FSUsem's 2011 College Bowl Season Thread (26-21, +3.5 Units)

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by jasonms20, Nov 16, 2011.

  1. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
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    Florida State SeminolesChicago CubsReal Madrid

  2. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
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    We deserved Wisky. This was a make-up from God (Gundy-god).
     
  3. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
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    He's a man!
     
  4. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
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    That's gotta be on the Duhon half-court 3 that covered the UCONN/DUKE hoops national title game spread level back in 2004.
     
  5. RUseaweed

    RUseaweed Rutgers
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    so if i did this math right, i lost $3 today.

    14-13 on the day, but the juice on those losess puts it slightly in the negative. was still a pretty exciting day.
     
  6. Clark W. Griswold23

    Clark W. Griswold23 Well-Known Member
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    That was my senior year in college and I had every dollar to my name on Uconn. When he hit that shot, I just sat there for hours. Worst beat of my life. I read an article where Duhon said he has gotten death threats over it. I had Stanford tonight but that Uconn/Duke game is the first thing I thought of. I feel lucky to win and I also had Mich. St today, but I feel for all the people who got fucked on that field goal. If I ever see Duhon in Charlotte though Im gonna knock him the fuck out.
     
  7. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Weirdest bowl season in a while.
     
  8. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
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    1997 Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars for me.

    Monday Night Game, needed a Pitt cover. They were down 23-21 with a few seconds left in the game, and were attempting a FG (40 yards or so). Jax was favored by 4 or so, and I was in a great spot. Hit or miss, I had covered.

    Oh, wait, the FG attempt was blocked? And the Jags are running the ball back? Past Coach Cowher (who looks like he's going to take a swing at the Jax player)?

    Are you fucking kidding me?
     
  9. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Update on system....

    System A which hit really well last year is 18-11 so far this year, hitting 62%. When system A and B agree on the side, it's going 9-6, hitting 60%. When all 4 systems agree, it's 4-2, hitting 66%. When System A and the Outplay system agree, it's 13-7, hitting 65%.

    All of those at over 60% is pretty damn good.

    I say this to show you how you can use the system however you wish. If you just want to put all your faith in the system and bet straight down System A, then you can do that. You don't have to tail every one of my picks. Don't get me wrong, I like my picks. I have confidence we'll end up in the positive. This has been a pretty crazy bowl season with pretty sharp numbers with 18 out of the 29 bowl games finishing within a TD of the spread, only 7 of the bowls with the spreads being off by more than 10 points.
     
  10. slogan119

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    My favorite part of your post, sem, is that you likely were getting paid while you wrote it. :roll:

    But that's damn good info.
     
  11. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    sem got any thoughts on the over and under at 51?
     
  12. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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  13. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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  14. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Damn, can't get the dual monitors to do a screen shot properly.
     
  15. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Haha. My mornings are normally pretty slow. Then at 5 I realize I haven't done what I've need to do and I end up going home at 8.
     
  16. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    January 3rd:
    **Michigan -3
    ***Michigan/VT Under 51

    January 4th:
    ***West Virginia +3
     
  17. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    I like the Under. Thinking about bumping the Michigan game up to 4 or 3.
     
  18. slogan119

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    I just can't see VT hanging with MI if it becomes a shoot out. And MI games are shoot outs.
     
  19. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    have you watched michigan this year?

    michigan is 6th in pts against. vt is 7th in pts against. granted, they play in mediocre offensive conferences, both teams rely on the run which bodes well for the under.
     
  20. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    no chance in hell i could bet on WV only getting a field goal vs. Clempsum. would like to hear any reasoning if there is any, other than the formulas say so. 5-2 in the BEast = 3-4 in the ACC.
     
  21. slogan119

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    I can see MI scoring (like Clemson did to VT this year in their matchups), but I can't see VT scoring much on MI.

    By that, I was talking about the game itself, not the total bet. For the same reasons, I like the under (MI will score, VT won't, then game goes to run out the clock mode).
     
  22. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    by that logic, why not just take michigan?
     
  23. Clubber Lang

    Clubber Lang High Potentate
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    Angle I'm looking at it as is Michigan's had plenty of time to prepare for VT's relatively boring offense. It's more of a "if we can out-talent you and out-execute you, we'll win" type of offenses, not as dependent on scheme. Only thing I'd wonder about them is outside of their DL, if they have anyone athletic enough to contain VT's run threat from Wilson & Thomas and if the secondary has the size to cover VT's tall WR's. With how VT plays D, Michigan will have to work the field and make some long drives if VT's D shows up to play, which is smaller/not as good as in years past. Could see the game going as a slow boring under game, or Michigan blowing them out.

    I can't find any info on which ref's are on the game, i.e. if it's an SEC crew or Pac-12 crew. If it's a SEC crew, it'll let the D's play more physically and help keep the score low.

    Clemson's OL struggles against good DE play, one of the few highlights of WV's defense? :idk: I feel like the over is the safest best if I had to put money on it, either a close high-scoring game, or one team gets on a roll and blows the other out. Almost seems like the best thing is to find someone with odds on the game going to OT and play that.
     
  24. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Up 2 units on Michigan to a 4 star play
     
  25. Clark W. Griswold23

    Clark W. Griswold23 Well-Known Member
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    The Big East and the ACC are the exact same conference. The ACC just has four more shitty teams.
     
  26. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    So Michigan -3 is a 4 star play and Under 51 is a 3 star play correct?
     
  27. longhornfan

    longhornfan Well-Known Member

    Wow michigans defense looks like shit
     
  28. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
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    They're rushing like 8 on 3rd and long and playing man and getting destroyed. Their secondary sucks as it is.
     
  29. slogan119

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    Bend but don't break defense. VT dominates in tge first half. Couple of lucky bounces.

    MI leads at the half.

    [​IMG]
     
  30. slogan119

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    Worst possible scenario now. MI up 3, will either be a VT TD, a VT FG, or MI holds and runs out clock.
     
  31. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
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    Yep, Ian's OT most likely sends it over.
     
  32. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
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    Michigan score TD then get a stop... Please. Please. Please.
     
  33. slogan119

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    These lines have been dead on, as sem mentioned earlier. I can't think of many easy wins/losses this season. Truly just grinding it out.
     
  34. slogan119

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    Defensive TD. Would be magical.
     
  35. hamsterdam

    hamsterdam I wish I knew how to quit you.
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    yet another ot fucking up totals
     
  36. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
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    Florida State SeminolesChicago CubsReal Madrid

    Game over if confirmed. I don't trust UM.
     
  37. slogan119

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  38. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
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    Come on Nard time to eat.
     
  39. slogan119

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    Damn it. Wanted a make and a UM TD.

    FUCKFUCKFUCK
     
  40. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
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    And they played for a FG
     
  41. hawkeyeOUTeast

    hawkeyeOUTeast Well-Known Member
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    Well I'll take it
     
  42. slogan119

    slogan119 Her?
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    I'm taking a push as a win. As bad as UM played, a push floats my boat.
     
  43. FriendsofJtyler

    FriendsofJtyler I strenuously object
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    I'll take that. Could have been disastrous at the end.
     
  44. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
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    A tie is like kissing your sister, but losing is like kissing your brother.
     
  45. RUseaweed

    RUseaweed Rutgers
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    i got it at mich -2.5 :smug:
     
  46. Patface

    Patface Touch & Go Like A Dantonio Heartbeat
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    You're already dead to this thread after your SDSU/ULL performance.
     
  47. RUseaweed

    RUseaweed Rutgers
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    [​IMG]
     
  48. slhorn

    slhorn Well-Known Member
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    I hit my mark with my guy today. I'm wondering if i should keep playing. Not sure.
     
  49. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    you serious clark? Difference is Big East has Zero teams that deserve to be ranked in the top25. ACC is a mediocre conference from top to bottom but still head and shoulders better than the BEast.
     
  50. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Not sure if this is just me and the people I know that gamble, but I always buy hooks in CFB when the line is 3 or 7. Never do it in NFL though. Book doesn't charge near as much juice in CFB as they do in NFL either.

    slhorn you hit your payout mark for you to collect some monies or for you to pay some monies? if you're collecting... double or nothing on Clemson tonight :americanzi: