CFB - Conference Championship Week

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by TLAU, Nov 25, 2012.

  1. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

  2. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
    Donor TMB OG
    Oregon DucksGreen Bay PackersDetroit Red WingsBayern Munich

    Liking

    UCLA
    FSU
    Nebraska
     
  3. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Rutgers, UCLA, UGA, FSU, TCU.
     
  4. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
    TMB OG

    Might be going in hard on the dogs again this week.
     
    captbunch likes this.
  5. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
    Donor TMB OG
    Clemson TigersWashington Capitals

    Yea I think OU, Bama, and Stanford all are getting too many points.
     
  6. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
    TMB OG

    Only one I'm on so far is UCLA
     
  7. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    hamsterdam and other resident Longhorns

    tell me about the injuries for you guys going into the weekend and what is the outlook for who will be playing vs. KSU
     
  8. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    starting qb david ash is questionable with rib injury. mack already said case mccoy will start.
    case is terrible. he is liable for at least 2 picks. gets happy feet the second he feels an ounce of pressure and has a rag arm.
    lost starting LB demarco cobbs (who sucks, mind you) last week for season. replaced him with freshman tevin jackson who played lights out.

    probably lean kansas st and under.
    we held kansas state to 13 pts last year. i think that our DC diaz is in his comfort zone against sec-type offenses. and i don't see how we score more than 17 pts.
     
  9. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    What about Okafor, Goodwin and Cobbs?
     
  10. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    i mentioned cobbs.
    okafor is questionable.
    cedric reed and reggie wilson filled in for okafor and did very well. wouldn't worry about them.
     
  11. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

  12. Alshon

    Alshon Well-Known Member
    Donor
    South Carolina Gamecocks

    Bama down to -7 at some shops :grinch:
     
  13. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    Going to be all over the under of OU/TCU. It's currently at 60.5.
     
  14. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
    TMB OG

    Very interested to see if it gets to 6.5. Bama better pepper that anus. Probably play the over if it does.
     
  15. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    You like Bama? I lean that way but Georgia's spread attack worries me.
     
  16. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    UGA or no play for me. Have bet against bama 1 time in 3 years = Cam's visit to TTown. Learned my lesson in 2009
     
  17. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    Georgia, all day errr day.
    Do not understand the UCLA play. I think sharp guys are being hipster on this one, for the sake of being different.
     
  18. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    copy pasta from another gambling board from the resident longhorn guy

    Totally agree with this. McCoy is horrible at QB. K-State has Texas' number and they will make a statement this weekend. Mack and Harsin have been butting heads over Ash and McCoy (Harson can't stand McCoy). There was a fight in the locker room after the TCU game. Rumors going around about Harsin puttin out his resume. The RB Malcolm Brown is going to transfer. Lots of stuff going on behind the scenes about Mack being forced out by the board of regents, etc, etc.

    KSU will SMOKE Texas this weekend. Max play for me on K-State.
     
  19. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    LOL that guy is a facking idiot.
    - the rumor is freshman DT malcom brown is transferring
    - no truth to harsin hating mccoy...is this guy fucking serious?
    - there is plenty of smoke about mack being forced out.

    i would play this game on the merits, that texas offense will be potent-less without ash.
    that would lead me to the under, after our Ds showing last year against K State. i think you are looking at something like 20something to the teens.
     
  20. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    I actually love the Under now that you mention it. Watched the entire game last year because I had Texas as the 4th team in a large parlay :facepalm: (line was "too high"/trap/fuck) and neither team is really an offensive powerhouse this year. should be a similar game to the TCU-UT game
     
  21. bRamonceTaylor

    bRamonceTaylor Well-Known Member
    Donor

    wat?

    If I wasn't a Texas fan, I'd play K-State anything under 13. The TCU game was not as close as the score indicated. They kicked our ass up and down the field and weren't forced to have their RS Freshman QB throw (kid only threw the ball 9 times). K State should come out and smoke us. Bill Snyder team, coming off a bye week that was led into with a loss that cost them a shot at the natty. They're gonna come out to prove a point.

    Ash is not likely to play, so Case McCoy will start. Case is terrible. Fucking. Terrible. The coaches won't trust his noodle arm. Game will probably be in the 40s, more reason not to let him throw. Our back up QB for the game is our fucking punter. We're going to have to rely on our running game, but our OL can't get any sort of meaningful push against a defensive front worth a shit, see: Oklahoma.

    Our defense is just plain bad. Hubert will probably have a career day and Klein should kill it as well. I get what hamsterdam is saying, and we did play them really well last year, but we also had 3 different LBs (2 graduated, 1 that is injured) and Kheeston Randall at DT. We cannot stop the run to save our lives this year and K State shouldn't have to throw the ball more than 12 times, unless Snyder decides to get arrogant.
     
  22. rockportraider

    rockportraider Well-Known Member

    Yeah, over under of UT/KSU at 63.5 give me the under on that one.
     
  23. Room 15

    Room 15 Mi equipo esta Los Tigres
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAtlanta FalconsUnited States Men's National Soccer Team

    Now rooting for a Case injury. Sorry, Case.
     
  24. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    Locked in:

    Braska -150
    FSU -13.5 -120
    KSU/UT Under 63.5

    waiting on Stanford line to drop a little more. Don't wanna buy it to -6.5 for -165. I don't see why people think UCLA will fare better on the road... That's not gonna make their offense less one-dimensional. If anything it will lead to more confusion and more sacks than the last 7-sack meeting.
     
  25. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    interesting stat i saw for SECCG. bama gonna need to pressure murray to stop that offense

    bama defensive sacks and qb hurries in 20012

    home -- 7 games --30 hurries/19 sacks= 7 pg
    away/ neutral -- 5 games -- 7 hurries/11 sacks = 3.6 pg
     
  26. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
    Donor TMB OG
    Oregon DucksGreen Bay PackersDetroit Red WingsBayern Munich

    It's probably pretty even if you take out the cupcake ooc games which were all at home (western kentucky, west carolina, and florida atlantic)
     
  27. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    I don't think you can tell anything from that stat after looking at their schedule. their 3.6 A/N sacks/hurries came mostly against arky, mizzou, michy and mizzou. all of them looked like cupcakes at the time they fell on bama's schedule. only real team they played at home was ATM.

    need to see how many sacks/hurries they had against LSU, ATM and I guess OMiss vs. everyone else
     
  28. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
    TMB OG

    [HOMER FAN]

    Game is about who has the most overrated defense.

    One is living off their coaches name and the other off their NFL potential. Neither have been impressive against teams with similar talent. Bama won't be able to pressure Murray and Georgia won't be able to stop Bama from running the ball without loading the box.

    Bama's nose is weak and gets pushed around by a good center/guard. Main reason Manzel put up 21 in the first 10 min imo. Saban doesn't have the nose play he's had the past 3 or 4 years.

    Georgia should have a good dline on paper but I see teams run all over them so somethings weak. Pass rush is pretty mediocre also. I think Georgia will bring guys down and make chest tat beat them.

    Hot quarterback wins. Both are going to get time and have guys open. OR 1st team to 3 turnovers.
     
  29. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
    Donor TMB OG
    Oregon DucksGreen Bay PackersDetroit Red WingsBayern Munich

    So you think the SECCG will hit the over?
     
  30. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
    TMB OG

    I was waiting to see if the line ever crossed the 7 before I played it but yeah.
     
  31. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    agree game is 100% about QB play which is why I'm fairly certain that unless i get drunk and stupid I'm not betting on it at all.
     
  32. 20/20/20/20

    20/20/20/20 running thru the house with a pickle in my mouth
    Donor TMB OG
    Nebraska CornhuskersCharlotte HornetsCleveland BrownsDetroit TigersNebraska Cornhuskers alt

    This seems really objective and reasonable. One of the first times on TMB I have seen a Bama fan be critical of their team.
     
  33. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
    TMB OG

    It's still early. I should be back in Bammer form by friday
     
  34. bRamonceTaylor

    bRamonceTaylor Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Don't feel bad. I root for that every time he takes the field.
     
    Room 15 likes this.
  35. bRamonceTaylor

    bRamonceTaylor Well-Known Member
    Donor

    Anybody playing the Louisville/Rutgers game tmr night?

    Planning on taking part of the night off from studying, so I'd like to play it to have some entertainment to drink a few beers to. I have an extremely slight lean on towards Louisville, but am open to playing Rutgers/taking whoever the TMB degenerates predominantly side with.

    I'm a broke law student, so I can't afford to bet a lot of money anymore. A loss doesn't cost me more than a few six packs or cans of dap, nbd. Throw out your slightest leans and I'll take them into account, doesn't matter to me whether or not you're playing the game. Hopefully TMB can collectively earn me a couple extra cans of mouth cancer and/or liver disease.
     
  36. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    No idea on te sides but heard bridgewater looked hurt at the end of last game. Didn't watch it myself but maybe someone can confirm/deny this and his status
     
  37. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
    TMB OG

    I watched it. He broke his left wrist early in the game but came back. Then he hurt his knee but his coach said he should be fine.

    With that said i took the Rutgers D
     
  38. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    i caught some of the rutgers game last week and watch their QB get hurt. did he ever come back?

    nevermind...he never missed a series
     
  39. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
    Donor
    Auburn TigersAtlanta BravesAustin FC

    Is the Under 43.5 too obvious of a pick to bet on?
     
  40. bRamonceTaylor

    bRamonceTaylor Well-Known Member
    Donor



    http://pregame.com/pregame-forums/f/9/p/419051/1686545.aspx#1686545
     
  41. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    bw on bama and n illinois.
    i am going with georgia though.
     
  42. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
    Donor TMB OG
    Oregon DucksGreen Bay PackersDetroit Red WingsBayern Munich

    Weather could be an issue for what game(s)?
     
  43. bRamonceTaylor

    bRamonceTaylor Well-Known Member
    Donor

    I think he's referring to the UCLA/Stanford game. 100% chance of rain during the day, 50% at night.
     
  44. TexasPickEm

    TexasPickEm BOOM MOTHERF*CKER!

    Check out my complete, position by position write-up of the SEC Championship. I'll be attending the game and will have a follow-up post next week:


    SEC Championship

    Also, I did a write up of all the other conference championship games and made my picks as well. Check them out here:


    Conference Championships

    Hope y'all enjoy the posts. Go Dawgs!
     
  45. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    All over Rutgers -3
     
    blind dog likes this.
  46. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
    Donor TMB OG

    why?
     
  47. Wendel Clark

    Wendel Clark Gambling God
    Staff Donor

    My numbers have Rutgers to win 7. BCS trip on the line at home, I see them winning this big.

    They have a Top 10 Rush Defense that will shut down Louisville. Making a QB that has a broken non throwing wrist make plays. Jawan Jamison will get yards today against a sub par Rush defense and not put the game in Gary Novas hands.

    Favorite is 5-0 last 5 between these teams and Home team is 5-2 Last 7.
     
    bRamonceTaylor likes this.
  48. Swt

    Swt Well-Known Member
    TMB OG

    I don't get the hype on Bridgewater in the first place. Every time I watch him he's making no reads tossing it to his 1st option whether hes covered or not. Also throws some wild balls. For every 3 pretty balls I see him throw there's a duck.

    I don't know if Rutgers will move the ball well but I think they'll be playing from great field position all night.
     
  49. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
    Donor TMB OG

    i actually lean U 20 Louisville
     
  50. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
    Donor TMB OG
    Oregon DucksGreen Bay PackersDetroit Red WingsBayern Munich

    Bridgewater is basically a more athletic Jacory Harris