CHAMPS XVIII

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by Stone Cold Steve Austin, Jul 6, 2022.

  1. ScheaCottonStan

    ScheaCottonStan Well-Known Member
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesAtlanta HawksAtlanta Falcons

    Remaining Teams - Top 10 Historical Comparatives Average # of Tournament Wins

    1. Houston (3.0) (1 Champion, 1 Runner Up, 2 Final Four, 2 Elite 8) (40% F4, 60% E8)
    2. Alabama (2.9) (0 Champion, 2 Runner Up, 0 Final Four, 4 Elite 8) (20% F4, 60% E8)
    3. UConn (2.4) (1 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 2 Final Four, 2 Elite 8) (30% F4, 50% E8)

    4. UCLA (1.8) (0 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 1 Final Four, 2 Elite 8) (10% F4, 30% E8)
    4. Gonzaga (1.8) (0 Champion, 1 Runner Up, 0 Final Four, 2 Elite 8) (10% F4, 30% E8)
    6. Texas (1.6) (0 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 1 Final Four, 4 Elite 8) (10% F4, 50% E8)

    7. Tennessee (1.4) (0 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 0 Final Four, 1 Elite 8) (0% F4, 10% E8)
    8. Arkansas (1.2) (0 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 0 Final Four, 2 Elite 8) (0% F4, 20% E8)
    8. Xavier (1.2) (0 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 0 Final Four, 1 Elite 8) (0% F4, 10% E8)
    10. Creighton (1.1) (0 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 0 Final Four, 1 Elite 8) (0% F4, 10% E8)
    10. Kansas State (1.1) (0 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 0 Final Four, 2 Elite 8) (0% F4, 20% E8)
    12. San Diego State (1.0) (0 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 0 Final Four, 2 Elite 8) (0% F4, 20% E8)

    13. Florida Atlantic (0.6) (0 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 0 Final Four, 0 Elite 8) (0% F4, 0% E8)
    13. Michigan State (0.6) (0 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 0 Final Four, 0 Elite 8) (0% F4, 0% E8)
    15. Miami (0.5) (0 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 0 Final Four, 0 Elite 8) (0% F4, 0% E8)
    16. Princeton (0.0) (0 Champion, 0 Runner Up, 0 Final Four, 0 Elite 8) (0% F4, 0% E8)
     
    #41551 ScheaCottonStan, Mar 23, 2023
    Last edited: Mar 23, 2023
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  2. The Blackfish

    The Blackfish The Fish in Black
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    Screenshot you posted on the last page had Houston at 2.6
     
  3. ScheaCottonStan

    ScheaCottonStan Well-Known Member
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    Made an adjustment to the weighted average
     
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  4. LeonardWashington

    LeonardWashington Leader of Tuanon
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    and 2006 :whyioughta:
     
  5. ScheaCottonStan

    ScheaCottonStan Well-Known Member
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    Jordan Fvckin Farmar
     
  6. LeonardWashington

    LeonardWashington Leader of Tuanon
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    2006 we were playing really well at the end of the year. I don't know if we could have beaten that Memphis team who beat us in Coleman easily earlier in the year, but I would have LOVED our matchup against that Adam Morrison Gonzaga team. Felix would had put the clamps on his ass. Sucks Ron's shot rimmed out.
     
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  7. ScheaCottonStan

    ScheaCottonStan Well-Known Member
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    That was the year we beat the hell out of Tennessee and Florida in back to back homes games late in the season wasn't it?

    Coleman was electric for those 2 Saturdays.
     
  8. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
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    they also changed the balls they use for the tournament. It’s a different ball than they played with all year as well. Weird decisions.
     
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  9. Deuce

    Deuce Well-Known Member
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    I watched that game a Mexican restaurant in Breckinridge. It might have been the shitty tequila or shitty TV, but I saw Ron get fouled on that shot.
     
  10. LeonardWashington

    LeonardWashington Leader of Tuanon
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    yes. Florida came out of nowhere that year but they didn't lose a game the rest of the year. We were the last team to beat them, they won like 10 or 11 in a row after that and won the natty.
     
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  11. ScheaCottonStan

    ScheaCottonStan Well-Known Member
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    Pearl said something like "I thought they dominated us" after the game
     
  12. ScheaCottonStan

    ScheaCottonStan Well-Known Member
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    I watched it at a buddies house preparing to drive to the Atlanta airport 5 hours later to fly to Jackson Hole. College spring breaks were cool. We should still have them as adults.
     
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  13. The Blackfish

    The Blackfish The Fish in Black
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    Clown Baby still goes on Spring Break every year
     
  14. Odin

    Odin social distancing since 1990
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    i believe we used that same dumbass burnt orange ball a time or two during the season.
     
  15. ScheaCottonStan

    ScheaCottonStan Well-Known Member
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    Bilas is the color guy on this game. Did not remember that he did NCAA Tournament games for CBS.

    Also, game was played at Viejas Arena, home of San Diego State. STORYLINES COLLIDE!
     
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  16. Deuce

    Deuce Well-Known Member
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    Wasn’t there a bomb scare before the first game?
     
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  17. TrustyPatches

    TrustyPatches Life is is a bunch of ups and Caleb Downs
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    0C294883-AC69-4D4A-AE02-BD7674D01BCC.jpeg

    Spring break is life
     
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  18. Clown Baby

    Clown Baby Daddy’s #1 Candy Baby
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    Sorry for partying
     
  19. The Blackfish

    The Blackfish The Fish in Black
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    Post Gradzy SB 12.0 Sponsored by Geritol
     
  20. ScheaCottonStan

    ScheaCottonStan Well-Known Member
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    - San Diego State is 0-7 in tournament games in which they are an underdog (since 2002)

    - San Diego State is 2-5 when a 7 point or more underdog overall under Brian Dutcher

    - Alabama is 16-2 under Nate Oats when they are favored between 6 and 8 points (UCLA 2021, Penn 2019)
     
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  21. Owsley

    Owsley My friends call me Bear
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    SDSU is, on paper, our toughest matchup until a potential national title game with whoever comes out of the West/Midwest :ohdear:
     
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  22. jplaYa

    jplaYa CHAMPZY/SMOLTZY/CHELSEA
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    Let’s get it out of the way
     
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  23. Odin

    Odin social distancing since 1990
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    eh, sdsu seems like a less impressive version of tennessee and they're still playing
     
  24. Owsley

    Owsley My friends call me Bear
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    I’m just snakebit by 2021 (and Alabama basketball in general). If it’s ever going to happen, the time is most certainly now.
     
  25. ScheaCottonStan

    ScheaCottonStan Well-Known Member
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    Brian Dutcher has been at SDSU since 2018.

    Here are SDSU's stats vs Big 6 leagues over that span (Power 5 + Big East)

    Overall under Dutcher vs Big 6
    10-12 overall
    Average Opponent Rank : 71st
    Average Margin : -1.3


    Last 3 years under Dutcher vs Big 6
    6-6 overall
    Average Opponent Rank : 56th
    Average Margin : 0.0


    Vs Big 6 Top 60 Teams under Dutcher
    5-9 overall
    Average Opponent Rank : 31st
    Average Margin : -4.5


    Vs Big 6 Top 30 Teams under Dutcher
    2-5 overall
    Average Opponent Rank : 14th
    Average Margin : -6.4



    TL/DR - San Diego State are posers, they'd be a bubble team most years in a real league and we are going to kick the shite out of them.


    Roll Damn Tide
     
    #41575 ScheaCottonStan, Mar 23, 2023
    Last edited: Mar 23, 2023
  26. Snakes

    Snakes clumsy interloper
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    they brought in Rob Manfred and Tom Brady to consult. always a good move
     
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  27. Drown ‘Em

    Drown ‘Em The Candy Man
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    I actually do believe that Saban could have been completely oblivious of Oats blundering in front of the press multiple times. It’s probably more likely than not.
     
  28. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  29. pockets

    pockets Lesser-Known Member
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    I drunkenly made a trip to Hilton Head and found one hotel open that night. Watched the game in our hotel and our half painted ceiling partially collapsed on to my friend and a stripper he brought home.
     
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  30. ScheaCottonStan

    ScheaCottonStan Well-Known Member
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    "I don't watch basketball press conferences" made me LOL
     
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  31. Menelaus

    Menelaus The Red-Haired King
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    God damn I miss him already
     
  32. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
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    12/10.
     
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  33. Icculus is a Bammer

    Icculus is a Bammer marco esquandolas took my job
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    Can u imagine not taking him number 1?
     
  34. bingbing

    bingbing Learning to care less about things I can control
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    I'll be at the game if anyone wants my autograph...maybe even a pic
     
  35. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  36. TrustyPatches

    TrustyPatches Life is is a bunch of ups and Caleb Downs
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    Will Anderson and Bryce Young are top 3 favorite bammers for me to have watched all time. Glad I got to watch them play in the sugar bowl
     
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  37. TrustyPatches

    TrustyPatches Life is is a bunch of ups and Caleb Downs
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    What if I wanna s ur d
     
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  38. bingbing

    bingbing Learning to care less about things I can control
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    We can negotiate a price
     
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  39. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  40. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  41. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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    CBB | SAN DIEGO ST. @ ALABAMA | 03/24 | 5:30 PM CDT
    SAN DIEGO ST. +7.5
    ANALYSIS: This is a lot of points to lay to a team like San Diego State. The Aztecs have something that the Crimson Tide don't: experience. Matt Bradley is in his fifth year and he is playing great on both ends of the court. Brandon Miller is the best player on the court, but he has never played in a game like this. This game is going to be a rock fight. In a slow paced game, 7.5 points is way too much. Take the points with the experienced Aztecs.


    CBB | SAN DIEGO ST. @ ALABAMA | 03/24 | 5:30 PM CDT
    SAN DIEGO ST. +7.5
    ANALYSIS: Both teams play real defense. The Aztecs' defense is elite, which is why the total is relatively low. All the pressure is on Alabama. I try to keep it simple in the Sweet 16. I have this game power-rated closer to five points. I see value with the Aztecs in this spot. I love their coach too. Take the underdog.

    CBB | SAN DIEGO ST. @ ALABAMA | 03/24 | 5:30 PM CDT
    OVER 135
    ANALYSIS: Always shop around as I just played o134.5 which is a lot better than the 136's floating around at the moment. I think the opening number of 137 was far more appropriate, but we're seeing a ton of buying to the Under on many games after the hot start to the tournament. My simulations make this one 141 in a matchup with massive contrasting styles. Bama wants to play with a ton of pace while SDSU typically plays a little slower. Both teams play strong defense and will be able to generate turnovers that lead to points. Both teams are also quite strong at getting to the free throw line. This will be a highly competitive game that should see SDSU forced to play meaningfully above their average pace.
     
  42. southlick

    southlick "Better Than You"
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  43. LeonardWashington

    LeonardWashington Leader of Tuanon
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    I’m very glad we can finally stop pretending Arkansas is good
     
  44. Drown ‘Em

    Drown ‘Em The Candy Man
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    It’s kind of nuts to think that 5 of the 6 Elite 8 teams outside of our region could end up being a rematch for us in the Final 4 or the championship game.
     
  45. HtownTide

    HtownTide I make motion pictures. Space movies
    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta BravesHouston RocketsHouston Oilers

    Obviously this wouldn’t have been the case for many of the lesser-talented teams weve had in years past, but I feel like the intense early season battles that we played with this years schedule really benefited us down the stretch and propelled us to the toughness that was the difference in so many games
     
  46. Nug

    Nug MexicanNug
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    Our non-con schedule is one of my favorite things about Oats.
     
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  47. Joey Freshwater

    Joey Freshwater Slingin The Pipe Since 75
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    Alabama Crimson Tide

    I always feel like it’s a double edged sword and depends on how your team is built. I feel sometimes scheduling tough, if you end up losing a few, can seem to hurt you as guys confidence gets shaky. I stay holding the point that last years Memphis game absolutely gutted our team. They got smacked and never recovered. Obviously this team was different but they had chances to do the same thing. Even re-watching Houston I felt like there were times that game could’ve gotten out of hand and instead our guys responded and it brought us together for the future. We’ve done that quite a few times this year. Being able to rally down double digits without ever wavering. This team has a special make up
     
  48. i am a bammer

    i am a bammer Ben Eblen>Jamychal Green
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    Who is pretending? They're an 8 seed.
     
  49. Drown ‘Em

    Drown ‘Em The Candy Man
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    This whole season has really been a fun progression to watch unfold. That international tour allowed for early practices and you could see it had a good effect on confidence and chemistry building, including against one good test in the last game. That scrimmage blowout against TCU was a great introduction to power conference college ball and showed the guys they were talented but had work to do. Then the non-conference schedule challenged us with better than needed results and definitely got us prepared for SEC play. Then we dominated SEC play overall, but had ebbs and flows that showed us our weaknesses that could be exploited in tournament play and needed to be addressed. Next, we made improvements in the SECT and really got ourselves looking good headed into the big dance. And now here we are in the S16 having not played our best, but still dominating.

    It’s gonna be so fun and rewarding to watch them finish the job and go all the way.
     
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  50. LeonardWashington

    LeonardWashington Leader of Tuanon
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    there were folks worried about playing them in. Nashville where they were a 10 seed I believe
     
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