FSUsem's 2016 Bowl Season Picks & Discussion (12-11, +0.9 Units)(12/30 & 12/31 picks pg 14)

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 6, 2016.

  1. Russellin4885

    Russellin4885 Well-Known Member
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    North Carolina State Wolfpack

    I would tail it so that if you lose you can at least get some money out of it, but that would be running the risk of losing by less than 3 and doubling up on the pain.
     
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  2. animal_mother

    animal_mother Well-Known Member
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    The emotional hedge is always tempting...
     
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  3. ClemsonGrad06

    ClemsonGrad06 Member

    This is true... something to think about :chan:
     
  4. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    hard to bet against urban in this spot.

    but jt barrett hasn't been very good. they've played great defense all year. obviously comes down to how watson plays.

    i bet the under at 61. not sure i'll play a side.
     
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  5. tiger tommy

    tiger tommy Well-Known Member

    Tenn up to -10
     
  6. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    :can:
     
  7. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    Damn, that's a ton of movement
     
  8. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    georgia with a dive into the middle of the line on every first down.

    makes sense.
     
  9. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    note: this is not my first time watching georgia this year. so it's not surprising.
     
  10. longhornfan

    longhornfan Well-Known Member

    This Georgia QB is awful. And that kick was terrible. We are gonna need miracles to stay in this game.
     
  11. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    UGA is down 2 after outgaining TCU.

    what miracle do we need?
     
  12. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    that was a complete horseshit spot on 4th. TD the next play.
     
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  13. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    Why would UGA not challenge that? Coaches basically conceded the td
     
  14. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    smart already proved earlier in the game he isn't the best at making challenges.
     
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  15. wolfpck

    wolfpck haters gonna hate
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    North Carolina State Wolfpack

    In his defense, those are typically really tough to have overturned.
     
  16. *DIESEL*

    *DIESEL* Half man, half amazing
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    That looked obvious though. Hill was stopped right next to the hash mark that he needed to get to. The physical evidence was all within the frame. Looked obvious to me, but maybe they saw something I didn't.
     
  17. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    i got a feeling the refs will make this last couple minutes interesting.
     
  18. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    I got the 2h u at 24.5. Need this shit to end without another score
     
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  19. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    nice get there.
     
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  20. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Underdogs keep going. Hopefully it continues the rest of the day.
     
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  21. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    Milk this clock UGA
     
  22. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    cha ching!
     
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  23. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    I got it at 24 :crossedarms:

    Did take the UGA moneyline so that's cool
     
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  24. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    At least you pushed. I had UGA +3.5 as well
     
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  25. longhornfan

    longhornfan Well-Known Member

    FSUsem when you posted 4**** on Georgia Tech over. I read it as Georgia 4**** lol. Thanks for the pick!
     
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  26. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    i was going back and forth on the stanford/UNC game after mcaffery went out.

    i just totaled it out. i have stanford.
    3 units -2.5.
    2 units -3.
    1 unit -2.

    3 units 3.5 on UNC.

    if it lands stanford -3 i win 7 units. :laugh:
     
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  27. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Nothing gives you that "it's good to be the king" feeling like hitting a big middle
     
  28. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    :bananallama:
     
  29. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    wait. stanford lost it's qb in the first quarter?

     
  30. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    FSUsem any concern about RLM with USA?
     
  31. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Yea QB for Stanford got hurt and his backup looks pretty mediocre. good news for you is UNC can't get out of their own way. And the umpire stripped UNC QB trying to get out of the way and gave Stanford the ball in the RZ with like 1 minute to go in 1H. never seen that happen before.

    Your middle actually looks very possible. Nothing but FGs happening
     
  32. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    was there a write-up on South Alabama pick? I'm betting that one blind with the sheet. haven't seen a snap from either team this year. why do we like them?
     
  33. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    between Stanford qb injury and arky meltdown I've had some shit luck
     
  34. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    I think we are looking at different sites when it comes to the percentages. I don't see any reverse line movement. I mention this earlier, but I'm not sure how correct my site or any site is on the percentages. I'm not sure how these sites get the numbers, and if it straight from the sports book, why they would give out these numbers. My side shows 51% on South Alabama so, assuming that's correct, obviously a big assumption, I wouldn't categorize it as reverse line movement.
     
  35. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    What in the actual fuck Stanford?
     
  36. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Stanford by 2 definitely happening
     
  37. stratknight

    stratknight It's ok, buddy.
    TMB OG

    Trubisky is a fucking bonehead. So many dumb mistakes.
     
  38. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    David Shaw game management is severely lacking.
     
  39. The Hebrew Husker

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    Good start for South Alabama.
     
  40. longhornfan

    longhornfan Well-Known Member

    Plus 2 push is still a win in my book.
     
  41. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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    Fuck you david Shaw
     
  42. The Hebrew Husker

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    What a fucking joke.
     
  43. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Welp. Both moneylines I played covered but didnt win.
     
  44. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Next ML you post I'll play the spread as well
     
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  45. rezy

    rezy Member
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    Had it at +2.5, the moneyline wasn't at good enough odds for me
     
  46. rezy

    rezy Member
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    Is the air force south Alabama game on tv?
     
  47. Tommy Callahan

    Tommy Callahan Well-Known Member
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    Same
     
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  48. FearMySpear

    FearMySpear Crafty Veteran
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    I bought it to 3 but same ML was only +115 last night when I went to play it
     
  49. TLAU

    TLAU Dog Crew
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    Auburn TigersAtlanta Braves

    put a little baby bet on USA ml :bunnywithapancakeonitshead:
     
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  50. rezy

    rezy Member
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    Yeah went with 2.5 units on +14 and .5 on the ml at +440
     
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