UNDER 49 I keep trying to outsmart the trend and it keeps fucking me over.... USF if I play a side..which I doubt.
Cincy -1.5 for 2u GL to all backing Cincy and health to others. I would have to say though that at 2.5 the side is either Cincy or no play at all. Unless the line moves to 3 or 3.5 it'd be dumb to take USF as you already misssed the good line (+3.5). USF backers might as well play the moneyline or buy it to +3
What do you guys think about the 48.5 o/u? I am tempted to just keep playing the weeknight under until I lose.
Yep. Same here. 74% on over. My guy is at 49.5 right now. Trying to decide if he's just late coming down or if it might go up with 74% on the over. Probably just late coming down, and I should probably grab it now, eh?
I would if I were you no doubt. I would love to see my book go up to at least 49 but it hasn't budged yet. I think I'll just wait and see how it is tomorrow AM.
The o/u scares me, the last time these two met in tampa it was a shootout, cincy was up like 35-14 in the second quarter
Tulsa Boise had 29 points in the 1st qtr and hit the under last night, theres something about these weekday games, what it is, I have no idea.
from the guy who is enfuego. another writeup from the capper i follow. 1-4* scale. this is his biggest play since VaTech against Miami 3* Cincinatti Bearcats -2.5 -110 The common mistake many public bettors make in a game between 2 legitimate teams is they like to think they are sharp by taking the obvious underdog. Public bettors never find comfort in taking a team like Tulsa at home, because well, Tulsa's just not that good. But man do they love feeling nice and cozy and comfortable taking an obvious underdog like USF. Especially on Thursday night. I'm not saying the public is on USF here, just saying that a common misconception with this whole public thing, is people think just because the public is on one side and they now take the other side that they are now on the "sharp" side. The sharp side is the winning side and public bettors are on both sides - regardless of where you get your percentages from. The key to betting between two good teams is to first look for any crazy motivational angles or intangibles that may give one the better team too big of a head and make them come out and think they already won the game. That isn't the case here. Both teams are undefeated, both teams respect the other side. Nobody is saying either side is a lock to win. And the USF Bulls have a smaller school and they don't even have their own stadium to play in. They play their home games at the Bucs Stadium at Raymond James. No crazy home field advantage here. Both teams will come out motivated, both teams are focused. So just pick the better team. The better team here is Cincinatti. Before I lock in my bet, I make sure that Cincinatti can play good football on the road and the thing I LOVE seeing is that they were able to go into Corvallis on a cross country road trip and come away with a double digit victory over a Pac-10 team. Cross country road trips are typically a recipe for disaster and can make any team look horrific. Cincy overcame that obstacle and that tells me they should have little problems going down to Tampa, FL in the same time zone and taking care of business vs. USF. USF does not match up well with Cincinatti. USF is a physical team built on pursuit to the football, stopping the run, and putting you in obvious passing situations. However, Cincinatti is a pass first kind of team. And the way you beat a physical, fast team is to throw the football all over on them. It is the main reason why USF has not been able to beat Cincinatti 4 times straight. Not to mention, Cincinatti has covered 5 straight times ATS vs. USF. Bettors are currently snake-bitten by Cincinatti, as the Bearcats have failed to cover 2 straight times ATS in their last 2 games. But that is when the hype machine kicks in on Cincy and they start laying ridiculous 20 and 30 point spreads. That is not the type of team Cincinatti is. They are a team that WINS football games, not a team that is going to go out and light up the scoreboard and blow everyone out in super impressive fashion. And the media has brainwashed the public to believe that THAT is how you can tell who the good teams are - based on scoreboard watching. I don't think that could be any more inaccurate. A team that blows everyone out tells me nothing about them as a team. Great teams are made and character is revealed under pressure situations and how the team can handle it and over come it. Cincy has won a 1 score game this season and has experience in that type of game, while USF has yet to play a game where they have come within 10 points of their opponent. We don't know how BJ Daniel or the USF Bulsl will handle a game where it is a 1 score contest. And you better believe Cincy will give them that type of game tonight. If USF had Matt Grothe, we may have seen USF as a 3 point favorite in this game, but this line has been adjusted for BJ Daniels, the freshman QB who has come in and performed very admirably in relief of the injured Matt Grothe. Daniels has proven to be a running threat as well, rushing for 300 yards. But this is still just a freshman QB making his 3rd career start vs. a Brian Kelly defense looking for national respect and a Heisman candidate QB in Tony Pike that should be able to answer score for score to anything Daniels counters with. Afterall, Tony Pike has owned the Bulls as he threw for 200+ yards and 2 TDs last year with no interceptions while his arm non throwing arm was in a cast. Cincy is 5-0 ATS last 5 games vs. USF, showing that they have their number. Cincinatti is 15-6 ATS vs. teams with a winning record, showing that they come to play in a big games. USF is 3-9 ATS vs. teams with a winning record, showing that they don't perform as well vs. good teams as the linesmakers give them credit for. Cincinatti 31 USF 20
I like the under this guy that knows his stuff on twitter.com/22lbs he knows his stuff he is like 38-22. His name is jesse he says to take the under
I wasn't sure if you were serious because he posts on this site and I didn't know if you knew this. He is King_Of_Expo_Park.
Stayed away last night after a terrible Tuesday. I think I was 1-6 between Football & Hockey. Riding the under tonight.
Gotta love it, Prints you da man!!!! Funny as shit that this guy came over here touting you, little ego bump for ya
yeah at first I was like...is this guy hating? lol...shit maybe there's more at other sites...I just want/need followers/traffic...so hopefully.
well i found you from a friend who kept hitting and i couldn't until he told me who he was getting his picks from
Your score prediction is 31-20 which would mean the over. Yet you say your on the under, what made you change your mind??
not I said the fly......I haven't made any kind of prediction on the score....but if you want to know mine...I have this at USF 17-24 UC 14-30 So UC has to get 26 for this to go over...& if they do that...there's 5 numbers (26-30) 26 is 1 27 is 2 28 is 3 29 is 4 30 is 5 ..... So out of 8*17 = 136 possibilities...15 go over...I'll take that every time...plus midweek games go under at an alarming rate
Im going Cincinnati. To many of the services are on USF for my liking. Line went from 3 earlier today to now down to 1.
I parlayed Cincy -0.5 and under 24 first half. I should be dead already but USF's lack of kicking game is leaving me with the slightest bit of life.
Well if u really feel that way it looks like you might have a chance to hedge it with a 3-4 point middle in the 2nd half.
I'd be surprised if under 48 was a winner. Although Pike might be out so that would help. Either way I see it going over though.