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Discussion in 'Gambling Board' started by FSUsem, Dec 14, 2018.
***Michigan/UF Under 51
Finally went down to -13.5
Whoa that Michigan line is moving fast. Was 6 an hour ago
Starting to see a couple -13s pop up. Can't imagine these 13s will last too long.
Yeah I think the public is starting to hammer UF bc of the Michigan players sitting out. I still feel more comfortable with Shea than Felipe under center. This is probably the reason Michigan is a top 10 team when it comes to moving the chains on 3rd down.
Even though sheet loves the over in UVA/SCar, I'm staying off. Can't get behind SCar scoring enough without Deebo.
Saturday, December 29
****Arkansas St. +2
***Michigan/UF Under 51
Are A and B your own systems? Can you give some insight on what their formulas are?
Yes A and B are mine. A is based on pure statistics, B is the same formula with SOS added in.
Public is hammering Notre Dame. Line might move closer to 10 by kickoff.
*****Louisiana Tech pk em
*****Vandy/Baylor Over 56
****North Texas +7.5 (injured QB)
***Marshall/USF Over 51.5
***Georgia Tech -6
***FIU/Toledo Over 57.5 (never a doubt )
***Western Michigan +12
***Memphis -3.5 (moron coaching staff)
**App State -7
**Purdue/Auburn Over 55.5
**WashSt/Iowa St Under 56.5
**Georgia Southern -3
34 units won
21 units lost
Also, Virginia is the 5th slowest offense of all bowl teams, running only 64 plays per game. SCar tempo is also below average. Not good tempo for me to have confidence in the over.
Would you play the bowl under system on that game instead of the over?
Back up to 14 at most places. Still like it at 14 for 5*.
All 3 O/U systems like the Over by about 3 points. They also assume Deebo is playing for SCar.
Shitty break for the under
If Arkansas State could put this team away that'd be super. They literally had the ball inside the Nevada 30 the entire 3rd quarter and got zero points.
Arkansas St doesn't deserve to win this game.... Beat themselves.
2 missed field goals, 2 interceptions in goal to go situations, and failed on 4th down from the 5 yard line. Headed to OT. Gambling is stupid.
That was absolutely pathetic
Wow Michigan was a bad bet, but Arkansas State.....smh
500 yards of offense and only 10 points...
Ark St is what kills the betting man.
So close to breaking that tackle and making me a bunch of money... instead kneel down death
Pathetic day. Bama felt like the right bet for 3 quarters.
Had Bama -13.5 and also o46 on the TT
Lost my ass yesterday but still chuckled when I saw my OU +15 and under 81 parlay (1u) hit at the end of the night.
I'm not sure what's in store for NYE or 1/1 but my favorite bet both days will be Georgia/Texas over and Georgia over 35 points. Fromm will light them up and Ehlinger should make some big plays too with their WRs and no Baker.
Edit: Also gonna add this will be Godwin's last game and could be last game for Nauta, Hardman, and Ridley. I really think Dawgs will air it out. If there are any player props for Fromm I would take those too.
What's our picks for today?
Anyone liking Mizzou/OSU under? Mizzou defense played pretty well later in the year, and weather will be pretty bad.
Also liking Utah -6 and over 45.
Inspiring start for the cincy D
Nice answer. Now get your defense straight
I don’t know why I end up locking these 1H unders. Tell myself everyday to stop and just stick with the sheet. Jesus.
Welp, lets go Bearcats.
lol what a horrible spot.
fuck, cincy QB hurt...
Replaced by a senior. If he couldn't beat out a freshman, I don't like our chances
Holy shit. That was almost a disaster.
Fortunately for us VTs defense is awful.
Glad I bet the over and Cincy so I don't have to kill myself yet over the Cincy QB being out.
what was the 1H under? i took a live betting Un33.5 after the first TD
Anything else for today?
At the rate its going, might need to wait for second half lines to avoid hurt QBs lol
Love sitting out is overrated. Stanford isn't a run first team anymore. Public is overreacting imo. Pitt couldn't do anything against a team with pulse that can stop the run.
cincy is dead. womp womp.
No play on the Redbox bowl for me
i went big on mich st. the news of hebert playing hurts oregon. i doubt they will lay it all out there with him coming back.