FSUsem's 2011 College Bowl Season Thread (26-21, +3.5 Units)

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by jasonms20, Nov 16, 2011.

  1. jasonms20

    jasonms20 Member

    Here is the sheet.

    It is setup just like years past. There are two total systems, the off o/u and def o/u. The systems project what the total should be based on the offenses and defenses. The average is, of course, the average of the two which is generally near the total for the game. When all three total columns have a total above or below the posted game total, I've bolded and underlined the row for that bowl to indicate the agreement.

    There are two side systems and two other systems pulled from FoxSheets. My systems are the system A and B columns. The main difference between the two is that System B factors in strength of schedule. The values in the columns represent what each system thinks the spread should be. When all four systems have a line that is above or below the posted side for the bowl, the row for the bowl is bolded and underlined to indicate the agreement.

    If anyone has any more questions, let me know and I'll be happy to help.

    [​IMG]
     
  2. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    Yea he has been :rain:the last few years.
     
  3. carlin08

    carlin08 New Member
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    This is an important thread...
     
  4. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
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    uh won't he have to wait till bowl lineups are set?
     
  5. RUseaweed

    RUseaweed Rutgers
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  6. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Yes I will be posting the sheet and picks for all.
     
  7. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    it's weird, I've bet less this year than others, but I've watched more college football this year than ever. looking forward to another bowl season.
     
  8. I <3 bama cock

    I <3 bama cock Sharks are born swimming
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    :getmoneyfuckbitches:
     
  9. Tiger Woods

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  10. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    I have a feeling, knowing what goes into my system, that it will pick Alabama.

    I should have something up in about a week. Takes a while to input all the data.
     
  11. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    thanks.
     
  12. tnvols

    tnvols New Member
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    I'm loving Bama. Can't wait to hear, sem.
     
  13. Tiger Woods

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    No way LSU looses imo. Not after the season they just had, their depth, and being in NOLA. Although it is easier to motivate for alabama since they lost last time.

    So if Alabama wins, does that mean a split of the title since they both won one
     
  14. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
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    Can't, winner of it has to be BCS champion. One of the rules to it requires AP & Coaches polls to vote BCS champion the winner.

    Also means SEC will finally have a BCS title game loss.
     
  15. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    I dont think the AP has to vote that way...they are no long associated with the BCS.
     
  16. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
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    Yeah I forgot about that, weird considering how much they try to talk up the BCS. Anyway, I get what you're saying, but even then the winner of the game is still BCS Champion. Doesn't mean the AP could not vote for a different national champion. It just wouldn't get to be called BCS Champion.
     
  17. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    true...
     
  18. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    IIRC AP has already stated before the final standings came out that they will vote LSU the AP NC regardless of the outcome
     
  19. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
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    Look forward to this thread every year.
     
  20. King_Of_Expo_Park

    King_Of_Expo_Park Well-Known Member

    That game is already done for me...

    Got Alabama +110 at the open, now just waiting for LSU to get as high as possible ... unless somehow LSU becomes the favorite again, it will be guaranteed winner ... Which I'll take because I don't have much interest in the game anyway.
     
  21. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Finishing up the sheet hopefully tonight. It will be out by Wednesday at the latest.
     
  22. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    2010:
    29-18 (62%), +27.9 Units


    2009:
    25-12 (68%), +32.6 Units
     
  23. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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  24. ppos31

    ppos31 Well-Known Member

  25. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    As anticipated, raw system likes Alabama. Marshall comes in dead last with Auburn a close second to last.
     
  26. Pokestradamus

    Pokestradamus New Member

    I can't wait!!!

    Saturday is going to hopefully be the beginning of recovering all the money I lost on CBB and NHL!
     
  27. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    Just going to post in here for future reference.
     
  28. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    hoping tonight is the night....
     
  29. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    Hope tonight is the night....
     
  30. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
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  31. jasonms20

    jasonms20 Member

    You can't rush greatness.
     
  32. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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  33. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    omgomgomg
     
  34. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    I'm not sure how to read this thing... Maybe I'm dumb?
     
  35. jasonms20

    jasonms20 Member

    Thanks again Sem. Do you favor system A or B?
     
  36. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    The Def O/U is always pretty reliable, going 26-9 last year.

    System A and B disagreed 7 times last year. System A was correct in 6 of those 7 disagreements. This year the systems disagree 14 times.

    Last year there were 14 times where all four systems agreed on a side. This year there are only 4.
     
    slogan119 likes this.
  37. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    It is setup just like years past. There are two total systems, the off o/u and def o/u. The systems project what the total should be based on the offenses and defenses. The average is, of course, the average of the two which is generally near the total for the game. When all three total columns have a total above or below the posted game total, I've bolded and underlined the row for that bowl to indicate the agreement.

    There are two side systems and two other systems pulled from FoxSheets. My systems are the system A and B columns. The main difference between the two is that System B factors in strength of schedule. The values in the columns represent what each system thinks the spread should be. When all four systems have a line that is above or below the posted side for the bowl, the row for the bowl is bolded and underlined to indicate the agreement.

    If anyone has any more questions, let me know and I'll be happy to help.
     
    slogan119 likes this.
  38. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    So if I'm reading this correctly, it looks to me that A&M and Wisconsin are going to be the biggest plays?

    Maybe UVA and Illinois as well?
     
  39. captbunch

    captbunch Fan of: Texas Tech, Texas Rangers
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    thanks again Sem!
     
  40. Joe_Pesci

    Joe_Pesci lying dog-faced pony soldier
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    Wolfsburg

  41. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
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    Sconnie comin for that ass :gfa:
     
  42. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
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    Temple should be bolded, no?
     
  43. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    This is my first time reading this. It's kind of difficult but I think I might understand. So just as an example lets take temple and Wyoming with temple - 6 1/2. It seems like system A and B both agree that Temple should cover. While power and outplay (not sure what that is) say Temple should win by more than 7. It seems like that would be a strong play as well. I'm sorry for being naive and not understanding. Just mildly confused.
     
  44. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    Along with San Diego St?
     
  45. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
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    The line for that game is currently at 5, dunno if a push means bold :idk:
     
  46. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Yes, temple should be bolded. And you're also right that if it's a push it's not a full agreement so no bold.
     
  47. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
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    Well then look how smuggy I am :smug: