A couple years ago I created a college football calculator and last year I implemented it into a website. I have been using it to gamble the past couple of years and more often than not I have been winning money on a weekly basis. If you want to check it out I would appreciate it. http://www.collegefootballcalc.com/ I said it on the site but note that the week 1 predictions are just based off of last years results. Since I only use statistical data I would not start trusting the predictions till week 4 at the earliest
You are doing it wrong. Should go the TPSC method. Stop being a pussy. Offer huge returns, sell it & disappear in 2 months. Seriously, for week 1 I put in Arky St vs Auburn. Spread is 31. Your calc gives me AU 33 AkSt 20. Skeptical, but I'll keep an eye on it. Once the season gets going, you'll use current season stats in your algorithm? That's why you say wait a month?
also, you have ecu beating tulsa. if skip holtz still coached there then obviously you'd be right. but with a new coach there, those stats from last year don't mean anything (in all likelihood).
I'm confused. I put in SJSU @ Bama and it says Bama wins 40-12, yet down at the bottom, it shows: San Jose State @ Alabama Vegas Says: Alabama by 39 I Say: Alabama by 37 So you say Bama by 37, yet the calculator says 28? I confused.
Yup... Realistically I think of it like the BCS System... I need 4-6 weeks of stats to get an accurate measure on how good a team is
Calculator really likes Miss st. hmmmmmm Away Team Home Team Team Auburn Mississippi State Score 24 37 Passing Yards 216 351 Rushing Yards 202 121 Turnovers 1 1
Like he said. He only has Week 1 statistics done. So you are going to have to wait a couple weeks to get better results
Away Team Home Team Team UL Monroe Arkansas Score 1 455 Passing Yards 51 708 Rushing Yards 37 640 Turnovers 0 2 looks right to me
This week over Vegas we correctly picked the winner 60.78% of the time! This week we correctly picked the winner 74.00% of the time! The Bet Busters were only 50% but that doesn't surprise me, the bet busters is just the games where I have the biggest difference with Vegas, so this early teams with inflated stats are going to look better for the calculator (AKA Houston and ECU) http://www.collegefootballcalc.com/Article.aspx?AID=1028
Vegas odds/bet busters are up. Feeling pretty reliable this week. http://www.collegefootballcalc.com/Default.aspx I also made a ranking system. http://www.collegefootballcalc.com/Top25.aspx And you can view all the predictions for this weeks games here. http://www.collegefootballcalc.com/predict.aspx
so basically, if I bet on the ten games in the Top Bet Busters, I should come out on top, winning between 6 and 8 of those?
In theory, But use common sense. Last year week 4 I went 80% in my bet busters. http://www.collegefootballcalc.com/Article.aspx?AID=1003
I might actually do that this week. I've made some terrible bets so far but at least I'm hovering around even
i base my results off better the spread, never the moneyline FIY I am unsure how it works as far as over/under also... that might be a new feature I try out later this year/next season
it's sweet of your calculator to have us by 14, but... jeez we've sucked lately. and we're having a change at o-line. hopefully it pans out. if we win by 14 i will click on every ad on your webpage 20 times.
Of all the busters I like that one the least. With Rutgers only have played 2 games and 1 being a cupcake (and the other FIU) their stats are still skewed. I would not take that bet IMHO.
Last week was horrendous for me. This week I am not sure what to think either. 70% of my predictions are within 3 pts of Vegas...
Just want to give a recommendation. Not sure how you could do it tho. I wanted to see if Florida played Miami. It looks to me that you don't have any points in there for home field advantage. Not sure what you could do with that.
I do have points for home field advantage, it isn't the standard vegas 3 pts though... it is a multiplier based on Sagarin's home field advantage number. some teams have a better home field advantage than others. Right now the HF advantage is worked into it. I'm not sure the neutral site part is working perfectly though
UVA scores an AVG of 27.50pts per game While GT lets up 25.40 pts per game UVA avg 399.50yards per game and GT lets up an avg of 347.80 yards per game My calc predicted UVA 25pts and 355 total yards. Seems reasonable to me
Great week this week for the calculator... I think my tweeks are finally paying off. This week over Vegas we correctly picked the winner 52.08% of the time! This week we correctly picked the winner 85.42% of the time! http://www.collegefootballcalc.com/Article.aspx?AID=1034