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Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 15, 2017.
Shitty Under bet on my part. But I'll take the in-game results
A couple of ACC teams outperforming expectations significantly. Been thinking the middle part of the league might have been a little underrated this year.
I'm cold just looking at the BC iowa game.
Made a degen players on the........over!
Andddddddd here come a field goal for sure.
I live in New York, it's brutal here today.
Yea. I'm hoping the in game total will allow me to cancel the play. That field is awful.
Finally, the Iowa bowl streak is over! The sheet streak is over!
Staying away but think Missou wins
Ok ... went ahead and put a unit on Mizzou
This Purdue/AZ game is fun
As of a minute or two ago Arizona is going to win this game - bet accordingly
To be clear I posted this prediction when AZ got the INT... Had not seen the ensuing TD pass
Need a Arizona cover and I win 4K on my 5 teamwr
I’m drunk at Texas game is that going to happen ?
They have shut down Purdue the entire 2nd half
2-0. Another good day
Wowweee what a way to handicap today. Had money on the two sheet winners and pegged the two wrong ones to stay off of. Cheers.
Hey sem, looking at the plays for tomorrow - shouldn't the over for tcu-stanford be bolded since all 3 systems are in agreement on it?
Perfect day for me yesterday, including a Iowa/Purdue/Texas ML parlay that paid 8-1. Lets keep it rolling today.
What do you got today?
Have any of you been tracking the systems and how they’re performing? If not, I’ll work on that this morning.
Navy Under 51
Virginia Tech +5.5
Michigan State ML and points
I like Navy -1 for sure, maybe the under as well. Looking at TCU -3 too.
I'm by no means an expert though, so don't take too much stock in me. I've been partially following the FSUsem system and partially feeling my own instinct. I'm thinking he may update his sheet for the thread shortly.
What does everyone think of the OSU/VT game? All of the systems say bet on VT but I just don't see it.
I like VT. Their defense could slow down OSU and should be able to score on OSU defense
food for thought.
uva already played option team this year in gt. Held them to 200 yards rushing. bronco mendenhall historically good against option.
Second what dome said. Bronco is something like 9-1 in his last 10 against option teams.
Going back and forth on navy/uva. Both teams suck
am i seeing this right? 90% of bets on ok state. lines has moved from 6.5 to 5.5
I'm showing 77% of bets on OK St but still worth noting.
i already bet on va tech 6. i like betting dogs with the better defense in bowl games. and if you also consider what happens to ok state when they play a good defense, and the fact that they struggle against dual threat QBs. 5.5 pts is generous.
factor in FSUsem 's sheet and the public bets...just put some more on it.
Past Six Years:
System A is 124-87 ATS (58.8%)
When A&B agree, the side has gone 87-56 ATS (60.8%)
When all 3 agree, the side has gone 46-28 ATS (62.2%)
All 10 underdogs who've covered have done so outright.
Any early plays?
Yeah looking at it now. If anything it will be out before noon.
Interesting RLM on the total for the wazzu-msu game. If the Sports Action app is correct, almost 80% of the bets have been on the under, yet the total has gone from 44 to as high as 48 in some places.
77% of bets...86% of money on okie st? hmm.
Weird. Sportsinsights has the public %s highly favoring the over. I think it might be an error in the app.
Yeah. VT shaping up to be a big play.
locked and loaded.
from sportsaction take on navy game, re: my comment on UVA having success against GT this year....worth nothing:
"However, if you look a little deeper at that November 4th game, the Wahoos caught the Yellow Jackets in a horrendous situational spot between games with Clemson and Virginia Tech. Georgia Tech still rushed for 220 yards, averaging 4.2 yards per carry, and even amassed 179 yards through the air. I think Navy’s offense, which ranks higher than Georgia Tech’s in total offense, yards per play, and rushing yards per attempt, will have similar success."
i still cannot bet against a brono defense against the option in a bowl game, especially considering UVA has the motivation edge.
Just got V Tech +7
No play. There's better opportunities to make money today rather than betting on one-dimensional teams (UVA cant run) who've both stumbled into their bowl game.
I'm still seeing 6.5, if i can get that half point without buying it, i'll jump on it.
I'll be taking my chances with Navy just bc I'm a degen and want some action.
Same. I got them at a pick em, so it's in agreement with all 3 of sem's systems and with "top 10 rushing teams" system. Gotta roll the dice.
Navy up to -3 on 5dimes