Sem - your sheet has helped turn a $900 deposit into $10,500 after last night. I want to send you a nice bottle of booze. Thanks for putting this together.
Wow kstate let me down big time. I didn't see that comin at all! Well what is everyone thinkin today;
I am going to guess bama ** , but I am putting my entire account on the tigers. Geaux down with the ship iyam
That was a helluva forward progress. It's dumb that that can't be reviewed yet you can review the spot of the ball.
seriously, what a horribly undisciplined team. you're off the field twice, and you get a dude throwing another players helmet and a guy running into the kicker.
I'm taking LSU on the ML and the over at 40. I've been leaning Bama for weeks but I couldn't pull the trigger when it was a pickem and now they're 2 point favorites. No thanks. I just think LSU has the better team.
I know but I woke up thinking LSU. I'm weird. The point I was trying to make was that I could never bet on Bama because I think LSU has the better team despite having weeks to do it.
According to vegasinsider.com the O/U has gone from 40 to 41 since yesterday and the trend for betting the over has gone from 50/50 to 57% on the over.
The System A line has hit 18 out of the last 24 bowls (75%). I'm rolling with the system on this one.
O/U keeps moving up. It's now at (41.5). I'm gonna wait a few more hours to place my bet on the under in hopes it will increase.
welp. hate to do it but taking Bama in my officepool. pretty important pick. hopefully against the masses to gain ground on the people above me. honestly just taking Bama so I have a half-ass reason to be ok with them winning
I love Bama tonight, and I love the H1 under. Bama blew too many opportunities and made too many mistakes the first time they played, while LSU played flawless, and I feel this is being overlooked.
I'm so up in the air on this game that I just went with a teaser. LSU +8.5 and under 47.5. Feel pretty good about this.
Same here. I am still debating on two options. I'm either going to bet on LSU and the (2.5) points or bet the under (41.5).
I am on LSU ML and the O and 1H O.....so....basically, against Sem. GL everyone. It has been a great bowl run
Final tally 26-21, +3.5 Units Hope everyone was able to prosper. While the picks in the thread didn't win as much as they normally do, it's still on the positive side.
Yep, this was one of the most evenly matched years in bowls that I can remember. Going forward, it will be interesting to see if we keep getting this level of parity. And FSUsem, will you be posting the final W-L of each metric this year?
When A and B agreed, it went 13-7, 65% When A and Outplay agreed, it went 15-8, 65% When A, B, and Outplay agreed, it went 7-3, 70% When all 4 agreed, it went 5-2, 71% System A itself went 23-12, hitting 66% including 19 out of the last 25 bowls. This year was big with the favorites, going 21-14 in bowls. The unders had a slight edge hitting in 20 out of the 35 bowl games.
System A continued working very well like last year. System B went 18-17 Power and Outplay both went 17-16-2
ATS O/U MWC 2-3 4-1 MAC 3-2 3-2 WAC 1-2 0-3 Sun Belt 1-2 1-2 C-USA 4-1 0-5 Pac-12 3-4 5-2 ACC 3-5 5-3 Big 12 5-3 3-5 Big Ten 4-6 3-7 Big East 3-2 3-2 SEC 5-4 3-6
I'll look over the rest later, but this is of interest to me (mainly on the O/U). Do you happen to have results from the past couple of years (by conference)? I'm wondering if we can use this as another outlier, or even track by bowl game (for example, the Gator has gone under for 8 of 10 years, etc.) ...
The bolded I would think has the most long term value .. and gives a good method for really pinpointing games and dropping 2-3 times regular amount.