FSUsem's 2017 College Bowl Season Picks & Discussion (Picks: 15-16, System A: 23-16)

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 15, 2017.

  1. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Good shit Cow bell's
     
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  2. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

     
  3. rezy

    rezy Member
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    Washington is done
     
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  4. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Within 7 at the start of the 2nd. But boy does it feel like we’re down more than 7

    Penn st looks to be more organized. Which is crazy considering Udubs coach. Looking to change the tide in this qtr
     
  5. The Hotch

    The Hotch Well-Known Member
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    Arizona WildcatsArizona DiamondbacksPhoenix SunsArizona CardinalsLos Angeles Chargers

    Zone not working without pressure
     
  6. The Hotch

    The Hotch Well-Known Member
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    Arizona WildcatsArizona DiamondbacksPhoenix SunsArizona CardinalsLos Angeles Chargers

    McSorley slicing and dicing at the moment
     
  7. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    First time this bowl season that I think we're On the wrong side of one. It happens

    The Pac12 this bowl season. Woof
     
  8. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    Pac 12 is terrible. I'll be looking to cut bait and get off this one at half
     
  9. The Hotch

    The Hotch Well-Known Member
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    Yeah conf looks gross top to bottom
     
  10. rezy

    rezy Member
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    Just going to run as fast as I can from this game
     
  11. The Hotch

    The Hotch Well-Known Member
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    Check please
     
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  12. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Why hello Woodshed....
     
  13. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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  14. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Outback Bowl
    ****S Carolina/Michigan Under 43
     
  15. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Rose Bowl
    *****Georgia -3
     
  16. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    Anything early?
     
  17. GovNole

    GovNole Well-Known Member

    Sem posted Michigan under 43 a couple of days ago. Not sure about anything else.
     
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  18. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    I'm on Michigan and the under. Curious about the other 2 early games. Auburn should dominate the LOS but I'm not sure how motivated they are
     
  19. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Yeah I'm staying away from the Peach Bowl.
     
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  20. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    Like anything in the LSU/ND game?
     
  21. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Citrus Bowl
    ***Notre Dame +3
     
  22. Malik Zulu

    Malik Zulu your girl chose me

    LSU going to beat the shit out of Notre Dame
     
  23. Malik Zulu

    Malik Zulu your girl chose me

    Notre Dame has lost two of three and they were blown out by Miami and Stanford.

    LSU has momentum after winning three straight and six of their last seven. LSU's only loss in the last seven games came against Alabama.

    They beat Auburn and have been blowing teams out. LSU is on a 6-0 ATS run.

    Notre Dame is 1-4 ATS in their last five bowl games and 0-4 ATS against a team with a winning record.
     
  24. Han Solo

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    Good call on the Outback Bowl under
     
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  25. asmith2021

    asmith2021 Member

    Notre Dame line was banged up as was Adams. I’m expecting October ND who was blowing teams out not injured November ND. LSU is also missing most of their LBs... I’m thinking big running lanes
     
  26. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    I don't disagree that these teams were headed in different directions at the end of November, but that was 5 weeks ago. I haven't found a reliable angle regarding a positive ROI in that situation. The angles I've seen actually go the other way. Teams that covered 1/3 or less of their games actually had a positive ROI in their bowl game. Neither team falls into this angle, just an example.

    I'm also looking over the course of the whole season. LSU wasn't tested, only playing 4 bowl teams. Outside of the ridiculous comeback over Auburn, who's their best win? A home win over a rudderless aTm as a double digit favorite? They were blown out by the other two bowl teams on the road.

    I'm going with the sheet and a healthier ND team who's consistently been tested throughout the year and come away with more than just one fluke comeback win.
     
  27. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    lol these refs really dont want a UCF win
     
  28. Malik Zulu

    Malik Zulu your girl chose me


    Hey now, that rudderless aTm team took facilities giant Wake Forest to the wire!
     
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  29. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Its getting bad.
     
  30. Craig Pettis

    Craig Pettis The first million is the hardest- Hitler
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    Stayed out too late last night and missed all the first half picks so of course everything hits

    EDIT wrong thread but the post applies in here too
     
  31. Malik Zulu

    Malik Zulu your girl chose me

    watching LSU blow 2 scoring opportunities hurts my head and their momentum

    think the 2nd half under looks safe at 24
     
  32. Wilfred

    Wilfred Well-Known Member
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  33. Malik Zulu

    Malik Zulu your girl chose me

    and wtf on this outback bowl under

    21 pt 3rd quarter fucking everything up
     
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  34. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Damn 9-3 at the half. Smfh
     
  35. bama07

    bama07 Member

    Are we being fucking serious
     
  36. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    There goes any hope of covering the under on that muffed punt. Shit
     
  37. bama07

    bama07 Member

    We need a loss of yards right here. And a missed fg
     
  38. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    Welp. This second half was kick in the nuts
     
  39. CUAngler

    CUAngler Royale with Cheese
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    Took the cocks +8.5 but not covering this under is very upsetting.
     
  40. asmith2021

    asmith2021 Member

    Any playoff picks?
     
  41. asmith2021

    asmith2021 Member

    Oops Georgia but the other game?
     
  42. Malik Zulu

    Malik Zulu your girl chose me

    Bad start to the day but did hedge with Notre Dame ML and UGA -2.5
     
  43. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Sugar Bowl
    ****Clemson +3.5
     
  44. GovNole

    GovNole Well-Known Member

    Like it! They win straight up imo.
     
  45. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    This is going to be a great game.
     
  46. bakonole

    bakonole Well-Known Member

    OU is straight making Georgia their bitch so far.

    Did not see this coming at all. Damn
     
  47. undrtow

    undrtow learn to swim
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    Tiger Woods

    Not so fast
     
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  48. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    That rivals Texas USC. Such a good game.
     
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  49. Detlef Schrempf

    Detlef Schrempf Well-Known Member
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    Hit on Georgia -2.5 for 300 @ -110 and double dipped the second half trying to hedge my at the time shitty UGA bet on OU over 14.5 for the second half at -135, hit both in OT, this weekend is shaking out nicely.
     
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  50. jasonms20

    jasonms20 Member

    Thanks again for “The Sheet” Sem!
     
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