CoronaVirus Disease (COVID-19) Thread : The Holiday Surge

Discussion in 'The Mainboard' started by shaolin5, Jan 20, 2020.

  1. Baron

    Baron Well-Known Member
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    1.5% of 328m would be 4.92m, correct? I'm wondering the same thing...
     
  2. Redav

    Redav My favorite meat is hotdog
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    There's people in the population that have covid that have not been tested/aren't a confirmed case. If you do a million confirmed cases a week (were actually doing more) and multiple it by the estimate of # of cases were missing (say we miss 4 cases for each one that is confirmed) you easily get to 5m active cases
     
  3. HowdyHorns

    HowdyHorns Well-Known Member

    worldometers showing 4.5m active cases currently.
     
    Baron likes this.
  4. Henry Blake

    Henry Blake No Springsteen is leaving this house!

    Something like ~700,000 new infections a day and getting worse
     
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  5. beerme

    beerme Well-Known Member
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    Im not entirely sure but I think they’re aggressively adding to the number based on case fatality ratios which is largely data gathered when we didn’t have good case #s and higher death rates vs cases in April. I.E we used to miss a lot of infections but I don’t think the number is 1/4 anymore given testing has ncreased dramatically. I could be wrong, and they’re not wildly off base either way, maybe 3-4 million instead of 5.
     
  6. psimp7

    psimp7 Well-Known Member
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    Worldometers calculations are wrong on that. I can get behind if he’s saying undocumented positives are part of the 1.5% but I feel like that should be stated if that’s part of his data.
     
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  7. LeVar Burton

    LeVar Burton Knee deep in a dynasty, ROLL TIDE!
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    ty
     
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  8. RavenNole

    RavenNole Well-Known Member
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    1.5% currently infected is a major leap. That’s projecting that we are missing as many cases as we were 4-6 months ago. I think that’s unlikely but it’s impossible to say.

    I think it is clear that we are missing cases. My guess would be 2-3 times more and closer to 2 times more at this point. Still would be close to 500,000 cases a day which is insane.
     
  9. BellottiBold

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    it was posted previously, but this tool is kind of cool
    https://covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu/
     
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  10. Redav

    Redav My favorite meat is hotdog
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    The CDC says we could be missing as many as 10x the number of cases so it isn't a major leap at all
     
  11. Pile Driving Miss Daisy

    Pile Driving Miss Daisy It angries up the blood
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    That was a while ago, I don't think we're missing that many now. Latest speculation from people on Twitter with a background in epidemiology I saw was between 2-4x cases that are going undiagnosed.
     
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  12. Tobias

    Tobias dan “the man qb1” jones fan account
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    i will kill santa

     
  13. Henry Blake

    Henry Blake No Springsteen is leaving this house!

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  14. Redav

    Redav My favorite meat is hotdog
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    Yeah that was in July but even if you do 4 times as you suggested it's well within the realm of possibility
     
  15. Henry Blake

    Henry Blake No Springsteen is leaving this house!

  16. Jimmy the Saint

    Jimmy the Saint It's like the Weimar Republic in that place
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  17. Redav

    Redav My favorite meat is hotdog
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  18. Beeds07

    Beeds07 Bitch, it's Saturday
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    Had to drive into the land of NilesIrish yesterday and most of the bars are openly defying shut down mandates and daring the Governor to fine or shut them down.

    Also had to ref a basketball game last night and the school did a great job, but the amount of shitty, old fat white dudes coaching and reffing with me that either called covid overexxagerated or preaching herd immunity pissed me off. One guy I worked with asked why we should bother shutting down again since we tried and it didn't work? I just pretended to get a text so I didn't explode.

    People suck
     
  19. NilesIrish

    NilesIrish Not a master fisher but I know bait when I see it
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    Those bars on the south end don’t give a fuck, it’s 100% Maga Morons. I hope every day the state police raid their shit but every state cop is also a patron.
     
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  20. BlazingRebel

    BlazingRebel Dog Crew Founder Migraine Connoisseur
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    A lot of Natives live in ND including all of my fiancee's family. They are basically work and home until the holidays are over both her grandparents are EMTs at the Indian hospital on the reservation. I pray they send that medical help to the reservations because they are beyond desperate for help.
     
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  21. SpartanGA

    SpartanGA Well-Known Member
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    I’m in Atlanta. Positive test this morning. Basically head cold symptoms. No fever. I decided to do drive thru cvs test because of thanksgiving to be sure. I felt more tired and odd vs cold. Now feels like a lingering cold that’s taking awhile. Not a big deal.
     
  22. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    Did you look at the tweet?
     
  23. HuskerInMiami

    HuskerInMiami Well-Known Member
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    My sister at Iowa State just tested positive. She's not a partier or that social as far as I know. She was taking it very serious when she was here a few months ago.
     
  24. Cornfed Buffalo

    Cornfed Buffalo No he’s not. He’s just fat and tired
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  25. ashy larry

    ashy larry from ashy to classy
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    thanks Chris but not as bad as literally dying. it’s ok bruh fractions will still be there next year
     
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  26. pperc

    pperc Well-Known Member
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    i am glad you are doing so well
     
  27. psimp7

    psimp7 Well-Known Member
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    Now I did and now I feel dumb
     
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  28. Hoss Bonaventure

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    MIL’s school is closing and going all virtual starting after the break. They don’t have enough staff available.
     
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  29. indeed

    indeed All In The Game
    Penn State Nittany Lions

    Yeah realized that, can’t remember the site but there’s a demo breakdown of cases by state and Natives where applicable and of course Blacks and Latinos everywhere are bearing the brunt. I have zero sympathy for the white folk that are driving most of the spread and then fall ill.

    Best to your fam.
     
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  30. BlazingRebel

    BlazingRebel Dog Crew Founder Migraine Connoisseur
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    Yeah it is really bad, but thankfully her grandparents have very strict rules for the family so they will keep them as safe as they can.
     
  31. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    Trump Jr tested positive, so thats nice.
     
  32. Redav

    Redav My favorite meat is hotdog
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  33. Chipper>Jeter

    Chipper>Jeter Fuck Covid
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    I would say Don Jr dying of Covid would get Trumps attention but he doesn't give a fuck about anyone including his kids.
     
  34. fish

    fish Impossible, Germany
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    [​IMG]
     
  35. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    Eh he cares about Ivanka because he wants to fuck her.
     
  36. indeed

    indeed All In The Game
    Penn State Nittany Lions

    Pretty close to 200k and 2k today
     
  37. BWC

    BWC It was the BOAT times, it was the WOAT times
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    He'd 100% call his own dead son a pussy for dying of something he conquered.
     
  38. Henry Blake

    Henry Blake No Springsteen is leaving this house!

    Hospitalizations more than doubled in the last 30 days
     
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  39. WhiskeyDelta

    WhiskeyDelta Formerly MK3rds
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    Almost back up to a 9/11 per day.
     
  40. AlternativeFactsRule

    AlternativeFactsRule Mmm ... Coconuts
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    DoJu dying of COVID would just serve to confirm all of Trump’s suspicions about his kid.
     
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  41. The Banks

    The Banks TMB's Alaskan
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    Well be there in 2-3 weeks
     
  42. Henry Blake

    Henry Blake No Springsteen is leaving this house!

  43. One Two

    One Two Send it!
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    I have had a some friends test positive. All otherwise healthy mid 30 years of age. Worst was bed ridden for 5 days with cold and stomach flu like symptoms, most of them though nothing more than headache, cold symptoms and fatigue for a week. Buddy just texted me that his wife’s healthy 36 year old coworker just got admitted to the ER with COVID. Regardless of how bad your case is, it isn’t “no big deal” to the few that end up in the hospital and it isn’t something I’d willfully roll the dice on.

    Glad you have a mild case, but hopefully you were taking measures beforehand to prevent spreading it to otherwise healthy folks that end up on the wrong end of it.
     
  44. SpartanGA

    SpartanGA Well-Known Member
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    don’t misinterpret my words. I’m only stating my experience with the virus. And yes I took precautions. Jesus
     
  45. BellottiBold

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    1 in 5 US hospitals is facing a critical staff shortage
     
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  46. One Two

    One Two Send it!
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    Good to hear dude. Sorry, it’s just blowing my mind that people like my parents are letting their guard down on masks and don’t understand it’s not to protect them it’s to protect other folks.
     
  47. RavenNole

    RavenNole Well-Known Member
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  48. Henry Blake

    Henry Blake No Springsteen is leaving this house!

    [​IMG]
     
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