FSUsem's 2011 College Bowl Season Thread (26-21, +3.5 Units)

collect.

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dxlbeqeGkQ8

 

it was either that or the Woody Allen DVD cover

 

I am on WV +4 and +3 and ML.

WV has played on the big stage in bowls before and Clem hasn't. Plus, I like to look at public % and Clem is a huge public play. No thanks for me.

 

If that's the case then why hasn't the line moved that way?

 

vegas is begging for more clemson money.

or tricking sleazy into playing wvu.

fuck!

 

also my book has o/u at 62.5.

looks like a solid under play based on sem's sheet.

vegas insider says it opened at 58...that is some huge movement though. enough to scare me.

 

two reasons. either some massive money is on WVU causing the line shift or Vegas is baiting the public into playing Clemson

again...not saying that public % is the only way I cap games, but it is a factor.

 

My guy has it at 63 1/2. If it moves half a point either way I might bite and take the under.

 

64 now. hell, why bite if it is still going up? i'm going to wait this out.

 

ehh good point.

 

I'm on WVU at +3.5, WVU ML, and U64.

 

possible overreaction to seeing so many games going to overtime and WVU's safety getting injured at the start of practice.

I don't think our OT's can handle the WVU DE's, so that should make the deep passes hard to hit on.

 

I feel like they'll score over (64) based on the shitty defenses and high-powered offenses. I bet the over (64) and took WVA(+3) both for $100.

 

Somehow, some way, the final score will be

Clemson 33.5
West Virginia 30.5

 

I never realized how much the game seems rigged after placing bets.

 

the more you do, the farther you see the rabbit hole go.

 

I got held up on work and missed putting something in prior to kickoff. Very happy about that.

 

Wow this under is over but west va is lookin not too bad

 

could get really interesting if the State of Florida ever allows sportsbooks at casinos. going with Clemson to outscore WVU by more than 2 TD's in 2nd half. a solid $20 bet. fuck I should have bet on WVU to win straight up so Clemson would prove me wrong.

 

winner winner....

 

welp... I stand corrected on my takes of WV and Clemson

teased arkansas to a pick and LSU to +7 and that's it for me til september. been a decently profitable year in CFB. enjoyed it fellas

 

Thank you, Clemson. I could have never made $200 in a night by flipping burgers. Now I can keep the lights on in my trailer for another month.

 

What are you guys thinkin tonight? I like kstate ml and the points.

 

I assume by looking at SEM's sheet he'll be on Arkansas and the under.

 

Yes. Up to 64 on my book. People are getting thrown off by the last few games.

 

It's up to 65 on bovada (the new bodog)

 

looks like we are seeing the same live movement that happened in the w virginia game.

i already took it at 63 and if it goes to 65 i'll be taking it again. fuck it.

 

I have taken it at 63 1/2, 64 and 65.

 

i like it, going down with a fight!

 

I've been waiting for this particular game. Plus Chip Brown just said the wildcats cover tonight so it's all but a lock imo.

 

FSUsem any plays tonight?

 

****Arkansas/Kansas State Under 65

 

**SMU +3.5
****SMU/Pittsburgh Over 47

 

****Arkansas State -1.5

 

GL tonight Sem. I am on Arky -8.5 and the under....here is to a 31-10 Victory by the Hogs

 

I want to play Arky bad...but I'm holding off on the side

 

I could of had it a 7.5, waited and got 8.5, now it is sitting at 9.5 in some places. crazy line movement yesterday.

I told myself not to go against KSU at the end of this year because they just kept winning and covering when they loss, but I think the time off will allow Arky to game plan and control KSt. I think Arky comes out blazing and whips KSt.

 

FSUsem The spread has gone to Ark(-9.5). Do you think Arkansas can cover that?

 

the models would indicate no. i say go with the under and let it ride

 

I just placed my bet for the under (65) for $100

 

I think kstate takes the same game plan as tx A&M but they win and shut the sec up

 

Negative. Texas A&M isn't even in the same stratosphere as Arkansas.

 

Do I think they can? Sure. Would I bet on it? No.

 

Got over 63 for 2x and probably taking a little KSU +300 action

 

Well, gents, I am down $6 for all of bowl season. $6. At least it's been interesting.

 

Good call on the under. I took your advice and won $100. I'm up $300 on my bookie so I'm thinking of placing it all on the NC game. Any feeling on that game?

 

Best day I've ever had. Had a unit on a field goal being scores first for +270. Had 2 units on Arkie in the first quarter minus a half. Had three units on the under and a unit and a half on Arkie.

 

worst bowl game yet for me ..