FSUsem's 2018 College Bowl Season Picks & Discussion (16-16-1, Up One Whole Unit! (minus the juice))

Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 14, 2018.

  1. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Not for me
     
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  2. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
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    Georgia Bulldogs

    This is the perfect example of why I can't watch games I have decent money on. Early in 2nd I got Wisconsin over 28.5 points at +105. 2 missed FGs, 3 Miami TOs, and a TD taken away. I can't even hedge because their 2h over is just 7.5. I'm going to watch movie and pray for miracle.
     
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  3. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    wiscy +3 2h. Free money
     
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  4. Big Ern McCracken

    Big Ern McCracken Well-Known Member
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    North Carolina TarheelsSouth Carolina GamecocksNew England PatriotsCoastal Carolina ChanticleersAvengers

    Woooooooooooo
     
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  5. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
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    Georgia Bulldogs

    It's a late Christmas miracle. Didn't even watch 2nd half until the very end and was certain they'd kneel it.
     
  6. Big Ern McCracken

    Big Ern McCracken Well-Known Member
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    Well the score to put you over the top cans with about 10 secs or so left. I had already won my bet with Wisconsin so i was pulling for you after reading that post, I was about to flip out if they kneeled at the 2.
     
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  7. ryno23

    ryno23 Well-Known Member
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    went from breaking even to up 105, also thought 100% they would kneel
     
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  8. tiger tommy

    tiger tommy Well-Known Member

    Damn that was easy. :chatzy::chatzy::chatzy:
     
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  9. Craig Pettis

    Craig Pettis The first million is the hardest- Hitler
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    Memphis TigersTennessee VolunteersSt. Louis CardinalsMemphis GrizzliesMetal

    There it is
     
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  10. animal_mother

    animal_mother Well-Known Member
    Clemson TigersTennessee TitansLiverpool

    Wish they were all that easy
     
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  11. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    **Purdue/Auburn Over 55.5
     
  12. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Notes on Syracuse/WVU:

    -West Virginia will be without their starting QB (Grier), starting LT (Cajuste), and a WR with 13 TDs on the year (Jennings). They will also he without their offensive coordinator.
    -Syracuse will be without their starting NT (Williams), starting DE (Robinson), and starting FS (Cordy).
     
  13. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    E7836B23-5E41-46DD-B58B-FCCFB66F5A77.jpeg

    Looks like the line moved pretty quick overnight. I still like it at 57.
     
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  14. The Hebrew Husker

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    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Yeah I bought it down from 56.5 to 56 this morning so it’s moving super quick it seems
     
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  15. dome foam

    dome foam ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Texas LonghornsHouston AstrosHouston RocketsHouston Texans

    I bet cuse +7 and +200
    just bet wvu +3

    that’s a large middle
     
  16. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    Florida State SeminolesConnecticut HuskiesBoston Red SoxNew England Patriots

    I'm seeing 59 for purdue/auburn. Gonna pass
     
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  17. Aeroforz1

    Aeroforz1 Well-Known Member
    Staff TMB OG

    Been lurking since Sportsbooks just opened here in PA a few weeks ago. I could only get last nights game at 57 so since it was a 5 star and 57 isn't a key number I spread my money out across the alternative lines. So basically I put 2 units on over 57, 1 on over 57.5, 1 on over 58, 1 on over 58.5, 1 on over 59, 1 on over 59.5, 1 on over 60, 1 on over 61, .5 on over 62, and .5 on over 63. Ended up being 10 units to win 12.22 units roughly vs. 10 to win 9.1 if I had just bet it all on the regular line. Not sure if that's amazing strategy or just dumb luck on a bonehead bet but anyway thanks for the picks!
     
    #167 Aeroforz1, Dec 28, 2018
    Last edited: Dec 28, 2018
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  18. asmith2021

    asmith2021 Member

    Anything for the later games?
     
  19. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    I think that’s the only way to play this game on the side. I’m not gonna have any pick on the side, maybe the over.
     
  20. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
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    Georgia Bulldogs

    35 in barely 12 minutes. LoL.
     
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  21. Cheshire Bridge

    Cheshire Bridge 2017 & 2019 National Champions - Clemson Tigers
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    Clemson TigersAtlanta BravesTiger WoodsCollege Football Playoff

    Welcome back
     
  22. Tommy Callahan

    Tommy Callahan Well-Known Member
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    Alabama Crimson TideAtlanta Braves

    Easier than last night...
     
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  23. CUAngler

    CUAngler Royale with Cheese
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    Clemson TigersAtlanta Braves

    Thought my app was broke when I just checked this score. Nice
     
  24. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    **WashSt/IowaSt Under 56.5
     
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  25. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    As I said earlier, I’m staying away from the bowl in Orlando. Too many questions. I’d lean to WVU +3 and the over.
     
  26. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Sorry for all the totals lately, should have more sides tomorrow.
     
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  27. SoCalDuck

    SoCalDuck sleep late, its much easier on your constitution
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    Will you be updating and posting your sheet?
     
  28. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Sure the current sheet on page 1 is updated before Wednesdays games. I’ll update later tonight while looking at tomorrows games
     
  29. wolfpck

    wolfpck haters gonna hate
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    North Carolina State Wolfpack

    Woooo had the live under at 78.5
     
  30. SoCalDuck

    SoCalDuck sleep late, its much easier on your constitution
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    Grazi!
     
  31. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

    The end of the 1st half and beginning of the 2nd half are looking great for the under in the Wazzu isu game. :killme:

    Skipped the Auburn game because I hate betting on my own team
     
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  32. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
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    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

    Never in doubt
     
  33. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    Florida State SeminolesConnecticut HuskiesBoston Red SoxNew England Patriots

    false start on the 2-pter saved our butts
     
  34. Corky Bucek

    Corky Bucek Placeholder for a Custom Title
    Staff Donor TMB OG
    Auburn TigersLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles RamsAnaheim DucksManchester UnitedLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim

  35. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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  36. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    You can see why I switched to totals over the past few days and (I think) successfully navigated around a bad run for System A. It started out 6-3 (66%) but hit a rough patch this week. Obviously the numbers for the WVU game were skewed bc these don't take into account injuries and players sitting out.

    Nevertheless, when all three systems have agreed the sheet has gone 4-4 (4-3 without the WVU game). When all 3 O/U columns have agreed, that total has gone 7-2.
     
    #186 FSUsem, Dec 29, 2018
    Last edited: Dec 29, 2018
  37. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    Wow at A and B both liking bama by 25
     
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  38. TDCD

    TDCD Handling the Fisher account
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    Florida State SeminolesConnecticut HuskiesBoston Red SoxNew England Patriots

    So small play on Michigan -6?
     
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  39. Dildo Dawgins

    Dildo Dawgins Well-Known Member
    Donor
    Georgia Bulldogs

    The sheet and lots of folks on Reddit like the over for SCar/UVa. I may do a 4 point teaser to get it to pk and 50.

    Edit: forgot I already parlayed scar ML and over 54. I need to stop doing this so early in the morning and wait closer to kickoff.
     
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  40. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    My GFs dog will wake me up at like 3am, so when I can’t sleep I’ll go on and just start firing away on games. Then like 10am the next day forget about it and almost re bet everything.
     
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  41. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Holy shit, is that Off O/U in the Bama game the highest ever? Not sure I’ve ever seen one in all the years of the sheet
     
  42. The Hebrew Husker

    Donor
    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Looks like the UVA total may get down to 53-53.5 at this rate so I’m waiting
     
  43. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    ****Arkansas St. +2
     
  44. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    It's pretty close. I think there was a TT one that was over 100.
     
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  45. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
    TMB OG

    Wow, ASU line shooting down quick. Down to +1 at pinnacle and pk em at some other spots. Still like ASU a lot.
     
  46. GovNole

    GovNole Well-Known Member


    The Sheet is moving lines obviously...
     
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  47. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Lol. If only the sheet was that popular, maybe I could stop working 60 hour weeks.
     
  48. FSUsem

    FSUsem The Original User #2
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    Yeah I like to watch the line movement and wait closer to kickoff.

    On that note, Michigan is moving down. Starting to see some -5s and -4.5s.
     
  49. The Hebrew Husker

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    Nebraska CornhuskersSeattle MarinersColorado AvalanceWWE

    Throwing 1/2 a unit on Florida ML +170. Came down from 175 as I bet it.
     
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  50. stexraider

    stexraider Fire Everybody
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    Chicago CubsSan Antonio SpursKansas City ChiefsDallas StarsArsenalUnited States Men's National Soccer TeamTexas Tech Red Raiders alt

    I just don’t see how Oklahoma can score at their regular rate tonight... too many RB injuries, Hollywood Brown not 100%, Kyler can’t score all the points
     
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