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Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 15, 2017.
dome foam is a true degenerate and I value his insight (even if I don't always agree)
I like his insight too, but he does carry himself with a know-it-all attitude that gets annoying. And coming in a thread that's based around a system just to announce that you're fading everyone itt is an asshole move. Either keep that shit to yourself or start a thread for your own picks/general bowl bets.
again I’ve only “faded” like two of the system plays. I’ve been on several. whatever.
I tend to overlook the "know it all" shit throughout the board. Sometimes it is a good thing to have a contrarian perspective
We're all here for the same reason, to make money. If he talks me out of a loser or on a winner I'm good with it. His approach sucks at times, and he can come across as pompous, but I look more at the point and not delivery
I just feel like he could make his same points without being so pompous.
There's not much activity on this board as it is, so I welcome all insights.
I don't disagree
well I played kstate live so go kstate? you guys happy now?
lol I now have more on kstate +4 than I do UCLA +7 (from pregame). the always elusive middle opp.
Fading was smart for sure
Man that feels good. Love the degen to push me to +10 units on the day
Hi dome foam
I remember my first time gambling
Good day today
Got a little conflict between systems on the arz-purdue tomorrow:
betting against Khalil Tate doesn’t seem fun. the guy can single handily take over the game.
what does he mean bet and tease? what is he teasing with?
No pick from me. Feels like the Duke game. Sheet loves the G5 team that played an extremely easy schedule. P5 actually has a reason to be motivated. FSU wants a winning season, especially for interim coach. So Miss not tested at all but did finish well against Marshall to end the year.
Ehhh most degenerates I know and love all have that know-it-all attitude. I know I do. I love hearing everyone’s angles and thoughts.
if it gets to 14 how do you not bet fsu?
Ha, I'm looking at that exact thing now. Woke up to a nice overnight swing.
considering I bet fsu at 15 last week I will be hitting again at 14
Texas is missing a bunch of starters. I like mizzou -3 and the under
Still not gonna touch this game. FSU is too ripe for a let up, especially with all the players missing because of NFL/academics/discipline/etc.
I see you on that SportsInsights. Great tool
This is mostly a system play. Even though all three systems are in agreement, I'm hesitant to make this more than a 2 star play bc of the jekyll/hyde nature of Iowa this year (and how many times Iowa has let the sheet down).
Indeed. Love the dashboard set up.
That's what she said.
Looking at the game now. I think Mizzou definitely has the motivation factor but a lot of their stats/wins are propped up against shitty competition. Despite playing a P5 conference, they have 0 wins against bowl teams.
Stupid question but what's the section that says "ove..." with the bars
Its "overall value" as determined by sportsinsights.
Also staying away here. The split between performance for Mizzou against bowl teams vs non bowl teams is too drastic to go with System A here. Also doesn't help Mizzou's OC left for UCF. Mizzou was favored twice this year against bowl teams and was blown out by 32 and 18 at home both times. On the other hand, tough to have confidence in Texas with all the players they'll have missing because of NFL and discipline, in addition to an already anemic offense. Maybe looking at the under if it climbs throughout the day with all the money coming in on the over.
(Top teams in each section are bowl teams)
a couple of thoughts:
- texas defense has been great against the pass. but texas is without it's best LB and best 2 DBs. backups aren't bad and will be motivated. i think todd orlando is a great defensive coach against the spread, so i have to give him credit that he will have the D prepared.
- texas OL has been shit all year, mainly due to injuries. they add their starting RT back after missing him the whole year. but they are also missing their best playmaker RB, which conversely gives what many texas fans believe is their best back (freshman daniel young) a huge opportunity tonight.
- texas is starting shane buchele at QB, who has the pocket presence of david carr. i fully expect both offenses to sputter, save home run plays.
- mizzou seems overconfident to me. they've had a good run against a bunch of shit teams. people are talking as if mizzou has the better motivation. i don't necessarily agree, mainly because mizzou's motivation is their confidence, and they have built up that confidence against a bunch of shit teams. if texas shows up, i think mizzou will get frustrated easily.
I'm debating teasing the dogs in the three 3pt spread games. I can see any or all winning outright and none more than a touchdown difference.
FSU is at -14, time to jump on it
Wow. Even seeing a -13.5 at CRIS
And there goes Pinnacle.
I just got them at 13.5.
ok now i am spooked.
added fsu -7 1h and 13.5 full game.
Is there value on FSU -13.5? I'm spooked as well. SM +17 seems like a lock at this point.
thanks for that.
Locked in -13.5. Odell gonna have them ready. Too much talent on that side of the ball for them to not win by a couple scores.
FSU has half a coaching staff and thier best players sitting out to prep for the combine
I jumped on SoMiss at 17 and bought the hook to +17.5
That line movement is just bait
Bait/nice middle opportunity.