposed to a full 3 units. But if they continue to miss, as they have the last couple of days, it might be time to lay off 2.0 for a while.
    - 1H unders on their own have dipped to 14-10 (58.33%)
    - 2H under bets following a 1H going over (as the system calls for) have made up for the slip in the 1H unders by improving to 8-2 (80%)
    - 1H unders followed by a 2H over (as the system 2.0 calls for) have fallen to 8-6 (57%)
    - Simply betting opposite over/unders for the 1st and 2nd half (as the system 2.0 calls for) are currently 16-8 (67%)

    Hope this makes sense, if anyone needs further clarification, holla atchya boy. Otherwise, lets bank again tomorrow, gents.
     
    Tricky Gator and Corky Bucek like this.
  10. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    first day doing this, and of course, usc about to go over 1h.

    to be clear, i bet under 2h same amt?
     
  11. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Double your first half bet. Hopefully its 31.5 or more.
     
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  12. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    Bet 2H under. Double your original bet for a profit. Do the same as your original bet if you're looking to break even.

    If you read any of my posts in here tracking units, I'm calculating the original bet as 1 unit and that the 2H under bet as 2 units.
     
  13. Tricky Gator

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    who is hitting the 2nd half under?
     
  14. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    that late td can only help to inflate the 2h number.
     
    Tricky Gator and TheGodfather like this.
  15. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    Today is also my first time jumping on this. I am the kiss of death
     
  16. *DIESEL*

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    Also adds cushioning that encourages usf to shorten the game in the 2nd half.
     
  17. Tricky Gator

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    ive got 30.5 at a juicy -120
     
  18. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    neither of these teams play decent enough D for u30.5. that number sucks. i'm betting anyways.
     
    undrtow likes this.
  19. Tricky Gator

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    i got a good 2nd half capper that took usf -1 2nd half
     
  20. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    I'm on u31
     
  21. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    first of all, what is with these stupid fucking short kicks from SC? usf is getting short field position every drive.

    also, neither team can get a stop. i don't think this under has a chance.
     
  22. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Best season it's ever had while being tracked was 2010-2011 I believe and it was 32-2. Think we're sitting at 2 Ls currently so just a heads up to the late joiners unless it ties the best ever results it's due for a few more Ls
     
  23. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    It's doesn't. Going to fly by that 31
     
  24. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    if the first half bet pushes, what do you do in 2h?
     
  25. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Honestly never had that come up unless it did in the 2 seasons worth of posts that got zapped in the crash.

    I'm a hook whore and don't bet that much on this bc it's a system so I always buy up if it's an even number
     
  26. rezy

    rezy Member
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    Had the first half, and luckily I missed the 2nd half action on usf
     
  27. TLAU

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    Barring a TD and going for 2 here (for record keeping sake can we assume everyone is buying the hook if it lands on the number?)

    Moves to 23-3 +14u

    10 games to go. Pretty sure it did well after NYE bowls the last couple of years but the original system stops at the end of NYE games
     
    Juan likes this.
  28. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
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    Anyone playing this 2H? Arkansas is horrendous in the 2H and I think VT probably just threw the towel in.
     
  29. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    I'm doing a half unit on 2H over. Think VT left a lot of points out there last half and arky might take their foot off the gas.
     
  30. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Took a shot with va tech ml
    Pays +600
     
    steamengine, wolfpck, TLAU and 3 others like this.
  31. rezy

    rezy Member
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    2nd half or game?
     
  32. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    game

    I'm on arky so it's a crazy middle opp

    at this point the only doubt is whether va tech covers or not. I have no doubt they win this game
     
  33. rezy

    rezy Member
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    Florida State SeminolesNew York YankeesLos Angeles ClippersNew York GiantsManchester United

    Yeah va tech isn't fucking around in this 2nd half, I am only on vt -7 after the 1st half under hit
     
  34. dome foam

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    I bet va tech 2h and game ml live
     
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  35. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Wrong thread.
     
    #286 dome foam, Dec 29, 2016
    Last edited: Dec 29, 2016
    hawkeyeOUTeast likes this.
  36. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Wrong thread.
     
    #287 dome foam, Dec 29, 2016
    Last edited: Dec 29, 2016
  37. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    anyone today?
     
  38. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    I played it and lost. Hopefully 2h u hits
     
  39. dome foam

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  40. FearMySpear

    FearMySpear Crafty Veteran
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    I laid off cause I really liked the first half over. Guess trust the system for 2nd half? Both offenses seemed to be hitting their stride at end of half
     
  41. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    i think i am done with this system.
     
  42. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Makes 2 of us. I played it in the UNC/Stanford and Husks/Vols game. If those miss, I'm done
     
  43. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    23-3 (88.5%) on the bowl season for +14 units. Gonna be hard pressed to find anything more successful since the bowls have begun.
     
  44. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    i am not disputing the system has worked great.

    i got in at the wrong time obviously. everything evens out.
     
  45. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    Even if it doesn't continue to hit a 90%, I think it will continue to hit at a higher rate than most people will on their own (or even Sem's sheet) over the next few days. But to each their own. It's all a calculated risk at the end of the day. Don't call it 'gambling' for nothing.
     
  46. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    not my first time gambling.

    i'd rather make my own picks instead of relying on a system.

    i tried it, got in at the wrong time, and will try again next year.

    GL.
     
  47. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    Off topic - What's your hit rate so far this bowl season, if you don't mind me asking?
     
  48. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    up 7 units right now, less juice.
     
  49. *DIESEL*

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    You keep track of your record?